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Linus

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Everything posted by Linus

  1. As I’ve posted several times before TK had it right in that you need 1000 to 1500 at bats before you really know what you have in a hitter. He has one good half season with a 371 babip. The book is out on the guy as pitchers are going right after him which is why his walk rate is down and SO rate is up. Unless and until he makes an adjustment back it ain’t gonna be pretty.
  2. I kind of liked groves. My cartoon bubble had a bunch of us TDers sneaking of of some orange trees ready to pounce.
  3. You are correct in that he had a down year in the final year of his contract. However there is no universe in which he would not have been extended a qualifying offer. So they could have had an extra year and a half of Berríos and a supplemental pick.
  4. Nope. And they haven’t been watching for several years. The age demographics on people watching MLB are pretty scary - it’s a bunch of people over 50. And of course MLB in its infinite wisdom makes it really hard for any person in their 20s and 30s to watch. So 20 years from now - good luck.
  5. Guys like Martin and Miranda showing enough that next year we won’t have to do Margot, Santana et Al. Would be nice if Camargo got a chance and ran with it.
  6. Even when they are hitting it’s not that fun to watch. And that’s not just the Twins. The product as a whole is less fun to watch - it’s no mystery why younger people have no interest in baseball.
  7. I get what they are trying to do. The data is pretty clear: a combo of walks and power produce the most runs. The aspect of this that doesn’t get discussed much is the volatility of this approach. In a three game series you might score 9, 3 and two runs with this approach. That’s 14 runs which seems like a sufficient amount. Reality is you are going to lose two of those games. The trick is to have an offense that can generate consistent output on a game by game basis.
  8. They are pursuing an organizational hitting philosophy. You can change the coaches but it’s likely not going to matter. Until the organization pursues a different philosophy I’m afraid this is it. If the turnaround last year was really attributable to the soft schedule they have then things do look a little bleak.
  9. I watch nearly every game. People have created this feel good scale for Julien and his fielding. He was so bad at the beginning that people are very excited when he makes a couple plays. He has a habit of making mistakes at crucial times. His arm is erratic and has hard hands. His work around the bag on DP is poor whether he is turning it or feeding it. It’s little things that add up: the other night his feed to Castro is off time and high. Castro has to double clutch and the hitter is safe at first. When he is turning the DP he stabs at the ball separating his hands meaning he’s slow to get the throw off. Oh and he is hitting 167 with a 637 OPS. He deserves to go to AAA as much as Wallner maybe more so.
  10. I’m hoping for the best but unless he learns how to hit something other than a fastball he is likely done. It’s a story as old as baseball. Abner Doubleday put 108 stitches on a baseball and some guys have struggled hitting those darn breaking pitches ever since.
  11. I have no problem saying that For 2024 Polanco would be better than Julien. He’s a better fielder and I believe he will put up as good or better offensive numbers while hitting righties and lefties. Julien had a good half season with a sky high babip. It would come as no surprise if he regresses pretty hard.
  12. In an offseason of head scratching moves bringing Farmer back and not using him as the backup SS is right up there. The only value he really offered was the ability to cover SS and now he can’t? Tell you what - you can have Farmer and Santana and I will take Polanco.
  13. And we are excited about Larnach taking his place? Not me. At this point I would put Martin in left and see if he can provide a little spark.
  14. I think I entered the Twilight Zone. Like the rest of the team Julien isn’t hitting and his fielding is still a work in progress. If he continues improving he might get to average. The Julien love is starting to get irrational.
  15. So I started keeping track last year of all games that were played fundamentally sound in the field. I gave up after a month or so because it was so rare. Same thing this year. When they play a clean fundamental game it is noteworthy because it doesn’t happen often. People seem to dismiss it as being old school but over the course of 162 games this level of sloppiness is going to cost a team a half a dozen games. When it comes to the playoffs that is huge. Of all the stuff that people complain about regarding Rocco (bullpen usage, pinch hitting, lineups) this is the thing that people should be pissed about.
  16. Yea I was wondering about that. I couldn’t watch the game but a botched double play early in the game is huge. How is that not a significant point in the game recap?
  17. I think you are overthinking this. They just want a fresh arm and they don’t view him as so clearly superior that he is worth keeping for the next week over the fresh arm. He has done fine but it’s not like his innings are that clean.
  18. It is odd that a team seemingly strapped for cash doesn’t have a deal in place by now.
  19. This. One of the great lies perpetrated on this site is that Falvine started with a bare cupboard. They started with a bunch of good young players and some decent pitching. Trevor May was in the pen as well.
  20. As always your articles are interesting and helpful.
  21. I wouldn’t assume he will be back soon. I think the bullpens are just ramping up towards full velocity and will be done carefully with plenty of off days in between.
  22. More sloppy baseball. The Twins seem to make at least one or two fundamental mistakes each game. I don’t know who is responsible for this aspect of the teams performance but whoever it is needs a wake up call. They seem to come to the big league team flawed. The frustrating thing is that it doesn’t get any better. I assume it’s being addressed but maybe guys just need to sit until they get the message.
  23. I was going to post about this. I think the reliever churn is something the MLBPA needs to fight MLB on. Tonkin basically got used and then kicked to the curb. Which was entirely predictable. He should feigned a back problem and made them IL him for 10 days so he would get a little more pay. The MLBPA worries about the dumbest sh*t and then lets their rank and file get used like this.
  24. Great to get the win but some sloppy ball again. Miranda with a bad throw and on the tying run in extras Wallner doesn’t get around the ball until after he fielded it meaning he couldnt uncork the throw right away. Runner just scores. Then Alcalá gets the double play grounder he needed and stood on the mound instead of covering first. Instead of being in the dugout he had to get another out in a tie game. Say what you want about the TK era but his teams didn’t make these kinds of plays.
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