As we have dozens of discussions of specific players and rumors I thought it would be interesting to discuss in a more war room, game theory manner. Speculating on names is fun but mostly unproductive. Who had Floro on their bingo card anyway? As Brock lays out here the market is rapidly changing and keeping up with names is a whole other layer of nerdery on top.
If you were in the room with Derek and the decision makers (great band name) what would you propose as a strategy? What business case would you stake a professional reputation on? What pivot would you make when a major domino falls? Without any real idea how various front offices actually value players I’d rather not talk about a bag of balls for Gallo. We have many threads for that already.
I’ll start for an example. Keep in mind I’d be comfortable presenting this to Falvey and not worried about getting fired.
My focus for the trade deadline would be stacking the bullpen. Not getting another reliever to help out, stacking it deep with 2-3 solid arms. I’m comfortable trading any LH corner bat for an appropriate return with Kirilloff being my most valued. My preference is trading from the 40 man but if a AA Kiersey gets a usable reliever back I would do it. Appropriate returns for Miranda, SWR, Polanco and rule 5 considerations are welcome but I’m not selling from the top prospects.
My theory on stacking the bullpen is that we need to lean into our strength and try to pitch our way through. The model is the Royals of 2015 but with better starting pitchers. The rotation is showing signs of slowing and a stacked bullpen will allow some rest down the stretch and be lights out in the playoffs. I would also consider moving a current starter to the pen as well. Varland is intriguing to me but others may prefer Meada.
The bats we have in house will have to get it done. I’m ok with getting a cheap RH corner bat somewhere in the mix but I have very little priority on that issue. I believe at some point in September Buxton will start to work the outfield in preparation for a playoff run. At some point, If he goes down at least he went down swinging in October instead of June. That’s the RH outfield bat solution.
I think this is the best combination of win now, win next year I can present with the information available. I don’t see a big splash move that does anything as productive as what I’ve laid out here, especially considering relative costs.
What do you think? What would you present to Falvey? How did Ohtani and the Angels make you pivot? Keeping ahead of this front office is quite a challenge but it could be fun.