ashbury
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Everything posted by ashbury
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Pagan Doppelganger resigns with Braves for 3 years and 26 million.
ashbury replied to Brandon's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
To me the 40-man roster spot is more valuable than a million or three dollars, plus or minus. If the price starts to be the deciding factor, at the level being discussed here, I have to ask myself again if I really want him. Does Rocco trust him? That's the key question for roster construction. A guy you're paying veteran money to, should not be a guy you have to carefully pick the moments for, so as to hide him. In 2023, first half, Rocco didn't use Pagan much in high leverage situations. In the second half, he did - not like Duran of course, but in close games and not simply mopup. If that's the usage in 2024, he's worth it. If not, then not. A guy you have to hide, might as well be a rookie making rookie money. Of course, I want better than that for my roster, period. A bullpen full of guys you have to hide isn't a useful bullpen. -
Max has always sported a low BA on balls in play. It's been a reason people have speculated he would soon break out, for years now, since it's unusual for someone with major league skills to have BABIP like .250 when the league generally is up around .300. Now, all of a sudden starting in July and continuing in each month through the rest of the season, his BABIP is up to league average, even a little above, and his good OPS in those months is a reflection of it. Did coach Popkins notice something that unlocked a part of his hidden potential? Is there some other explanation? Will he revert? A right fielder with a good glove and his second half numbers is quite valuable. If his poor post-season numbers are an indication of regression to the old Max, then it may be wise to "sell high" as the saying goes.
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b-r.com lists his rookie status as still intact. I haven't double checked their math. I misspoke, and winning RoY would only delay a sophomore jinx, not avoid it.🙂
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A worthy champ.
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Wow. Wow wow wow.
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The picture of a young man sick at heart.
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Oh no! First real fielding blunder.
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That was big. Only the one run. Texas may look back, same as Arizona, and say what if.
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Gallen's still in? This is bizarre to me. I mean, you can't take him out when there's no hits. It's the freakin World Series. But after the second hit? Dunno. / edit - and then he goes and notches a strikeout, and NOW he comes out
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No, no no-no.
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Longoria, to himself: "He won't throw me that, twice in a row."
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Gallen's at only 72 pitches. Maybe send him out for another inning?
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Ooof. Fun inning. (If you don't happen to have a rooting interest, as I don't.)
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I'm doxxing you to Gallen if, well, you know happens.
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Gurriel. Man, those outfielders go get 'em.
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Celebrity Jeopardy is when you drive an old 1980s Chevrolet at freeway speeds today. Pretty exciting.
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Oh, you.
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Look for a housecleaning in the off-season.
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I guess I've said this before, but the level of defensive play has improved so much in my lifetime. There are a couple of guys on the field strictly for their bats, leaving room for a few adventures on defense, but for the most part we're seeing tough plays being converted to outs. Brooks Robinson got a whole World Series named after him, and he did indeed make some amazing plays in foul territory, but I'm not sure that an identical performance this year would do more than make fans say, "wow, nice play!"
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I'm watching, as always. Been a good Series so far IMO. “Baseball is only dull to dull minds” ― Red Barber
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I had a lot of sympathy when it was 10-0 in only the third. I wouldn't exactly say they came back and made a game of it, but there were a good number of moments when the home crowd could cheer, and I hope you enjoyed the atmosphere.
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Two Paths for Emmanuel Rodriguez and the Twins
ashbury replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Rodriguez is young, making any analysis of his minor league numbers shakier than most. And his stat profile is an outlier, even on top of that, being founded on an ultra-high walk rate like just about no one else. It would be exciting if his eye at the plate translated into laying off the bad pitches and clobbering the fat ones. His home run numbers are indeed pretty good. But that batting average of .240 and the 134 strikeouts this season paint a picture of maybe just taking advantage of pitchers who are never going to progress past high-A, but being abused by pitchers who have some command. Still, he hasn't yet reached his 21st birthday, and for me that counts for a lot. I tried finding a comp for his numbers at A-ball, not just among Twins either, and the best match I found was Edouard Julien. We don't know for sure how the latter's career is going to unfold either. But it's pretty encouraging. I wish I knew more about his defense. Being a centerfielder puts him in a different category than the corner OF bats we have collected. But it only matters if he's going to stick there. All in all I think the ceiling is too high on our ERod to trade him for anything but a sure thing on the pitching side. He's probably not going to be what his video-game numbers in 2022 suggested, but his 2023 was a year of progress at the higher level of competition. Still a long way to go, to achieve actual stardom in the majors. Hey, he's 20 - or has that already been mentioned? -
So the team will bide its sweet time, unless circumstances dictate they "pull the trigger" to take advantage of opportunity. Got it.
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A good way to avoid the sophomore jinx is to win Rookie of the Year instead.
