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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Frog legs twitch when current is applied, even after amputation. I'll wait until Max is back in the lineup before declaring him alive.
  2. ashbury
    Man. I stared at those lyrics before posting, and still didn't see it. It was right there.
  3. ashbury
    Finding himself? He's already been at AAA two previous seasons, and did better. Recent trends may be good, but short stretches of 100 PA here and there can be misleading. Best to count all the stats. As I just got done saying in another thread, a similar "past few weeks" analysis would have us installing Manny Margot as our everyday left fielder. I'm a long time believer in Wallner, but even so I want to tap the brakes a bit here.
  4. ashbury
    Pretty sure it's the slider that does that. HTH, HAND. 😀
  5. ashbury
    Sounds like a rhetorical question, yet I'll answer it. 😀 Split the season at the mark where Margot hit bottom in OPS, namely May 17. 92 PA, .169 BA, .468 OPS, .203 BABIP Since that date: 53 PA, .340 BA, .883 OPS, .381 BABIP A straightforward way to look at it is that the BA on Balls In Play leads the way for the rest of the stats, and a nice stretch where the hits are falling in for him have helped bring him close (but not quite there yet) to career norms having a BA in the range of .250 and a BABIP just short of .300. A little more of this good stretch and then normal rates of hits falling in could keep him as a backup the rest of the way. That second line of numbers is no more believable than the first one, as a reflection of him as a player, and the truth lies somewhere in between, which the accumulated season stats are now reflecting. There are people who are (rightly) skeptical about this current good stretch, and yet were willing to take the bad stretch at face value. "Which player do you want, Player A or Player B?" "I want Player B, obviously." "Ha! They're the same player." Mind, such numbers as backup would be what I presumed would be tied to CF skills, an expectation that most of us have found disappointing. These are not numbers for a backup corner outfielder, regardless of the quality of defense there.
  6. ashbury
    I'd feel better if our struggling major leaguers currently at AAA hadn't fattened up on a young, highly touted prospect who unaccountably has encountered a wall in AAA and can't get anybody out all season. Last year he wasn't as bad as this, even at AAA. Not a true test for us.
  7. ashbury
    She don't lie, she don't lie, she don't lie. That rain.
  8. ashbury
    Just like my cousin's prom night.
  9. ashbury
    That's a very good point, and I had forgotten that bit of recent Astro history. So nobody's job is on the line at all where it comes to Abreu? If anything it amplifies what I was saying. Don't expect some sort of similar scenario with an underperforming Twin on a continuing contract. Releasing Vazquez for instance would make indelible a stain on FalVine's record and they won't likely do that.
  10. ashbury
    A much larger revenue base and ownership that won't hang the FO out to dry for a big mistake makes all the difference. That's not to say it isn't a black mark, next time contract negotiations occur for the higher ups. But this move is evidence that they don't feel on the hot seat about anything.
  11. ashbury
    Kind of a RandBalls Stu golden oldies piece.
  12. ashbury
    It's in all the undergraduate engineering textbooks and quite a few sabrmetric papers too. 😀
  13. ashbury
    Our lefties weren't clobberizin' right handed pitchers. What else is the manager, and eventually the FO, supposed to do? Correa, Jeffers and Miranda all have higher OPS hitting from the right side against RHP than any Twins left hander. Lefties who can't hit righties with authority are of no damn use; one by one, they're going to be told to step aside and let someone else have a turn. I don't know if Rocco so much prefers platooning, as he merely plays the roster he's got (and certainly he does have input on that, given the talent pool to choose from). He'll do what any analytically minded manager will do, and pick out the hitters with the best chances against that game's starting pitcher. It's a rare team that doesn't have a bat or two that belongs at the bottom of the order, against certain pitchers, and Rocco will cope. Filling out an optimized lineup is chasing ghosts, when the hitters themselves don't perform.
  14. ashbury
    That was kind of the thrust of my post, and yet I'm not quite willing to take it that far. A lot of players can play in the majors, if fit into clearly defined roles. Some hold such a role for years, and even adapt to a new role. Jake Cave would be an example. Major league regular, though? I will take that stand.
  15. ashbury
    Do these OPS numbers at AAA suggest the players can play at the major league level? Possibly; I'm not going to dig into them here to consider them further. But the players won't likely replicate those numbers with the big club, because the pitching in the minors is so much lesser and the offensive environment is elevated - league-wide the OPS this year in the International League is .771 at last check, with an ERA of 4.92. Racking up an OPS in the .800s there doesn't really make anyone stand out, since the numbers are being compiled against players who for the most part belong in AAA anyway. So it's a bit of a stretch to believe they can "upgrade" anything on the Twins' offense, except players like Kirilloff who are absolutely struggling. These four, even the vaunted Lee at the moment, represent more of a wave of reinforcements than an upgrade.
  16. ashbury
    Outfielder with a questionable arm and not much power potential doesn't excite me.
  17. ashbury
    Anti-joke of the day: Q: What's worse than finding a worm in your apple? A: Cancer. (F Cancer. We've all been touched in some way by it. My late brother would approve of this post, so there.)
  18. ashbury
    i was not offering a one-word defense of the manager. 😀 Merely trying to offer a better context than egotism. If anything it's too much in the other direction from that.
  19. ashbury
    Corporate.
  20. ashbury
    Too. Late.
  21. ashbury
    It's possible the two clauses of your sentence are even more closely related than you intended. 😀
  22. ashbury
    Thielbar enters, and suddenly the game is no longer enjoyable.
  23. ashbury
    Carlos is so good he can slide over when nobody's lookin'. (I believe Chief merely mis-spoke, but we don't nitpik at this site, do we?)
  24. ashbury
    Nice double play as just discussed, not even a page back.
  25. ashbury
    Announcer terms it "a great double play". I'm nowhere near to calling it that. But I never get tired of 'em either. And Correa delivers those as well and as reliably as I recall any other Twins SS; I agree with Plouffe (?) saying just now that when it's in Carlos's glove it's over.
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