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twins1095

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  1. Kirilloff's hard hit rate and average exit velocity is above Cruz and just behind Buxton for 2nd best on the Twins. I think the Twins see the process over the current results and rightfully so. If he keeps smacking line drives like he has been....he's pretty quickly going to be hitting in the middle of the order. Arraez Donaldson Buxton Cruz Kirilloff Polanco Kepler Garver Simmons
  2. Fun fact: Kirilloff's hard hit percentage (63.2%) and average exit velocity (94.2 mph) is higher than Cruz's hard hit percentage (59%) and average exit velocity (93.9mph) and just behind Buxton's at 64.6% and 95 mp, but he's hitting .115. Classic.
  3. I think I hate Colome. I think I hate just about everything about this year’s team. I disagree with just about every Baldelli managerial move this year. I disagree with the Twins calling up these two bit scrubs over giving actual legit prospects a shot (the worst thing that happens is they play the same as all of these career minor leaguers). I hate prioritizing dart throws like Shoemaker and Happ (despite decent performance) over a guy like Dobnak and making him a long reliever (if we are going to make dart throws). Everything from top to bottom feels wrong.
  4. Well deserved. Guy is gonna be spraying balls in gaps for years.
  5. So remind me again why using your long reliever in this situation forcing you to use multiple 1 inning relievers 2-3 innings makes sense?
  6. Interesting to only have Dobnak go 1-inning, what's the point of him? I also don't really get prioritizing Shoemaker/Happ over Dobnak. Both have pretty much the same type of floors with less ceiling. Make one of the vets the long-reliever guy.
  7. Dobnak's had some pretty putrid BABIP luck. I wouldn't be too worried, it will even out.
  8. Thanks I was off by a decimal, but that's what I meant. I would guess it's some combination of colder weather and hitters needing time to fully get their timing down. I think it's informative to some degree when reacting to early season hitting struggles.
  9. Overall BABIP during the first two months of the season is .05-.09 lower than the BABIP during the final months of the season after that. I think that the lower BABIP on grounders in those figures last season (basically a first 2 month of the season sprint) and thus far this season has as much to do with that factor as anything else. Even if hitters BABIP on ground balls has gone down slightly, fewer hitters are trying to hit ground balls as they lift balls into the air. There is a higher BABIP on fly balls than ground balls... in the end it's a neutral factor. Again, unless you think the shift is the causal factor of the reason that players are trying to lift the ball in the air more often and create more extra base hits--it's not really a primary or significant determinant in the reason that the game has changed in the way that it has that many view is negative or produces boring baseball.
  10. What I would add to this discussion is that a lot of fans focus on the shift and other ways teams have tried to use data to better position fielders based on where hitters are more likely to hit the ball and labeled that as one of the primary determinants of baseball seemingly being three true outcome reliant. Throwing last years shortened season out for reasons I am happy to get into, increasing prevalence of shifting by teams hasn’t meaningfully changed league-wide BABIP. Theoretically, this is what shifting should impact the most. The reason that baseball feels the way it does is because of less balls put into play. This means less movement on the basis and more stationary action. Teams are reluctant to give up outs or baserunners or risk the chance of doing so—meaning there’s less sacrifice bunting, hit and running, productive out emphasis, or stealing bases. Players are reluctant to “waste” ABs trying to put balls in play with minimal high value contact or outcome potential. Instead, players focus on emphasizing trying to barrel balls in order to create extra base hits even with two strikes in the count. I’m not sure shifting seems to meaningfully impact outcomes when the ball is put into play over large sample sizes—for every ball you see that fielders get it appears there’s a ball that fielders don’t get because of the shift. Unless, you potentially think that because fielders shift...hitters see that and that’s the reason they are trying to make a certain type of contact that leads to less balls put into play—though I would argue that’s not really at all why they do. I just don’t think any regulation of shifts is anything other than shifting around deck chairs and doing something for the sake of doing something instead of actually doing something that would lead to meaningful or impactful changes in style of play.
  11. Buxton lost plenty of years to injury and no one had ABs in 2020. The reason I would have kept him around was the 25 SBs, 44 XBH, and 15% walk rate. Not many guys flash plus power potential, speed, and walk rate. He’s pretty much the type of prospect you should always keep around because of ceiling. I mean it’s not like his RC+’s of 120, 130, and 180 mean more than his 13 games stretch prior to injury of 103 We have plenty of low ceiling career minor league or borderline MLB ceiling prospects that we kept that we could have given up instead.
  12. Why would you not walk Baddoo? What advantage does not having a force out have especially when he's there hottest hitter and you have a bench player on a Tigers team next? I don't understand. I want to toot my own horn that I had Baddoo in my top 8 for Twins prospects 2 years ago. That's all I have to hang my hat on after this loss.
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