Oldgoat_MN
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Everything posted by Oldgoat_MN
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Article: Five Pitcher And Catcher Headlines
Oldgoat_MN replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I'm sure your numbers are all correct based on 100 innings. I was looking at qualified starters, which I think is like 160 innings. It's a custom table at FanGraphs, but maybe the link will work. Here- 25 replies
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- phil hughes
- jason castro
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2017 Twins Off-Season top 60 Prospect List: 1-5
Oldgoat_MN commented on Thrylos's blog entry in Thrylos' Blog - select Tenth Inning Stretch posts
Gordon - yeah, it looks like he can be a solid, average SS someday. That's great, but not what you might hope from a #5 pick. Romero - really anxious to see if he can keep close to the WHIP and K rate he's been showing! Diaz - why can't a guy who weighs 180 pounds figure out the outfield? If he can hit triples he can't be a statue. It would really help if he had some positional flexibility Jay - man I hope you're right! Javier - I really like it that you get excited by these really young players. This year should tell us a lot about him. Thanks Thrylos! -
Article: Five Pitcher And Catcher Headlines
Oldgoat_MN replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
If by 'drop that down to 5%' you mean that you expect it to jump 50% again when he comes up, I can appreciate that goal. I'm sure I do not need to tell you, Thrylos, that only 6 starting pitchers had a 5% or lower BB% in 2016. Your point is certainly valid. No SP with 160+ innings in MLB had a 12% BB rate. I also think, though, that if someone (limited number of people) coaches him well he can put up near the walk rates he was putting up in AAA. And yes, that coach is probably not on the Puerto Rico coaching staff. If he is we should hire him.- 25 replies
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- phil hughes
- jason castro
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Article: Five Pitcher And Catcher Headlines
Oldgoat_MN replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I agree that Gibson should not be a lock. I also think he and Santiago are almost the same pitcher. Santiago is a little younger and has had more success, but neither is setting MLB pitching stats on fire. I suspect both to be on a short leash early on. Issues with either could result in a trip to the bullpen as they see what Mejia, Duffey or whoever else doesn't make the initial starting rotation has to offer.- 25 replies
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- phil hughes
- jason castro
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Article: Five Pitcher And Catcher Headlines
Oldgoat_MN replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
You have Adalberto Mejia as an option in the bullpen. I believe they want to see if he can be a starter,. We'll see.- 25 replies
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- phil hughes
- jason castro
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Article: What To Make Of Kennys Vargas
Oldgoat_MN replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
There were 25 DH last year with >= 100 at bats. Vargas was 8th in OPS, 9th in wRC+ and 5th in ISO. It wasn't luck either, as he was 12th in BABIP. I hope we get a chance to see what he is capable of. -
Article: What To Make Of Kennys Vargas
Oldgoat_MN replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
He has a career 103 OPS+ for his short career. I'm going to focus on his 123 OPS+ from last year. He got jerked around by his manager last year, as did several other players. He seldom started against LH pitchers, even though he had a 1.262 OPS against them. And as has been noted on this thread and others, he seems to get benched when he's hitting well. I think it would be foolish not give him a regular slot, whether that be as the 1B when a LH is pitching or to try him against everybody. Basically we do not yet know what he's capable of. Vargas' use is one of the reasons I have no confidence in this manager at all. -
What does Luis Arraez look like as a hitter? Does he have sufficient bat speed? What do the scouts say about him? For a 19 year old to post an .830 OPS in A ball is pretty sweet. I'd have more confidence in Gordon if he were to put up numbers like that at some level.
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- brian dozier
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I like it. Both EE and Polanco hit LH pitchers better than RH pitchers, too. Good idea.
- 47 replies
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- byron buxton
- max kepler
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Article: Five Remaining Free Agent Fits
Oldgoat_MN replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Good point. I don't know. He only pitched 22.1 innings last year (in MLB). He pitched 102 innings in 2013 and then 187 innings in 2015. Maybe they blew out his arm.- 80 replies
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- jason hammel
- doug fister
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Article: Five Remaining Free Agent Fits
Oldgoat_MN replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Henderson Alvarez is projected by FanGraphs to have a 3.91 FIP this year. His ERA last season was 6.45 in spite of his FIP being 3.85. His WHIP and SO/9 were terrible. He's 26 years old. Was 2016 an off year for him or has he already lost it?- 80 replies
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- jason hammel
- doug fister
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Article: Draft Preview: Greene Hits 100
Oldgoat_MN replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I suspect that with Greene it will be all about his secondary pitches, which he really doesn't need in HS. If he wants be drafted #1 he is going to have to display his entire arsenal. If the secondary pitches look good I will be interested to see the reviews. I expect the word 'rave' to apply.- 53 replies
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- hunter greene
- royce lewis
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Article: Bullpen Competition Gets Crowded
Oldgoat_MN replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Then you'd have to factor in the pitching. "How many runs did the pitchers give up in Target Field in 2010?, 2011?, 2012?..." And for each team. Otherwise the talent on the pitching staff would have everything to do with how many runs the Giants scored in Target Field, especially as the Giants have a SSS in Target Field. Lots of variables.- 62 replies
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- matt belisle
- michael tonkin
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Article: Get To Know: Kernels RH RP Tom Hackimer
Oldgoat_MN replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
To see a prospect step out of college and immediately do well in class A ball is encouraging. Good luck to him! -
Article: Bullpen Competition Gets Crowded
Oldgoat_MN replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
2016 Twins per FanGraphs: Fielding.................29th of 30 Batting..................25th of 30 Pitching (starters)...26th of 30 Pitching (relief).......23rd of 30 So, two things: 1. You are right 2. Our bullpen was the highlight of the team last year- 62 replies
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- matt belisle
- michael tonkin
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Article: Bullpen Competition Gets Crowded
Oldgoat_MN replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
So... he's all these things and still better than Kyle Gibson. I agree with you, and that's why I think the FO will be looking for an upgrade within the organization if Santiago or Gibson don't show better results this year.- 62 replies
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- matt belisle
- michael tonkin
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Article: Bullpen Competition Gets Crowded
Oldgoat_MN replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Even with his terrible start with the Twins Santiago had a better 2016 (all in the AL) than his slightly older teammate Kyle Gibson. I expect both of them to be on a short leash this year. If Either or both are pitching poorly we need to find out if the younger guys can make it work in MLB. No more hanging on to guys for seemingly no more reason than the have seniority and the are 'adequate'.- 62 replies
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- matt belisle
- michael tonkin
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Article: Additions By Subtractions?
Oldgoat_MN replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Haha. That was pretty good, I knew it was bad, but I had to look it up to see he had 12 SB and was caught stealing 9 times.- 38 replies
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- byungho park
- matt belisle
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I would be very surprised. I think if you go into the playoffs with a 3rd catcher that is an interesting move. If you try to play through a season with 3 catchers it would limit your bench too severely.
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- jason castro
- mitch garver
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I think it would be very valuable to have an emergency catcher on the 25-man roster. It would have to be someone who could play other positions and could actually hit. Cesar Tovar used to be the emergency catcher for the Twins and he actually caught. I was told he would catch a couple of ST games each year so, if needed, he wasn't too terribly raw, but I have no first hand knowledge of this. (i.e. the guy who told me that story has a tendency to make things up)
- 32 replies
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- jason castro
- mitch garver
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Article: Twins Super (Bowl) Predictions
Oldgoat_MN replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
In 2013 Austin Malinowski had a 1.091 WHIP with 9.6 SO/9 as a 20 year old. Sure it was rookie ball, but it was only his second year. How could he ‘retire’? Can we get him to join the Lookouts? Even if he likes the Pats.- 52 replies
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- jeff manship
- stephen gonsalves
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How Will Derek Falvey Improve Twins Pitching? Apparently by signing NL older relief pitchers to one year contracts to pitch the all-important 7th inning on a non-contending team.
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- minnesota twins
- derek falvey
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Article: Twins To Sign RH RP Matt Belisle
Oldgoat_MN replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Hey Platoon! Does this also qualify as 'faint praise'? -
Article: Twins To Sign RH RP Matt Belisle
Oldgoat_MN replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I don't think I like it Tom. Boshers is 28 year old, had a 1.167 WHIP, a 2.84 FIP and 9.3 K/9 last season. If that were as bad as it gets we wouldn't have lost 103 games. EDIT: For those who prefer xFIP, he had the best on the team with 3.38.

