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Nashvilletwin

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Everything posted by Nashvilletwin

  1. Nashvilletwin
    This is a smart move. Jeffers and Jackson are the catchers through the trade deadline. There was zero chance the Twins were going to carry three catchers. And they obviously didn’t have any other Rule 5 options that they liked. So they grab what looks to be a pretty good lottery ticket at a position of long-term institutional weakness (Tait excluded) and lack of depth. They turned their 4th selection into an attractive international signing instead of passing or selecting a player they know would not stick with the team. What’s not to like?
  2. Nashvilletwin
    I’m worried he goes at #2. We then go with a 17 year old we won’t see for a half a decade.
  3. Nashvilletwin
    #3. Couldn’t hold serve. Really wanted Lebron at #2 at the worst. Looks like a high school SS prospect, oh well. Not bad though. Could’ve been worse.
  4. Nashvilletwin
    I agree 100%. Falvey selling a bill of goods. There is a ton of risk not selling now. There is very little likelihood that Buxton and Ryan go up in value. Lopez might given his late season injury. If the trade market were strong, I’d move them all except maybe Jeffers. But that doesn’t appear to be the plan.
  5. Nashvilletwin
    What else would you do if you were in Falvey’s shoes? Of course, he’s trying to build a winner in the short-term. Unless you are completely secure in your job (which there is no chance he is), nobody wants to oversee a tear down and a multi year rebuild. Effecting that type of strategy often means bringing in a new broom. So, Falvey convinces the Nephew et al to invest a few more bucks in this year’s team. They then roll the dice on what clearly is a below average lineup buoyed by two strong starters and one oft-injured center fielder. The cost of this is possibly losing peak trade value of the three/four players who have value and will not be here past ‘27. But, hey, if things don’t look good by June/July, they can be moved then. Trade values might be higher, might be less. So, what the heck. Go for it, try hard, and, hopefully be able to be flexible if merited.
  6. Nashvilletwin
    Assuming we even would spend what it would take to sign him, why in the world would he consider signing with us if he has any options remotely close to what we might offer?
  7. Nashvilletwin
    Hope we at least hold serve today and nab one of the top two picks. Then we select either Cholowsky or Lebron. Both project as 2028 starting middle infielders or 3B with all star potential. Dream infield in ‘28: Houston with the slick glove at SS. Keaschall - now the veteran - at 1B. Culpepper at 2B. Cholowsky/Lebron at 3B. Tait at C. Add in Jenkins, ERod and Gonzalez in the OF. Keaschall (already up), ERod, Jenkins and possibly even Culpepper and Gonzalez see the big leagues in ‘26. The other three get brought up in the 2nd half of the strike shortened ‘27. Seven players on rookie deals plus Keaschall starting in ‘28. All eight have big league experience heading into that season. Plenty of cash to build the bullpen, and add a couple of starters and a vet or two (especially to be a DH or starter if a couple of them don’t pan out). Let that core more or less play together for 3-5 years. That’s the dream. But at the least, as a smallish, cash constrained franchise, we need to somehow figure out how to get at least four or five of them to be above average major leaguers.
  8. Nashvilletwin
    1. Yes. More vet retreads ala France, Gallo, Bader, etc., etc. (geez, it’s hard to remember them all). We certainly are looking to contend this year and this is the tried and true formula for success (sarcasm should be noted). However, a placeholder type who can be moved at the deadline to make room for a promotion would be ok I guess. 2. Maybe. If so, ideally the identities indicate promise. But the timing - this week, next week, next month - per se is not that important. 3, Does signing a cheap closer really matter? There is nothing worse than a closer who can’t close. And if the “closer” is cheap…… 4. No. But see #1 if the answer is yes. But Falvey may try to relive his best FA signing ever. You missed the biggest question coming out of the winter meetings: namely, what do the ping pong balls say is our draft position?
  9. Nashvilletwin
    Right back to the injuries. There are always excuses for why we never transition a high performing projectable minor leaguer into a decent major leaguer. Oh, and yes, I was for Julien staying up. Rocco ruined that kid. Constantly in his doghouse. I’m looking forward to how he performs this year with a new manager. Same with Lewis and Martin and Lee and Larnach and Wallner for that matter - they all needed new leadership. They probably all won’t make it. But to-date none of them have.
  10. Nashvilletwin
    Excellent post
  11. Nashvilletwin
    I’m not talking about those three. Just the half dozen or so that came before them. Larnach, Julien, Wallner, Kiriloff, Miranda, Martin, etc, etc. Each of those players struggled under the Twins regime and none have made it (two are out of baseball). Don’t bother with the injury excuses and the oft used “most prospects don’t make it” refrain. The fact is none of those players and none since Jeffers and Arraez have made it. Lewis and Lee are next. So many want Larnach and/or Wallner to be an every day corner OF or DH. Do you think they might be better prepared for that role if they actually had more ABs against lefties? The point remains: if you want your prospects to transition, you have to be able to make the investment in them - even when they are slumping or when the matchup isn’t ideal. You have to build their confidence. The Twins under Rocco never did that. Hopefully that changes when the next crop (the three you referenced) come up. We will see.
  12. Nashvilletwin
    Do you really think either one wants to sign an extension with the Twins? Ryan can’t wait to leave. Both will do way better than what the Twins would be willing to pay them. And Boras, their agent, knows that too.
  13. Nashvilletwin
    I wonder if one of our fellow TDers could explain how this team is better positioned to compete than last year’s team. Maybe position by position. Buxton ‘26 better than Buxton ‘25? Not likely, sadly. Lee better than Correa? No. Not close. Jeffers/Jackson better than Jeffers/Vasquez? Draw. Keaschall better than Julien, et al? Yes. Please. Martin better than Bader? Hope so, but by how much? Lewis ‘26 better than Lewis ‘25? Better be for his sake. Wallner ‘26 better than Wallner ‘25? Hope so, but by how much? Clemens/Julien better than France? Certainly not in the field. Larnach ‘26 better than Larnach ‘25? Meh. Starters? Should be if Lopez is healthy and Abel shows up. Bullpen? Not even close with Duran, Jax, and Varland gone. Shelton better than Rocco? Can’t be much worse. Unless something miraculous happens, would any person expect the ‘26 Twins to score more runs and give up fewer runs than the ‘25 team? Hard to see. Just keeping things real.
  14. Nashvilletwin
    Over the past several years, several were sent up and down or platooned. Most lost their confidence and none (!) developed into an every day major leaguer despite their minor league performance and/or draft pedigree. You want Larnach or Wallner to be any every day player in the field or DH, they have to bat against lefties. We gave AB after AB to clowns like Joey Gallo. Either you invest in your prospects or you quit blowing wind up our rears about how good these guys are. Twill this year be different? Will Jenkins, ERod, Gonzalez, even Culpepper see ML ABs? Will Wallner get platooned every time a lefty takes the mound?
  15. Nashvilletwin
    This team competing as basically currently constructed is a complete pipe dream. Sorry, but it is. A team consisting of only one above average position player (who might play 100 games if we are lucky), only one average position player (who really has to be traded by the deadline), two solid #2 starters, two solid #4 starters, possibly the most inexperienced, depth lacking (i.e worst) bullpen in the majors, and a manager whose record suggests he is well below average, is not going to contend. And there should be no expectations of any significantly helpful assets being added given the ownership situation. This is hard to argue against. But, if there are no decent offers forthcoming for what we consider our top assets (and the trade market involving top prospects has been very weak thus far this off-season), then is there much choice but to pursue this strategy? Probably not. So, the strategy is to roll with what we have and hope some players play much better than their skills and history would suggest they are capable of. Wow, talk about a Hail Mary strategy. So we will rinse and repeat the past couple of years bringing in a few has-been cheap vets, forgoing investing in playing time and crucial ABs for our true prospects, and being content with a boring roster and most certainly a losing record. The only difference is this year we are starting with even less. There may not be a better alternative, but what a snooze this year is going to be - especially if Buxton - the one player worth watching every day- gets hurt. Lets pray the ping pong balls fall our way tomorrow.
  16. Nashvilletwin
    Twins are starting the year essentially with the squad they have. Ryan, Lopez, Buxton and Jeffers are not getting moved this offseason. None of them. What’s the risk? Come July when we are 10 games under .500 the next big purge will occur and all four plus others will be gone Let’s hope they are all healthy and performing It’s hard to imagine that with the strike pending that Ryan and Buxton will get more than their current peak value Lopez, maybe Jeffers is a rounding error in this discussion, but could bring more at the deadline
  17. Nashvilletwin
    The trade market so far this year has been weak - not great returns for established talent. The pending 2027 strike might be a good part of the reason. TDers, like myself, who hoped we’d be getting a haul of top 100 in trades this off-season look like they are going to be disappointed. So, with trade conditions as they are, the FO will take these FanGraph predictions to heart and roll the dice on ‘26. So the TDers who want to keep Buxton, Lopez and Ryan should take heart - you very well could see them in Twins uniforms on Opening Day. Its not a terrible strategy if the return for any of those three isn’t a pretty much sure-fired (as much as any player can be) contributor in ‘28 and beyond. However, don’t expect any big additions to this roster to bolster the probabilities of success - the penny pinching is not going away. With only one above average major leaguer (the oft hurt Buxton) and one average major leaguer (the “has to be traded by the deadline” Jeffers) among our position players, as well as possibly the worst bullpen on paper in the majors, all being led by the proven managerial genius Shelton, the smart money has the under on 82 wins - and it’s not even close.
  18. Nashvilletwin
    Well said. It’s not that we have too many left handed corner OFs, it’s that we don’t have any good ones. ERod needs to get his chance. But I’ve (sadly) had the under on him ever being a dependable, above average major leaguer. Hope I’m wrong. Other than Jenkins, none of the others will likely ever fit that description as well.
  19. Nashvilletwin
    Let’s go complete blockbuster. Why goof off with another team if the Mets have the prospects we covet and we have just what the Mets need? Buxton and Ryan and Ober for McLean, Benge and Sloat. Essentially direct replacements. If they balk on McLean, then Buxton and Ryan for Benge, Sloat, Tong and Reimer - we keep Ober. We do not want Jett; we are long SS prospects and if we win the lottery on Sunday we will draft the best SS and overall #1 prospect in June.
  20. Nashvilletwin
    No way we trade for Jett in any event before we find out when we draft. If we get the #1, we will draft Chowolsky who is a true #1 SS prospect - way better than Jett and probably arrive just as fast.
  21. Nashvilletwin
    ‘26 will 100% not be a competitive year. ‘27 will be a stub season marred by the strike. The Twins next window starts in ‘28 and ideally can last 3-4 additional years. Sell anyone who has value and will not be here when that window opens - as long as the return is one or more players who project to contribute during that window. That’s the correct strategy for building a contender. And it also is the best strategy for increasing the franchise’s value and getting the Pohlads out. Buxton and Ryan are at peak value this week. They should be gone by Sunday. Lopez might need spring training or a month or two to get back to peak value. But if the offer is good now, hit the bid. Jeffers seems more like a trade deadline type candidate.
  22. Nashvilletwin
    Great rant. Superb.
  23. Nashvilletwin
    As usual, you make a sage, nuanced point. Bullpen failures are devasting to the morale of the team. If you are Ryan or Lopez and you pick your heart out, say going six innings and leave up 3-2 - only to see that potential win evaporate time and time again……. Or the weak hitting lineup scratches out some much needed runs only to see a lead go away….. Think of the pressure building on the entire team on every pitch and AB…. Not fun.
  24. Nashvilletwin
    So, let’s say you are looking for a new job and are being courted by several potential employers. Which of these do you choose? A. The one where the boss hates your guts. B, The one that potentially pays you a little bit more (but may have higher taxes), but the company really can’t compete and is going absolutely nowhere while you will be there, the facilities are subpar, the best employees are either leaving or want to leave, and the culture has been noxious. C. Anywhere else as long as the pay is somewhat comparable. Let’s face it. The Twins are not a premier destination for top FAs
  25. Nashvilletwin
    Nick, don’t let your heart be troubled. It won’t always be like this. Pray we win the draft lottery and we will then have multiple big league SS prospects (Culpepper, Houston, Chowolsky) from which to choose in ‘28. Heck, all three may be in our starting infield by then along with Keaschall at 1B.
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