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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    1. Organizational depth. His 40-man spot is as solid as Buddy Bo's 2. I'd love to see the Twins bring up Romero the way the WSox brought Sale and have him build arm strength and consistency in the majors pen. He can be very good 3. Too early to tell, but I doubt it. 4. Of course. Adding them to trade packages to improve them. Better shop them when they have some value than let them walk as a MiLB FAs, Rule 5, or waiver wire picks in the near or far future.
  2. Thrylos
    It happens, esp. if they do not have plus to plus plus stuff. Just like Liam Hendiks whose 2.89 ERA, 1.079 WIP, 8.1 K/9, 2.4 BB/9 career MiLB numbers are in the ballpark of Kyle Hendricks's (2.94 ERA, 1.098 WIP, 7.7 K/9, 2.2 BB/9) and Stephen Gonsalves's (2.39 ERA, 1.087 WIP, 9.7 K/9, 3.3 BB/9). For every Kyle, there is a Liam.
  3. Thrylos
    Good luck competing with Cleveland, Houston, and the Yankees; not to mention the Dodgers, Cubs, Expos etc. with this rotation in a short series or in one game series They need two pitchers better than Berrios to compete and Santana is not one of them.
  4. Thrylos
    I think that the answer to May is a bit more complicated, given the back issues that likely arose from his body not being well prepared for / adjusted to a pen role. I understand that this is a new set of coaches and decision makers than previously, which might help him. Another thing that complicates the answer is that we don't know who will be on the Twins roster come next March. If they get 2 top of the rotation arms and keep Santana, there is no space for May in the rotation, unless there is an injury. In the unfortunate event that the Twins do not get enough arms, May better have a spot unless he proves he is not ready. For some reason, I see this as a Santana vs. May situation, because the Twins will help themselves to top of the rotation pitchers. If Santana is not here, May will be in the rotation, if/when ready. if Santana is here, May will be in the pen and used as a spot starter, assuming he is ready. May has an option, which makes things a tad more flexible. Still long enough time to think about it. Come February/March, we'll have more data points.
  5. Thrylos
    The reality is that Hughes is owed $13.5 M each of the 2018 and 2019 seasons. I think that the best case scenario for the Twins is to package him along with all their international bonus $ to Otani's suitor who will give them the best breathing prospect back.
  6. Thrylos
    Not that I disagree re: Otani's prospects as a two-way player, but you got to add Eric Thames to the list of the people who were good in Asian leagues and continued so in the majors
  7. Thrylos
    When Ichiro was in Seattle, the Mariners' owner was a Japanese company. This was true until last year. Now they just have 10% of the Mariners. Not sure how much that has to do with anything
  8. Thrylos
    He will spend at least 2-3 weeks there in January between the winter caravan and Twinsfest
  9. Thrylos
  10. Thrylos
    Not quite. The coaches who were added last year made a whole lot of a difference. Plus the way the DL was used last year and the way players were moved back and forth to AAA was light-years ahead of the age of Ryan.
  11. Thrylos
    Well, Pohlad could have moved the team to the West Coast. This is what it would have taken to sign Otani. He wants to live and play there. Geography did not help the Twins. Nothing that the FO could have done.
  12. Thrylos
    It takes two to Tango. Otani was not interested in the Twins...
  13. Thrylos
    I think that there is way too much information, including conflicting information out there. Allegedly he is inviting a handful of teams to meet with him in LA next week. We will find out which teams are the finalists. Re: west coast small markets. There really is not such a beast. Seattle is a close to 4 million metro and the headquarters of Microsoft and Amazon. San Diego is a 3 million metro with the highest real estate $ in the country (in the desirable areas). There are teams that fans do not like (Padres, A's), but small markets they are not. Same situation with the Marlins. Miami is not a small market. They just fail to capture it... One more thing re small markets in the west coast: Median household income: LA $55,870, San Diego: $63,996, Seattle: $75,331, San Fransisco: $78,378 (Twin Cities $71,008)
  14. Thrylos
    Another way of looking at it. All Stars. Only 7 position players who Ryan (&Co) drafted made it to the All Star game (and only 2 of them Mauer and Morneau more than 1 times.) . That is about 20 position players who are All Stars per year, and a lot of years... How about MVPs? 2 Silver Sluggers? No matter where you draw the line, it is below what the average should have been.
  15. Thrylos
    Again: Who are the Hall of Fame caliber hitters that he drafted? Stahoviak? Not that MacPhail did much better, but we know who his scouting director was...
  16. Thrylos
    See above. I am talking about Hall of Famers. Do you want to wait until their eligibility is over to say that nobody who Ryan (& Co) drafted from 1994 to 2011 (with the potential but unlikely exception) of Mauer is a Hall of Famer? About 2-3 people who are drafted per year make it to the Hall of Fame. That's the ratio.
  17. Thrylos
    They don't have to be inducted to the Hall of Fame to be included. For example, it is pretty safe to say that none of Ryan & Co's picks from 1994 to 2011 will make it to the Hall of Fame, with the potential exception of maybe Mauer and that is very unlikely. For picks drafter from 2012-2016 we will know in 2-3 years or so. How about rings? World Series appearances? Better way to judge a GM and FO? Because the result is the same as far as Ryan goes.
  18. Thrylos
    For 23 years, sure it can be. In those 23 years about 50-60 players went to the Hall of Fame. Zero were drafted by Ryan & Co, where the norm would be 2-3 should have been, if his drafts were "average" and about double that, if they were "good". Just math.
  19. Thrylos
    Really? Ryan was the GM since 1994. That's 23 years ago. And he had plenty of high picks. How many HOF hitters were drafted under him? Maybe one, and he will should not make it.
  20. Thrylos
    It is a team option that the Twins can pick up for $14M or buy it out for $1M. If he pitches 200+ innings, it will automatically vest and cannot be bought out. The Twins are in for $1M for 2019 as is, and they can pick it up for $14M even if he is on the DL the whole season (not that I wish him that.)
  21. Thrylos
    They have a team option that vests with 200 IP in 2018 for $14M. Extending him is unnecessary, unless they want to pay $11M for his age 36 season
  22. Thrylos
    Not quite close: Santana 2017: 3.28 ERA, 4.46 FIP, 2.9 fWAR, 19.3 K%, 12.3 K/BB, 1.13 WHIP/ .245 BABIP, 10.1 SwStr% FranKKKKie 2010: 3.62 ERA, 2.66 FIP, 5.7 fWAR, 24.9 K%, 17.7K/BB, 1.26 WHIP/ .331 BABIP, 12.5 SwStr% That said, I totally agree with the rest: Santana needs to go. That ERA-FIP difference, the facts that he was not consistent but had an extremely unreliable June (6.03 ERA) and July (4.68 ERA), he is half a ligament away from disaster, and very likely his 2019 option will vest with IP in 2018, makes it a must to get him traded. Plus he chocked when it really mattered in the postseason. Package him with Dozier and see what you get.
  23. Thrylos
    Under (reference to his perpetual home schooling)
  24. Thrylos
    Re: the Puckett clause: Check out the Tony Oliva Clause, the Doc Gooden Clause, the Fernando Valenzuela Clause, the Mike Scott Clause and the Ron Guidry Clause as well. If those guys are not in the Hall, Johan does not belong either.
  25. Thrylos
    Do tell: How much better. Name names
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