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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Kreidler can go ... be a shortstop, bringing the IF/OF ratio to 9/9. They still could dispense with a redundant lefty corner outfielder after that, of course. And a redundant light-hitting backup middle infielder. So, uh, yeah. Bring that '10' figure down, please.
  2. ashbury
    Which is itself a disguise for the Groucho Marx mask that lies underneath.
  3. ashbury
    The official 40-man roster at mlb.com is a bit of a mess but if I'm counting correctly they had 19 pitchers and 21 position players before the addition of two free agents, and after the two DFAs they remain at 19/21. That is an unusual ratio in recent Twins history - usually it's weighted toward 21 pitchers, which the last time I checked was also the norm for most other teams, or sometimes even 22. But removing a catcher for a new catcher, and removing a pitcher for a new pitcher, says to me that this is the ratio of players they are comfortable with for 2026, and any roster changes to come will likewise be position-for-position. I don't understand it - pitchers usually are the ones who ride the shuttle to AAA so as to extend the bullpen size to 9 on a short term but repeated basis, while we seem to have at least one redundant LH corner bat and one redundant no-hit backup infielder. Ohl in particular doesn't seem like any great shakes, but on one hand the FO seems to be saying that the relief arms we traded off last July will be replaced mostly internally, and on the other hand they seem to not especially value all of those candidate arms. I'm having a very hard time reading what the FO's plan really is.
  4. ashbury
    The discussion I want is what our chances are against the Dodgers in the World Series, and which AL team maybe stands in the way of getting there. A topic of "70 versus 82," after promises from the new FO of sustained excellence, kind of leaves me cold. It's not exactly Taylor Rogers's fault that he proved to be the catalyst for this instead.
  5. ashbury
    "Taylor Rogers Fever. Catch it."™
  6. ashbury
    Batting average doesn't depend on who's on base. If you think I was equating Wagaman with the DP-pivot situation, you're missing the point - I'm saying once-a-week matters on balls put in play.
  7. ashbury
    Someone else claimed literally "forecasting the team as 1/2 AAAA seems like a reasonable opinion" and, when they were called on it, you piped up with your list. Your caveat makes me wonder what you were trying to say, if you're now claiming it to be tangential. Why even include them?
  8. ashbury
    Assuming you're playing armchair-GM along with the rest of us, what do you base your roster decisions on?
  9. ashbury
    An extra hit a week would have turned Eric Wagaman into a .300 hitter in 2025. Things add up in a long season.
  10. ashbury
    I think I'll have a drink. It's Friday.
  11. ashbury
    On one hand someone calls 28-year old Eric Orze a prospect, while on the other hand someone else terms 23-year old Emmanuel Rodriguez and 22-year old Gabriel Gonzalez AAAA before their first major league game.
  12. ashbury
    There is a chance it was the White Sox bidding against the Pale Hose for his services, thus driving up the price. 😁
  13. ashbury
    For those wondering whatever became of Vidal Bruján, he has popped up unexpectedly with the Mets.
  14. ashbury
    I'm tired of all the negativity. What was your favorite Vidal Bruján moment as a Twin?
  15. ashbury
    This is not the kind of discussion I was hoping for in Year 10 of the Falvey Era, parsing whether 60 or 70 wins is where to set the bar.
  16. ashbury
    In a mirror when on the mound, perhaps. 😁 About the level of signing I expected - someone no contending team was willing to outbid for. It's nice to welcome back an ex-Twin but my expectations are so modest I almost didn't bother to post except that the first reply in the thread suggested something.
  17. ashbury
    My managers back before I retired could point to my weekly reports as good evidence the limit can be zero.
  18. ashbury
    In addition, I feel as if it's an opportunity cost issue, since it's clearly not directly a money issue. Does Zoll's analytics team have nothing better to do than respond to weekly requests along the lines of "find me the best middle infielder you can at minimal prospect-capital cost." Personally I'd rather they work on some promising angle on identifying the right 14-year olds in the Dominican.
  19. ashbury
    Ever heard of Luis Guerrero? That's who the Sawx traded to Tampa two months ago to acquire Gray. Luis pitched a little bit for Portland. / edit - I just wandered over to TD's sister site Talk Sox, and from it I gleaned the information that they are apparently stocking up on marginal catching prospects, kind of like how the Twins are cornering the market on AAAA infielders; I don't see the level of outrage there yet, but it's early. I'm just hoping for a "what was your favorite Tristan Gray moment for the Sox?" comment - never mind, I started one myself. Anyway the trade was precipitated by the Sox needing a roster spot for a FA signing, so one can infer they got something in return for the guy they were going to DFA .
  20. ashbury
    Finally, the off-season master plan becomes clear: there isn't one beyond status quo. But we're witnessing a master class in player fungibility. Well, master class, cautionary tale - tomayto, tomahto. And as has already been mentioned, with Caratini still waiting for the ink to dry on his new contract, we'll now need another roster opening, after we all assumed DFAing Gasper was the corresponding move for that. Gray having minor league options doesn't actually address the roster crunch. And then they'll need to make room for a FA reliever. There's going to be one, right? Right? One?
  21. ashbury
    Watch him develop into the DH that his minor league numbers suggested.
  22. ashbury
    This thinking, expressed by others, seemed tinged with the experience we saw with Randy Dobnak and his guaranteed contract. The difference, though, was that by the time the Twins decided to remove him from the 40-man, his performance was consistently terrible, due to the chronic finger injury. There were tons of other relievers on the waiver wire before and after the Twins passed him through it, and there was no reason for another team to claim him at even a small amount higher salary in preference to a minimum-wage alternative. The catcher Jackson, by contrast, could have value to a team seeking a particular skill, namely defense even if he reverts to being a black hole at the plate. A small salary like his wouldn't be a deterrent in such a case. Yes, he might indeed clear waivers, but Dobnak isn't the model for anything. As you say, timing will be the key. Working the trade market might be even more key.
  23. ashbury
    Now that Indiana has won the Super Bowl I hope the Vikings can get moving with their off-season plans.
  24. ashbury
    My favorite thing was Cignetti being interviewed after the game and, in response to a question about that 4th down touchdown, he didn't give typical coach-speak about trusting his stud player or whatever, he gave us X's and O's. This guy is an accountant in deep cover posing as a football coach.
  25. ashbury
    And Miami shows heart right away. They figured something out about Indiana's defense at halftime. Actually, shortly before.
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