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beckmt

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Everything posted by beckmt

  1. This is a problem I have commented on before. Twins are now faced with the issue of creating a buzz for the product. Let's look at reality. 1. Twins are unlikey to sign an ace pitcher. Too much money and too much risk(though the Twins payroll can probably afford it, but do not think they could sign either of the top two). 2. Change field staff(again unlikely, but maybe a good chance of creating a buzz) 3. Making a major trade (better way of getting a front line starter, depends on the price) (best target is Cinni). I expect 3 will have to happen because the first two will not. Lot's of risk, lots of gain.
  2. I would have seen what I could get at the trade deadline this year. I would not deal Dozier just to deal him, but if I got an offer that was decent. Would be looking at major league starting pitching either ready or just about ready. Twins have Polanco, Micheal, Gordon and a few others in the pipeline and have Escobar and Santana up here to work with, so would not worry that much about a replacement. Atlanta and San Francisco among others were looking for a second baseman. It would have been possible to get a good return for him. Also Tampa Bay might have been a destination. If you wind up with too much starting pitching you can deal from that when the Twins are ready to contend(2016-2017). Oakland and Tampa Bay have been two clubs that have done well be selling high. We need to consider some of that model, though the Twins are not that small market of a team
  3. Still am of the opinion that Brian Dozier is Brandon Phillips type player. That is someone who will be way overpaid for too many years. My bet would be to maximize his trade value and get a good return for him, while the Twins have an excess of middle infielders on the way up in the system. I know it is a risk, but you cannot get quality without giving quality. Let some other team pay Brian more than he will be worth.
  4. Do not think much will happen. If Anderson goes, so will Gardy as those 2 are joined at the hip. Would like to see one of the minor league managers given a shot, things could not be worse. It will be an interesting offseason.
  5. no worries about this year. Need better pitching to advance. That should start arriving next year. This year will just bring a better draft pick in the spring.
  6. Agree, but think neither Parmelee or Nunez will be here not year as Twins will only carry 13 players after April and neither player will be needed, with Santana and Escobar being the super subs. Best guess is that Parmelee will be the first player out.
  7. Nice analysis, hope you keep this up as I enjoy reading it.
  8. Nice assessment, very close to what I feel will happen. I expect Schafer to still be here as the fourth outfielder, but there is no reason to keep Parmelee and Nunez. Some of the relief staff will also be changed(good bye to Burton and Deduno). I think if you want to spend big money, spend on a frontline pitcher, otherwise save the money until you see what holes need to be filled after next year(when you have a much better idea of which young players are working out. If you want to make a move package Dozier, Nolasco, and maybe more for a real front line pitcher. Otherwise take some low risk flyers on rebound/reclaim starting pitchers. If you can, deal some bullpen arms(you look to have plenty in Rochester to fill the gap).
  9. Remember every team has to have 1 All Star(rules may have changed). Do not know how much this changes your calculation.
  10. Interesting point about the injuries to pitchers, it seems like a lot of our better prospect pitchers are getting the injury bug. Some of this can be traced to high school/college were winning is extremely important and coaches tend to abuse pitchers to win. Some of this may require changes so young pitchers do not learn heavy stress pitches until at least the high school level. Would be interesting to compare the Twins prospect pitchers against other clubs. Hope someone is up to the task, would make interesting reading.
  11. Certainly gone are Pino, Burton(option declined), Fryer, Collabello, Florimon, Nunez Possibly gone are Ibarra, Johnson or Darnell, Pressly, Deduno, Parmelee. That should open up enough spots, Added, Sano, Rosario, Meyer and Oliveros, Twins will need to read Plefrey. Possibly Adam, Ortiz, Wimmers(only because he is a first round draft pick and some club might take an upside flyer on him) I believe Pryor is already on the 40 man so nothing would have to be done with him. Agree Ryan might have to be creative and package some of the prospects for an outfielder since that crop is weak and do not expect any of the prospects to start the year here.(Hicks maybe, but remember the last two years, would prefer to force him to earn his way up here).
  12. Twins at least are not selling low. They are getting some prospects for players sent(some lottery tickets), but better than nothing or org filler. Adam looks like another one of these, good job TR.
  13. Diamond did nothing at Rochester this year. A good game or two should not change that. There are always factors we do not know. One thing I do know is he needed a new start somewhere else. There are others you might make this comment about(Worley). but Diamond is not one I am worried about.
  14. twins are a team in change. Hard to read the pitching except that Kansas City is also offense challenged, even more than the Twins. Have to give the Twins a "B" for the day. Moves were small, but not unexpected.
  15. Believe Oakland also got Gomes in the deal, so they do not need a platoon right handed hitting outfielder. Reading all the posts on mlbtraderumors, there seems to be more to this then meets the eye, so can understand why this happened. According to a post late yesterday on mlbtraderumors(sorry do not know how to link them), Boston found out there was 0 chance of resigning Lester at the end of the year, this was making the best of a bad situation, still Boston got a very good deal on a rental.
  16. This seems to be coming down to a game of "chicken". Many GM's seem to be taking a chance that sellers will want to move players and the later it gets, the more likely they can get who they want for little or nothing. Twins are a prime "A" example for this as none of the players they want to move are great and none of the GM's wanting these players are willing to give anything more the organizational filler. My feeling is that Twins will not be involved today and only player likely to be moved next month is Correia if he is let go to a team that claims him.
  17. I believe May will make 1 more start in Rochester to get to 100 pitches and then be in the Twins rotation. Willingham would have to be traded to get Pinto to Minnesota, that will not happen in the next couple of days( Per note on MLBtraderumors quoting Terry Ryan). Twins will probably let the minor leagues play out now for the playoffs and only move more players as needed due to injuries.
  18. Just what was not needed, another great pitching prospect with arm trouble. Hope it is minor, but will not know for a few days.
  19. Do not see a reason to move him unless the offer is good. I would guess about 25% unless TR feels he has better options coming up. Will he be here 2 years from now, I would guess not, so moving him for the right offer is in the Twins best interest.
  20. Looks great. Have lot of navigation work to do when I get time. Great job fellows. Still have problems with IE11 interface, but that might just be IE11. Will see if I have any contacts over that way to help.
  21. I agree, but just do not think it will happen.
  22. Looks a little old for AA, but should be promoted to AAA to see what he can do. If he keeps up those numbers at AAA, should be given a September callup.
  23. My feeling is that the Twins have a number of possible replacements and his value is high. At least entertain the thought and see what you can get.
  24. Twins have proven by now they are going nowhere this year, so what is the plan for the GM going forward. Most of the posts have suggested getting rid of players that will bring little in return, Willingham, Morales, Correria, etc. These players will bring at most a B- or C prospect and will be looked at a salary clearing. 1. Twins look like they have a surplus of 2B prospects coming so we make Brian Dozier available to the highest bidder. He could easily bring a top 10 prospect or 2 from any contending team needing an improvement at 2B and is cost controlled to some extent making clubs like KC or TB and others more likely to enter the bidding. He is the best chance for the Twins to maximize the return on a player. 2. Make Glen Perkins available (this one hurts, he is from Minnesota and wants to be here, so may not be the best move). There are several contending clubs that need bullpen help badly(Detroit for one). Take advantage of them while there needs are high. 3. Trade Trevor Plouffe if possible(this one depends on the return, but several contenders lack major league third basemen and you could still get a decent chance prospect or three from teams lower level (A+ ball and lower). This may sound like give up and move the content date out a year or two, but my viewpoint is now the earliest the Twins can realistically content is 2017 and Things need to be built to that point of time. Start the brickbats.
  25. Thanks for the note on Nate Roberts, I have been a fan of his and hope he can force his way up the depth chart and to the Twins Cities soon
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