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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    I've never understood the value of a mutual option. How often does it turn into a second year of play? Seems like at the end of the first year, one side or the other will feel the salary is out of whack.
  2. ashbury
    Also Odo? You had him higher in your ranking than those two. The need to include the descriptor "healthy" in front of Odorizzi's name is why I've been lukewarm on giving him the contract he wants. I like him, a lot, and I think in particular he's a bulldog when on the mound. But the inability to get more than 5+ innings out of his 100-pitch allotment tempers my enthusiasm, and I just have this sense that he's always going to be juggling one nagging ailment or another for the rest of his career. I don't share your fascination with Profar. The risk with bringing in Simmons for SS is clubhouse chemistry, if Polanco and/or Arraez feel slighted by being bumped down in the defensive hierarchy, even in favor of someone with impeccable defensive chops. It wouldn't make Polanco a bad person, and the FO has a better insight on that than any of us outsiders do, but it still wouldn't be with 100% certainty. It's the move I would favor, absent that risk, and even with the risk it's something I would take to Rocco and say, "earn your salary, make this work."
  3. ashbury
    i'Ll fReAk OuT iF i WaNt tO !!!!1!
  4. ashbury
    I believe Marquez is signed through 2023 with a team option for a fourth season, all at highly reasonable salaries if he performs to expectations raised here.
  5. ashbury
    Marquez is one of the top 20 most desired players in all of baseball - prospects and veterans alike - if you trust baseballtradevalues.com's general methodology. It would require both Royce Lewis and Alex Kirilloff just to make a break-even trade from the Rockies POV. And with Marquez having 4 years of team control they might not see a purpose to a break-even trade if they think they can contend again in 2022 - they might think about Lewis, Kirilloff and Arraez, maaaaaybe. Interesting article explaining why Marquez is so coveted by literally 28 other teams besides ours and the one who has him. But IMO it's a non-starter (no pun intended) as a trade idea.
  6. ashbury
    From a well-known newspaper columnist this morning: Oh wait, my bad. The columnist is Dan Shaughnessy of the Boston Globe and he was talking about the Red Sox. Didn't know where else to put this amusing parallel.
  7. ashbury
    I agree, that's a very strong inference, in the context of other rumors. The Twins' strategy looks like it was always to allow the first wave of high-demand free agents go elsewhere, and to circle back to the remaining free agents who haven't had their demands met, and ask them whether they have reconsidered now, and try to get the most bang for the buck. As opposed to, the most bang period.
  8. ashbury
    Writing an article stating that the "grapes" truly are "sour" is a thankless job.
  9. ashbury
    "Cruz. Ten mil, one year, no option. I can sign you warm, or I can sign you cold. This is the way. I have spoken."
  10. ashbury
    Tommy LaSorda passed away recently. He was too old anyway. Hard pass.
  11. ashbury
    Kluber's showcase was well attended. If he showed anything talent evaluators would like, basically all the evaluators will like it, and the Twins will be outbid. If he didn't show enough, we don't want him. I have no expectation of seeing him in a Twins uniform at all.
  12. ashbury
    True, but they do have the privilege of picking which inning and which game.
  13. ashbury
    The beauty of paying a full-time DH is that you aren't wasting the additional money that it costs to acquire a player who also has a decent glove, for the one spot in the batting order where the glove is idle. Has to be the right guy, of course - the bat must be stellar, and so an offer to Nelson comes down to your forecast for production at his age and with whatever medical information the team has. For me it also matters whether another team will guarantee that second year fully - someone may, I would not. Ozuna's asking price pretty much presumes he's a starter in the outfield. He's not enough better than Rosario to justify having non-tendered Eddie only to go and sign Marcell. Hard pass from me.
  14. ashbury
    Too early in my life to hit me with that. Check again in a few years.
  15. ashbury
    Sign LeMahieu; now he's ours. Release Buxton; now he's the free agent. Easiest trade evar.
  16. ashbury
    But I thought that's what we were talking about (or roster changes in general, such as free agents). Of course, if the roster remains as it is, we have Jorge and Luis turning the double plays. Royce Lewis is extremely unlikely to be promoted, and there aren't really any other internal candidates for middle infield. There is no similar discussion at third base. Healthy, Josh Donaldson will be the starter, and there are zero rumors about trying to acquire a different starter there. Sano's at 1B, Buxton's our CF, Maeda/Berrios/Pineda make up the front of our rotation - barring injury, in each case - and while there may be contingency plans for filling in for any of these players in case of injury, there are no signs of actually going in some different direction than these locks. SS and 2B, by contrast, could change before Opening Day. The article stated pretty clearly: "Why not clear up a bit of confusion by looking at who the Twins AREN'T trying to acquire?"
  17. ashbury
    The Yankees didn't declare Europe part of their assigned territory?
  18. ashbury
    Better than Jerry Koosman and Milt Pappas. So he's got that going for him, which is nice.
  19. ashbury
    Yes. This is pretty key. If teams got a prize for coming in way under budget, say squeaking in to the playoffs with no one on the roster earning more than major league minimum, then Donaldson might be simply a zero or negative-value asset. But they don't, and he's not. Hopefully he bounces back to his assumed level of production, because then it's a decent contract. If he doesn't, then it's a bad contact.
  20. ashbury
    That's probably the indication you're misunderstanding the meaning of their projections. Each number (BA, etc) represents something of a middle spot within a whole cloud or range of possibilities for that one player. Better hitters have a higher middle spot. But it's a certainty that some players will overperform ("career year") and others will underperform ("slump", or obvious injuries). Someone will hit .330 or above, almost certainly. If .313 is the highest middle spot for batting average, it likely means they think that Arraez is the best bet to reach that .330+ level.
  21. ashbury
    In the minors Eddie played far, far more CF than LF/RF combined. They taught him. They apparently weren't impressed with the results, and for a while were trying to convert him to 2B.
  22. ashbury
    One of these gentlemen is on the 40-man roster at present, and one is not. If bets were to be placed right now, for which one sees regular-season action first, I don't know what odds to offer but it would have to be considerably different than even money.
  23. ashbury
    According to baseballtradevalues.com, your own trade value is such that Bonnes would have to include both Seth Stohs and himself in the deal, just to receive a 7-year old still learning his ABCs as a prospect / lottery ticket from the Rockies in return. Oh and yes, violence begets violence, but also vice versa. That's the paradox people tend to overlook.
  24. ashbury
    At $2M, you can still think of him almost like that. He is out of options but probably will pass through waivers, if he stinks and they need to send him down. If it's worse than that and they need to cut him entirely, the contract won't cause them excessive heartburn.
  25. ashbury
    Me, I want them to use that right foot to hold the gas pedal ALL the way down. Merry Christmas to all and I hope your stockings were stuffed this morning!
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