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TNtwins85

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Everything posted by TNtwins85

  1. TNtwins85
    Well, considering the absolute mess he’s been handed by ownership twice now it could sure be a lot worse. Do I think he’s doing an A+ job? Absolutely not. This is ownerships fault and I give them 80% blame while giving Falvey 20%. Frankly I’m surprised he’s still here. Not because I think he should be fired but because I think he has and will get opportunities to go elsewhere. I also think he would be smart to for the state of how the Pohlads have handled things in his tenure. I don’t think many remember how bad the state of the team and FO was when he arrived and he turned things around quick just to make them even competent in terms of analytics, scouting and modern. This is probably gonna get thumbs down but may I suggest this. 1.Tell everyone who you think he should be replaced by. 2. Are the Pohlads capable of hiring another competent PBO? if you can’t do that then maybe you should be thinking a bit harder before just saying “Fire Falvey!” Because at that point you’re just mindlessly commenting the same thing as everyone else and you’re just another miserable pessimistic fan. And if my comment makes you more mad maybe you should just go comment on politics. Another fruitless sport that you truly can’t control. It will add to your misery but you can follow everyone else in repeating the same things and it will make you feel better hopefully.
  2. TNtwins85
    I’ve read scouting reports and articles on him. I’ve watched and seen video of him. Judging him with past HS players and the scouting reports he worries me in the sense that his bat has swing and miss. Which is gonna hinder him from tapping into that power. He’s got good athleticism to stick at SS but the arm might not. He’s not as much of a slam dunk as Emerson as far as a HS SS. I would say the same about LeBron as well. But that’s the 3rd pick for you. If Lombard dominates this spring and shows the hit tool is solid that will alleviate a lot of question marks. In turn it might push him up to 2 or even 1 depending on Emerson and Cholowsky. There’s a lot of time left. Maybe a Paul Skenes type emerges. Let’s remember he was ranked more middle of the 1st round before that season and Dylan Crews was the consensus 1-1. It’ll be a fun HS and college season!
  3. TNtwins85
    I guess what I’m saying is that they’ve done this on the fly before. None of these guys were can’t miss prospects and had their share of warts. The Twins turned these guys into high impact relievers. Had most ever heard of Duran before he made the team out of spring training throwing 104. Hardly. I remember comments about Jax and Varland and how skeptical most were. Brock Stewart was an injured journeyman on his last leg. Point is the Twins turned these guys into bullpen stars. So why would the same organization not be able to do it again? Oh yes, Falveys an idiot and should be fired. I forgot. I think they can do it again and i believe they’ve got more to work with now. Yet, If they succeed it means nothing if the defense is still poor and they struggle to score more than 2-3 runs from game to game.
  4. TNtwins85
    Right! Which looking back now knowing what I know how in the hell did we not take Trea Turner or Aaron Nola? I remember wanting them to take Nola at the time but Turner was a lock to stick at SS.
  5. TNtwins85
    Right, that’s when he was hired. Outside the organization. Who succeeded Andy Macphail? Terry Ryan=internal. Who succeeded Terry Ryan? Bill Smith=internal. Who succeeded Bill Smith? Terry Ryan=internal. Who succeeded Terry Ryan? Rob Antony=internal. Who succeeded Rob Antony? Derek Falvey=external. This team could have gotten another internal candidate in which case the Twins could be the Rockies of today. For all the Falvey hate around here I get it but I don’t get it. All I ask is for some semblance of intelligence. Instead of “Fire Falvey” every other comment. It’s like the 15th century around here with people wearing armored helmets holding pitchforks and torches yelling “kill the king”. Can we at least use a portion of our brains? Sheesh.
  6. TNtwins85
    We watched a shaky bullpen the last few years give up leads. Duran=injured and failed SP. Jax=failed SP. Stewart=injured and failed SP. Varland =failed SP. Coulombe=aging cheap FA to be. They flipped all these supposed studs who continually let them down for future value. Some of those guys may be recycled back to the BP. The point is they do it again as they’ve done before. I have no problem with that but the underlying issue was the offense. You could sign the 5 best relievers on the market but if they’re expected to continually protect 1 run leads they wear down. The bullpen will round out. They need some hitters! Internal and external. I don’t worry about the BP. I worry about the D and hitting.
  7. TNtwins85
    I believe the scouting report on Gordon was a higher floor prep. I think he accomplished exactly that for the Twins. He made it to the bigs but with little upside and didn’t have an elite tool to carry him higher. Lombard I believe has a higher ceiling but no clear floor to get him to MLB. A true boom or bust.
  8. TNtwins85
    He’s a true boom or bust prep from what I’ve heard and seen. Do they go safe pick or shoot for the stars. I think that’s the underlying point of the article in sequence of the 3rd pick. At that point a lot of the draft changes depending on how a team goes. Some shoot for the stars and some take the safe pick. Still a lot of times it’s a coin flip regardless if it’s a college or prep, pitcher or hitter taken.
  9. TNtwins85
    It would seem that it’s not just the Twins or Pohlads who facilitated all this and it was in turn handled with tight conjunction with MLB. I just skimmed this section but I love you went to the actual CBA agreement as I like to routinely reference to the actual agreement rather than read an article on someone else’s interpretation of it. It’s interesting when you really dig into that thing!
  10. TNtwins85
    I thought there was a path to Rustchman but after they traded Caden Bodine yesterday I think the line of succession goes to Basallo in a few years if they don’t just outright extend Rustchman at this point. I was of the thinking that a trade like Pablo or Ryan paired with Jeffers bringing back Rustchman, Mayo, Bradfield and 1 or 2 close to ready prospects to backfill the rotation/bullpen really fit is seemed to have crashed and burned. I take it the Twins and Orioles have discussed something along these lines the last few weeks and they couldn’t figure out a path. I believe the line to the Orioles as a trade partner has died or we for sure would’ve seen them pull the trigger on something as they matched up well. They have clearly pivoted going in their own division to get Baz. I take it the Rays weren’t their ideal trading partner which I think means the Twins weren’t impressed by whatever they were offering.
  11. TNtwins85
    Not gonna happen. Everyone’s lucky that for some reason and stroke of sheer luck they went outside the org for Falvey and didn’t just settle on Rob Antony or the Bill Smith style line of succession. Let the man work without being blindfolded on a plank with both hands tied behind his back. Let the thumbs down commence!
  12. TNtwins85
    Really? Can we stop this already. Falvey isn’t getting fired. If anything he’s now bought himself another 2-3 years. Y’all can thumbs down this post but that’s the reality. I believe he was hamstrung by the old Pohlad regime. Plain and simple. If he had full reign to do what he wanted I believe it would’ve been more of what got them to 2019 and 2023 rather than what has happened since. It was a long time ago but remember where this franchise was on the field and in the FO 10 years ago? They were the Rockies now essentially. No analytics department. Old school thinking baseball system. A pitching pipeline that had struggled to develop even one playoff caliber starter in decades and down right awful baseball. Remember Terry Ryan? Retread central,pitch to contact, bad trades because of outdated thinking, bad drafting when handed multiple top 10’s, company man who never shook things up when he could've( he had Pohlad trust), had pride in bringing in a payroll under the budget he got. Falvey revamped the whole analytics department, has built a pitching pipeline( not one that produces “Aces” but one that continually can supplement depth. That’s a pipeline), made strategic moves to get the Twins to 2017 and 2019 playoff appearances when it should’ve taken a few more years. Some moves weren’t the best but show me another FO who makes good decisions every time. Compared to Ryan, Falvey is on another level and what this franchise needed in order to not be the Rockies of today. I don’t agree with him on a lot. Maybe we should see what happens when he’s not trying to execute a team plan with his hands tied behind his back so much financially wise. Also, he’s not being fired.
  13. TNtwins85
    As soon as Walker Jenkins comes up. Other than that everyone else has to prove themselves. Yes, Jenkins is no sure thing but every service time day as a Boras client is one day closer to free agency.
  14. TNtwins85
    When are we gonna start hearing from the doomsayers? Where is the “baseball is broken”, “they need a cap/floor system”, “fire Rocco, Falvey, the front office, the Pohlads!” Crowd? Anything yet? Oh, I think I hear them coming.
  15. TNtwins85
    With Falvey and Zoll I believe!
  16. TNtwins85
    I’m ok with Wallner as a DH. That DH spot is getting really crowded with about 5 guys to rotate through there haha
  17. TNtwins85
    Yeah, but for what? What do you get for Larnach? An rookie ball relief pitcher?
  18. TNtwins85
    Exactly, makes me wonder what their plans are for Larnach, Wallner, Roden, Martin, Outman, Clemons, Julien, Gasper, etc etc etc. maybe they can package them all together in a trade to get a Christmas present for the new minority owners!
  19. TNtwins85
    Well, the Twins paid that guy for awhile too. He talked a big game and turned in 5.1WAR over 2.5 seasons for the bargain price of $100M. That worked out great as well. Goes to show that paying for any FA usually isn’t worth the price. Whether it be $7M or $100M. Paying for a players declining years almost never works out well. You could run a lineup of Josh Bells out every game and be happy that your payroll is $182M. How will that team perform???? Yet it would make some happy that their payroll is $182M!
  20. TNtwins85
    What prospect at 1B is he blocking?
  21. TNtwins85
    For 1 game with Baltimore he was worth an 0-1 record with 8IP 5H 1ER 1BB and 3 K’s. That’s what he was worth to Baltimore. More than what MIL got from Ortiz and Hall that postseason but not much more.
  22. TNtwins85
    Please go back to watching your NFL and NBA games if you have nothing to contribute other than the same beat to death horse. Yes we all know MLB is doomed without the cap/floor. It’s been said 5 billion times in here.
  23. TNtwins85
    It’s a numbers game. Corbin Burnes- 1 yr of control-provided Bal 3.5WAR DL Hall- 4 years of control left- 0.5WAR Joey Ortiz-4 years of control left- 3.0WAR Hall could be a rotation piece or a LRP. Ortiz provides at the very least very strong defensive shortstop. Devin Williams-1yr of control-provided NYY with -.3WAR Caleb Durbin- 5years of control left- 2.8WAR Nestor Cortes-1yr of control- -.2WAR Durbin is your 3B and was one of the only reliable bats in their playoff run. Cortes provided almost nothing Josh Hader- 1.5yr control- provided SDP with 1.5WAR this one is a bit more complicated but they got Robert Gasser who still has 5 years of control and has provided .3WAR. Dinelson Lamet was immediately waived and signed by the Rockies. Taylor Rogers provided -.4WAR for the rest of 2022. Estuery Ruiz provided -.2WAR in 3 games but was a piece used to acquire William Contreras, Joel Payamps and Justin Yeager. Those 3 have combined for 14.6WAR. Overall Contreras provided most of that but at the catcher position. Burnes, Williams, Hader=4.7WAR Prospects=20.7WAR roughly thats just those trades. Pretty productive I’d say and still providing!
  24. TNtwins85
    This is the Pohlads fallback position. I’ve stated this several times on Twinsdaily that you can see the plan. The Pohlads have never blown it up when they should have. They hold on to their 2-3 guys to stay “competitive”. In the Pohlads mind “competitive” means they keep guys they should’ve traded to simply claim they’re still “competing”. Through 3 different GM’s/PBO’s this has been the case now. Do I believe they can compete in the central? Yes. But, that’s accompanied by several moves to maximize this core. Maybe Falvey can do what Macphail and Ryan could not. Maybe third time is the charm. In the end three generations of Pohlads have overseen this same situation and it brought us the late 90’s Twins and the 2011-2016 Twins. So sit back and enjoy the show. All while other teams completely tore themselves down to make future legitimate runs at a WS and the Twins continually find themselves back in the same place over 35 years.
  25. TNtwins85
    I would have tended to agree before the Alonso signing but now that infield seems crowded. Especially added with the Basallo signing. This clearly shows they don’t have the time to let Mayo work out his problems. Do they trust Mayo or Westburg at 3B? Westburg has put up the better numbers and took a step further last year. Could they send down Mayo and let him work it out there? Yes, but at this point he hasn’t quite dominated there but held his own and I think he needs MLB AB’s. The gamble is worth the top 50 pedigree and power potential while also possibly filling the 1B black hole. If that takes a SP not named Ryan or Lopez they need to roll the dice.
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