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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Willi's a tweener. Not a good enough glove for a full-time spot up the middle, not a good enough bat for a corner position. His other skills such as baserunning are good quality but nothing extraordinary. The Twins should be commended for getting the most out of a castoff from a rival team, but his only conceivable role on a competitive team is as utility player. It's true that his salary has become a little rich for this role, but if the Twins would struggle to replace his contributions, probably needing two utility players on the 26-man, I'm not bothered by keeping him. But if his second-half bat last season proves to be his first-half bat this year, parting ways could and should (and probably won't) be quick.
  2. ashbury
    I was about to ask the following anyway but you brought up the general subject of the draft, and this is a Willi Castro thread after all. Willi is listed as being born in Puerto Rico, but Cleveland signed him as an International Free Agent. Jose Berrios and Carlos Correa are examples of Puerto Ricans who were subject to the draft; why wasn't Willi? Or was he subject to it, and somehow was overlooked but then signed undrafted? Doesn't sound right, since various articles describe him as a well-regarded high schooler - the draft went 40 rounds then, shortstops are valuable, and scouts are plentiful there. (IFA is a specific category, but maybe Wikipedia just has it wrong.)
  3. ashbury
    Every team probably has someone like that already, or close. Low demand means StL can pick him up for cash, DFA him if they need to with few regrets. Baseball economics are not linear.
  4. ashbury
    I'm away from a proper keyboard, and trying to type on my phone using one index finger instead of two thumbs like a civilized individual, so I will say just this: I hope you don't do that.
  5. ashbury
    13 at a minimum these days.
  6. ashbury
    I think it's also a clue that a trade for Dylan Cease isn't how 40-man spots will be opened
  7. ashbury
    Fair point. I think my purpose was more to explore the best case scenario, and show that even it isn't all that hot.
  8. ashbury
    Rocco (and/or the front office) will likely give him the chance to be that, nonetheless.
  9. ashbury
    The problem with playing platoon games is if you bat your righty 8th or 9th, he may get only one crack at the LHP before the opposing manager brings in the RHP long man from the bullpen in the fourth inning, to face precisely the batter you have in there to deter lefties. Is Bader good enough to lead off when a southpaw is starting? Questionable, even if he gives way to Larnach or Wallner by mid-game. He's better against lefties, but not actually "good."
  10. ashbury
    Get ready also for the Darth Bader jokes, unless I missed one in somebody's post already.
  11. ashbury
    Yikes indeed. This does reduce my enthusiasm. It's our Big Off-season Signing? Well, I wasn't expecting one anyway. I do expect Bader will contribute more than Margot did. Bader hit better in 2024 as a substitute than as a starter, so that already is auspicious.
  12. ashbury
    Much better than signing Canha.
  13. ashbury
    A waste of scarce financial resources. Just no.
  14. ashbury
    Um, Spring Training. Pretty sure .
  15. ashbury
    AKA the Margot Line. "To pinch hit, you must be hitting better than the guy you are replacing."
  16. ashbury
    Hardly any different than for batters. Be productive against opponents from one side, don't be unplayable against those from the other.
  17. ashbury
    Okay, anyone reasonably available. 😀 Trading a starter for Casas would approximately negate the win that I think the Arraez trade was.
  18. ashbury
    My impression is Casas isn't a very good fielder. I'm not sure there is a DH in the world I'd trade a major rotation arm for.
  19. ashbury
    In regard to the suggestions of using the 60-day IL, I believe that list remains dormant until the beginning of Spring Training. Might be as early as Pitchers and Catchers Report Day, but not today. Someone needs to be traded or DFAed to make room.
  20. ashbury
    PECOTA's guiding philosophy is this: if present trends continue, things will remain much as they are. It's not a bad way to base forecasts, but it isn't going to notice some player about to break out suddenly either. Look at their forecast for Brooks Lee as an example. (Not that I'm ready to declare him a 5 WAR player either.)
  21. ashbury
    If you like WHIP then why not go the next step and Include power, namely OPS-against or something similar?
  22. ashbury
    Yeah, no chance this offer gets outbid by one of the big boys such as the Mets who are also said to be kicking the tires on Cease. 😀
  23. ashbury
    Probably, but.
  24. ashbury
    "I'll gladly pay you Tuesday."
  25. ashbury
    I suppose if you analyze any team, and focus solely on the transactions made after Feb 1 each season, you could conclude that the team only picks up the scraps that are left over.
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