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Oldgoat_MN

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Everything posted by Oldgoat_MN

  1. Oldgoat_MN
    I think it remains to be seen if there are any top notch college stars. True, there is no sure thing Scherzer or Sale in the group, but they weren't sure things either. Greene might be the guy, but it's difficult to rate his secondary pitches when he almost never needs them in HS. I read some accounts saying Kohl Stewart had the highest upside in the entire 2013 draft. I'm not blasting Stewart here, just reminding that all High School pitchers are a huge gamble. I absolutely agree with Darius. No #1/#1 outfielder, especially one prone to strike out at the rate Kendall does.
  2. Oldgoat_MN
    I like New York pizza but have never tried Chicago or Detroit pizza. My favorite Minnesota pizza is at a restaurant right up the road. The restaurant is called 'Dairy Queen'. The pizza is called 'Hot Fudge Sundae'.
  3. Oldgoat_MN
    Immediately after a 4 pitch walk, Buxton comes to the plate and swings at a ball almost in the dirt. The third pitch (the strikeout pitch) was well outside. Makes you wonder why Moylan threw that second pitch over the plate. Buck has to stop pressing.
  4. Oldgoat_MN
    I think there is a pretty good chance that we can field a middle infield with Escobar, Polanco, Goodrum, Gordon and Vielma. Not sure who else might show up and of course any of these players might decline early, but I'm not too worried about the MI. The corner infield positions may feature Sano, Park, Goodrum/utility MI and a number of possibilities, though I do not have high hopes for Palka and Diaz will still be young. Still, 1B is among the easiest positions to fill in FA. A lot of the preparation for the future will be determined by the play of Rosario and Vargas this year. Rosario is a good fielder and has speed, and therefore has a much longer leash than Vargas. If Rosario doesn't step forward we have a big gap in the OF. Bigger than I want to count on Granite to fill, as I see him as a 4th OF. If Vargas does step forward I would consider that a major win for the Twins. And even this rosy outlook depends on Kepler, Buxton and Sano becoming at least close to the players we have been hoping they would. With the way the pitchers are lined up in the minors I wouldn't put any money on a post-season game next year, but the future holds some reason for optimism.
  5. Oldgoat_MN
    I thought the veteran Santana was a great cheerleader yesterday. He regularly clapped or pointed at the defenders when they made their plays. Keep reminding everyone that their play is important and that good defensive play is appreciated. It looked like a veteran pitcher motivating his team. Nice touch.
  6. Oldgoat_MN
    OK. So when a LH is pitching for the opposition and neither Mauer nor Castro should be batting who is going to catch? Who is going to play 1B?
  7. Oldgoat_MN
    As Mauer's stats have fallen specifically against LH pitchers, we here at TD had widely believed Mauer would bat fewer times against LH pitchers. Makes sense, right? Apparently we are not as clever as our new SABR-metric FO. OK. Who plays 1B and who is the DH when we face a southpaw?
  8. Oldgoat_MN
    September 12 through October 2, 2016, Buxton hit .219/.315/.500 (.815) which is certainly a fine OPS from a Gold Glove caliber CF, but that BA was pretty painful. His BABIP was .305 so probably a little shy of what we should expect of a guy with Buck’s speed. His September stats were primarily boosted by his .405 BA and .476 BABIP in the first 10 games of that month (1.355 OPS). Even then he struck out at a 30% clip over those 10 games. I’m a big Buxton fan, but I’m not so sure his contact issues are behind him. I’m also not optimistic he can sustain the 10% walk rate he had in September. If Buck can manage a .250 BA and keep his OBP>.300 I believe his power will put him in the mid to upper .700s for OPS. Not an All-Star, but a guy trending in the right direction.
  9. Oldgoat_MN
    Yeah, I didn't know that was possible... I have fewer likes than f***s to give.
  10. Oldgoat_MN
    Chris Gimenez is bringing his .602 OPS from last year to be a backup 1B? Mauer can do better than that even if he only faced LH pitchers. DanSan? I am not finding many of their moves what I would call 'inspiring'.
  11. Oldgoat_MN
    I'm holding out hope that the reason they signed Breslow was largely to see what his 'analytic' approach produces for him. If positive they may work it into the development of some of the other pitchers. I doubt this is the first time Falvey or Levine have been intrigued by pitching mechanics.
  12. Oldgoat_MN
    I'm with you except for Boshers. Too little data to be sure that last year was a fluke. SIERA, FIP and xFIP suggest it wasn't. And I agree that Haley could go. This team is trying to determine who they should keep from one of the worst pitching staffs of 2016. Some team out there is likely going to DFA someone who is better than some of the players we have. If we are watching carefully we may find a couple of them to help our team. I'll be very curious to see what our new FO does here.
  13. Oldgoat_MN
    Any changes to player development is going to take a little time. I expected more changes in the organization right away, but we should have anticipated that if these guys are really good and have the team's long term well-being in mind that they would work to fully grasp what the Twins have before they start changing everything. I don't want to wait. I've been watching this sh*t for 6 years. But a long term organization build that results in a competitive baseball year after year is a wiser approach. Good luck guys.
  14. Oldgoat_MN
    And we like Mauer for other reasons, too.
  15. Oldgoat_MN
    I think if Mauer has his AB against LHP severely limited and he can retain his lofty BB% he has a good chance at: 400 AB, .275 BA, .375 OBP, .390 SLG (.765). 12 - 18 doubles, 5 - 8 home runs. And a triple. Mauer should hit a triple.
  16. Oldgoat_MN
    This is the issue I have with Tonkin as a long relief guy. He's not one. If you go to his game logs for 2016 here we see that the vast majority of issues he had were when pitching >1.0 innings. He is a 1 inning pitcher. Is he effective enough in that role to deserve a roster spot? I don't know, but keeping him as a mop-up guy is an inappropriate allocation of resources.
  17. Oldgoat_MN
    I am not a scout. I am just a baseball fan. Would someone please help me understand why Justin Haley is potentially an important part of our future? I'm serious here. If he had his exact history with the Twins would anyone think he was going to get picked up if we sent him down? (I know he would go back to Boston) Would anybody get upset about it? I see nothing in his stats that suggest a soon-to-blossom 26 yo MLB starter. Looking for any insight other than, "He must stay on the team because we selected him in the Rule 5 draft". Thank you in advance.
  18. Oldgoat_MN
    Yeah, middle relievers drive me crazy. Based on FIP, xFIP, WHIP and SIERA our two best bullpen arms last year were May and Boshers. Now Buddy is getting beat up this spring. I would think he has to perform to make the team. He doesn't have the track record Pressly has established.
  19. Oldgoat_MN
    At 19 years old I was not the wisest of young men, but I cannot imagine I would have thought buying 10 cars sounded like a really good idea. It makes me wonder if such excess is indicative of potential issues. I imagine his career will have a lot to do with how quickly he matures. I would wish him good luck if he didn't play for the White Sox. (HT to Bat-Girl)
  20. Oldgoat_MN
    OK. I'll push them back a year.
  21. Oldgoat_MN
    So he's got an SO/9 of almost 9? Awesome, but he clearly needs work. No idea how long he'll be down but I suspect we'll see him pretty soon. I believe they are looking for him to be the full time closer no later than early next year. If he can establish value they will trade him and expect Tyler Jay to be ready by then.
  22. Oldgoat_MN
    Wow! Over 1300 words on why we can have at least some optimism regarding Santiago and you get no positive comments at all. I guess the lines: But can we be optimistic about Santiago delivering a solid season? Something in line with his career averages prior to last year? I think so, yet most Twins fans are trying to find ways to run him out of town. were not changing any minds at all. Everyone still wants to run him out of town! One of the comments even refers to Santiago's age (he's younger than Gibson). Here are a few things I would not put money on regarding Santiago in 2017: > being an All-Star pitcher > being below league average. > being worse than Gibson I think the article showed exactly why there is room for optimism. No idea how all the optimism around ESan having another really strong year, Hughes coming back from surgery and performing well, Duffey and Gibson ignoring last year and recreating their 2015 seasons and Berrios and Mejia pitching well in MLB ran out when it got to Santiago. Guess people just don't like him.
  23. Oldgoat_MN
    I just don't get the Haley thing. If I was DJ Baxendale (full disclosure: I'm not) I would be more than a little upset. I get that folks believe that Haley has more upside than DJ, but DJ is probably looking at it thinking, "Last year in AAA I had a lower WHIP, higher SO/9 and much better SO/W. How does he rate?". Haley is not a Johan Santana picked from a incautious team at the age of 20. He will be 26 in June. I suppose it's even possible he will be one of our better pitchers this year, but I don't see a track record that insists that this will be so.
  24. Oldgoat_MN
    That's not at all what he said. Alex Meyer has issues on the mound. His WHIP in MLB has not yet ever been acceptable. Moving him to the pen is not going to keep him from giving up hit and walks.
  25. Oldgoat_MN
    I would not be surprised to see Tonkin do well someplace else.
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