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RedBull34

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Everything posted by RedBull34

  1. Man, I still can't believe that Duensing was such a vital piece of our trade for ________________.
  2. The poster boys for Analytics is the Tampa Bay Rays. You know, one of the most successful $/win teams of the last two decades. It's far from being the Twins.
  3. My criticism is that wOBA correctly treats all hits differently, it doesn't do the same for outs. A ball in play IS more valuable then a strikeout, even if the result is the same. You can't move players up or generate a possibility of an error on a strikeout (or rather the odds are much lower) then a ball in play.
  4. Truly the crown has been vacant since Brian Dozier left the league.
  5. All his HR's in the minor's last year were from the Left side of the plate, but he had a higher slugging from the right. It's very small sample size though (98 PA's as a LHB, 24 as a RHB). Edited as I completely got this backwards.
  6. IDK, the Yanks are built for Power, and the ball doesn't travel as well in the cold. Probably the best time of year to play them. Stro's are too, good to see the Twins get that series out of the way early. I think they stand a better chance in April then they do in August against both. But we'll see how healthy the Twins are coming through ST...
  7. Was the mistake trading Urshela, or choosing Gallo over Bell? Obviously Bell went for higher, but he would have been a much cleaner fit for the roster IMO. Twins don't have any 1B prospects knocking down the door, so they could have offered a similar contract that he got from the Guardians (if the budget allowed it)
  8. And Joe Ryan's public statements suggest he was fine with being pulled and yet you argue he should have stayed in??? There is a difference with no complaining publicly and supporting the decision. Ryan and Kershaw were both probably pissed, if if they understood.
  9. There have been 317 No Hitters in MLB History. There have been 23 Perfect Games. Perfect Games happen so rarely that it's worth the risk, no matter the situation.
  10. I find it humorous that people are pissed off that Rocco for pulling Ryan last night and wanting a better manager (like Roberts) when: Baldelli pulled a rookie pitcher trying to throw a no-no at a pitch count of 106. Roberts pulled a veteran trying to throw a PERFECT GAME at a pitch count of 80!!! I would prefer both had been left in as I think the game is getting away from the history part of the game, but seriously. How does this compute?
  11. To be fair, they were gifted Swanson. It's not their fault the D-Backs made a terrible trade.
  12. While I agree this is/was a bad short-term trade, this is the type of trade teams like the Rays make all the time. Trading good players with limited control, for other players with more. Is there any indication the Twins would have extended Rogers? If not, while it sucks for this year, it's the type of trade you make to extend your competitive window (even if it slightly closes it on the current year)
  13. Arraez's defensive numbers in LF are about the same and his bat is definitely better. I'd be in no hustle to sign Upton.
  14. Other then that he doesn't play catcher, he's basically a much better hitting Astudillo. Bat plays, but the D is sketchy. If he was taller, I'd really like to see him at 1B a lot more. I don't know how you sit him against RHP, he's too damn good against them.
  15. I'd imagine this is a pretty cheap deal. He didn't pitch particularly well last year and is 37. Basically a replacement for Robles?
  16. Buxton is a 75 or 80 in speed. I love the way he runs. It doesn't even look like he runs, he just more glides it's so smooth.
  17. Nimrod was a king of Babylon. His name literally means "Mighty Hunter". Bugs Bunny ironically called Elmer Fudd a "Nimrod" based on the literal translation, in the cartoons, but most kids didn't know that and started using it as an insult. So the town means "Mighty Hunter".
  18. Ugh. This doesnt move the meter for me at all.
  19. I wonder if he will eventually be looked upon more favorably since his peak was in the heart of the steroid era, but as far as I know, never got caught up in that controversy.
  20. He's not even the worst free-agent signing of this year! Colome, Happ, and Shoemaker were all worse! I doubt he'd even be in the top 50 worst FA signings by the Twins. It's only a one year deal, it's not like we are talking Albert Pujols or Jacoby Ellsbury.
  21. Would you rather have a player with a .250/.350/.400 line (.750 OPS) or a .275/.300/.450 line (.750 OPS) Player A in 200 AB's has 50 Hits, 22 Walks, and 80 Total Bases. This is 102 Total Bases with Hits + Walks in 200 AB's, or 222 PA's. They have made 128 Outs. Player B in 200 AB's has 55 Hits, 5 Walks, and 90 Total Bases. This is 95 Total Bases with Hits + Walks in 200 AB's, or 205 PA's. They have made 140 Outs.
  22. I think that this would make sense as I'd say since then there has been a deflation on the importance of BA and an inflation on the importance on OBP. However according to OPS a 1B is MUCH more valuable then a BB. While I agree that a 1B is more valuable then a BB it's not as much as OPS would think. E.G. A player goes 1-4 with a 1B. They have a .250/.250/.250 line. That is a OPS of .500. A player goes 0-3 with a BB. They have a .000/.333/.000 line. That is an OPS of .333. I don't seem to believe that a BB is worth only 2/3's of a 1B. I'd think a BB is worth more then that percentage. My point is that like WAR, OPS is nice for a quick reference, but it's not the end all stat. It underweights OBP vs. both BA and SLG.
  23. The only real criticism I'd have of this approach is that OPS assumes 1 point of OBP = 1 point of SLG, but this isn't true. That's why Arraez is IMO, better then his OPS numbers. His numbers are weighted more towards OBP then SLG. It's also why players like Buxton and Eddie Rosario HAVE to run high BA's to be successful. They don't take any BB's, so they are widly BABIP dependent. As long as they hit the ball hard and have at least average luck, they'll be fine. But if they don't...
  24. I concur. Kirilloff is the 1B of the future. Sano can just try to see if he can make contact to be the DH next year.
  25. I dont particularly care how likeable by the other team a guy is. His teammates seem to respect him. And God forbid he call out cheaters, it's not like he's bashing on people for their political views or stuff like this: https://www.google.com/amp/s/syndication.bleacherreport.com/amp/2614994-delmon-young-arrested-latest-details-comments-and-reaction.amp.html https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.forbes.com/sites/alexreimer/2015/10/27/torii-hunter-gay-and-latin-player-comments-sully-his-legacy/amp/
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