Doctor Gast
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Everything posted by Doctor Gast
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Spoken like a true Kool-Aid drinker. P.S.- I'm not accusing you of taking drugs, as some believe that's what drinking Kool-Aid is. For those who aren't familiar with Jim Jones. Jim Jones was a person who loved attention & people to follow him. He did whatever he could to keep people from thinking & to have them believe everything he said w/o question. Before he went down, he persuaded all his followers to take Kool-Aid laced with poison. That's what I understand what drinking Kool-Aid means. Believing something w/o thinking or questioning. What I try to do is get people to think & use common sense & not believe everything that is spun.
- 61 replies
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- carlos correa
- peter alonso
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Strike batters out, play good defense, hit bombs. "You look at HR totals, so what you are saying is that team HR leaders should be leading in wins. In most cases, that's not the case & some cases, it's far from the case." Looks like I have to spell it out for you. SD has the league best record at 13-3 they should be leading the league in HRs, according to you. In fact, they are (# 16). 2nd best SF 11-4; they are (# 7) in HRs. 4th best NYM record 10-5, they are (# 21) in HRs. You mentioned Blue Jays they are 9-7 top of AL East (tied for last) in HRs. Teams like CO & PIT are just bad teams, so they really don't count. I agree with you that priority is Strong pitching & good defense but 3rd is clutch hitting. Now that clutch hit could be a HR but most HRs are non clutch.
- 61 replies
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- carlos correa
- peter alonso
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You look at HR totals, so what you are saying is that team HR leaders should be leading in wins. In most cases, that's not the case & some cases, it's far from the case. Thank God baseball isn't HR derby or stat-driven fantasy baseball. Real baseball is dealing with variables & reacting to them, scoring runs any way that you can. There are many ways to score runs, not only home runs. There are many ways to score a touchdown. So, your correlating TDs with HRs is way off. What do you gain by hitting HRs when you don't need them & SO trying to hit a HR when you do? What wins games is getting on base & hitting in the clutch.
- 61 replies
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- carlos correa
- peter alonso
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BTV has its formulas, like all stats. We can't take a lot of stats that serious because of the bias that's baked into them. But BTV gives us basically an unbiased ballpark idea. That said there are a lot of variables (where I differ in value & our need) in trading, where out of every 10 offers, I turn down 9.
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Miranda is floundering (and others) because Baldelli doesn't know how to play to their strengths. Miranda shouldn't be playing 3B. Our INF stinks. Even Correa isn't on top of his game, or maybe he just has too much ground to cover. Normally, Correa is very vocal, but for a while now, he has been very quiet. Falvey & Co. has drained all the fire and chemistry from the team. Gasper & Julien shouldn't have broke camp with the team. They should have Miranda playing 1B & Martin 2B at AAA. & have them sent up as soon as possible. If Keirsey had as many ABs as Julien he'd be able to start hitting better than Julien.
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The league has put a lot of premium on HRs. Analytics are based on HRs like WAR & OPS, baseball instincts, fundamentals, SO, defense, baserunning & etc, and have been ignored. Players with high WAR & OPS are paid a premium, whether in $$$ or prospects. The league has also adjusted to the hitters that adhere to the "all or nothing" hitting approach. That's why HRs were down last season. The Twins have left the "all or nothing" approach & have started to play more fundamentally sound baseball, but years of managing, drafting & development isn't easy to make that transition. IMO, the Twins' biggest problem isn't our offense potential; our bigger problems are lack of fire, chemistry, defense, execution of fundamentals & managing. IMO, obtaining an expensive big bat is a crap shoot that we can't afford & will not be a big enough impact to change our situation. Fast, defensive, OB machines are better investment & more impactful. Go with & try to develop these guys.
- 61 replies
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- carlos correa
- peter alonso
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Julien never had excellence, He's been bad in defense & is now focusing on hitting; his defense is much worse. The league has taken away his HR advantage & now he's just trying to hit the ball w/o striking out. Twins invested in him to be their future 2B, but it has failed miserably & left us very vulnerable at 2B. They should have sent him down early last season to adjust & learn 1B & kept him there until he profiles at 1B. But being stubborn, they have took too long to send him down & brought him up too early. & the Twins are still paying dearly for him to adjust at the MLB level, playing 2B too much & he still not any closer to learn 1B.
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As always an enjoyable MiLB report, Seth. Martin with a .526 OBP is phenomenal. Twins needed to play him at 2B & get him up as soon as possible! & then this happens. Hope it's minor, the Twins will have to wait to get the spark they need. For Raya, I trust the process.
- 21 replies
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- kyler fedko
- john klein
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This off-season & into ST, I pondered about Falvey & Co. not being able to see our needs & putting band-aids on serious issues & playing players where they shouldn't. I gave up hope for the Twins being able to ever have a viable contender. I pondered if we aren't going to win, why hang on to this core that won us our 1st postseason game & series? & pay all this money when we can trade for some young MLB-ready players? I have come to my senses. 1st, I don't trust Falvey to pull off those trades & get the players we need. 2nd, I don't blame the core for playing w/o fire & chemistry. Yes, they are professionals, but they aren't only names & numbers on a spreadsheet. They are more invested in this team than we are. Don't you think that they are affected by how they are being handled? Falvey is more concerned about how smart he looks than the success of the team. I don't blame the core for the poor showing, I blame Falvey & Co. IMO, we don't have to change our core to have a future, we need to change management from the top- down.
- 82 replies
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- bailey ober
- ty france
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Miranda normally starts out a little cold. but I'm starting to think that he's playing hurt, Because Miranda is a very good hitter, he should be at the point where he should be raking. If I were Baldelli, I'd take my nose out of the spreadsheet & check it out before it gets out of hand as always.
- 82 replies
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- bailey ober
- ty france
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IMO, Baldelli has no idea what he's doing. After being criticized by the media for playing Ober while sicker than a dog. He made up his mind before the game that he was going to pull Ober early.
- 82 replies
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- bailey ober
- ty france
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I wouldn't doubt when it comes to Lopez again, they bypass him & call Zebby.
- 82 replies
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- bailey ober
- ty france
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Social media & Baldelli thinks that the Twins need is a dead slugger that can hit solo HRs when you don't need them & strikeout when you do, yet have decent SLG & WAR. What the Twins desperately need is a true leadoff hitter with fire, an OB machine that raze havoc on the bases, shake up pitchers to make mistakes for following batters, score runs, start rallies & win games. For most of Martin's pro career, he has been forced into who he is not. You can never play your best game under those conditions, especially at the MLB level. In '23, he was left alone under Gardy, which he played mainly his natural position 2B & had his best season. He could be our best 2Bman on the roster, with good splits he could be the full-time 2Bman. Baldelli loves his platoons, so expect Martin to play a lot of LF (where he's getting more comfortable at) against LHPs. Bobby Witt Jr. is a superstar; what makes him exciting is his fire. Twins need that fire, Martin could be a spark help get things going once he's comfortable where they put him.
- 31 replies
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- rubel cespedes
- andrew morris
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Great pitching by Ryan together with Jax in the 8th & Duran in the 9th; great formula. Great defense by Castro, although the 2 solo HR were welcome, they weren't needed. Fortunately, baserunning errors by Larnach & Vazquez didn't hurt us. Hopefully, it was a learning process. Although the lineup wasn't inspiring w/o Buxton, they did their job from unlikely sources (except Wallner's solo HR). Great to see Keirsey get some ABs, he needs them.
- 20 replies
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- willi castro
- joe ryan
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I commend the Twins for PR with Keirsey & for at least make an attempt to run more. But one thing we need a smarter 3B coach, not someone who's good only at slapping a runner on the backside when they hit a HR. We need someone who's very decisive, quick to make a good call whether to go or stay. Also Baldelli's mindset should also be less HR-minded & more baserunning-minded. That means getting guys like Martin & Keirsey more in the game & turn them loose along with Buxton, Castro, Bader & Lewis when he's around, if only getting them in as much as possible to PR. Getting France to steal more bases won't get it done.
- 16 replies
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- byron buxton
- rocco baldelli
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Whom Should Brooks Lee Replace on Twins Roster?
Doctor Gast replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Yes, I prefer Lee at 3B. I'd prefer Keaschall to be 100% before being called up at 2B & I don't know how great Castro is at 2B, he's more valuable at being utility & how available he'd be at 2B with Lee's availability & Correa needing a break once in a while.- 91 replies
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- brooks lee
- edouard julien
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Whom Should Brooks Lee Replace on Twins Roster?
Doctor Gast replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I don't hate anyone. Rooker came around in his age 30. All I'm saying that players like Keirsey & Rooker's potential is easily overlooked by Baldelli & others. Keirsey is a better fielder & runner than Rooker. Keirsey's MLB slugging potential hasn't been given a chance to develop yet. WAR is a poor way to evaluate a player, some are worse than others. 5.6+ WAR for a DH is ridiculous.- 91 replies
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- brooks lee
- edouard julien
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Whom Should Brooks Lee Replace on Twins Roster?
Doctor Gast replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Both Julien & Gasper need to go down. Miranda is an easy fix. Move him to 1B & give him a chance to learn 1B, he'd be better than France. The rare times I saw Miranda at 1B, he was adequate.- 91 replies
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- brooks lee
- edouard julien
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Whom Should Brooks Lee Replace on Twins Roster?
Doctor Gast replied to Cody Pirkl's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Keirsey's 3 PAs or a bunch of PAs from Julien & Gasper is a player evaluation problem not a player problem. How can you hit with so few PAs? But as long as Baldelli is around, he'd be better off with a different club, that'll give him a chance. He could be a better player than Rooker.- 91 replies
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- brooks lee
- edouard julien
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On SKOR North before the game, they stated that the Twins rank 29th in DRS (maybe they're last now). IMO our OF defense is one of the best with CFers Buxton, Bader & Keirsey plus Wallner & Larnach are solid for cOF. Our catching is average-ish (could be better). That leaves our INF, it's fragile & terrible, especially our right side. When the Twins broke camp with Julien, Gasper & France set, I stated that we'd be competing against CWS for the cellar.
- 116 replies
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- carlos correa
- pablo lopez
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I'm not a Baldelli fan, but firing him now won't help anything. If we fire him now, that means Tingler will step in & he's worse. Eventually, Falvey will hire another Baldelli. If you want change, you have to start at the top. There are several teams that look good on paper but haven't done very well as far as getting to the postseason. Those teams go overboard on analytics & they get weird. One team that's trying to change that is SF. I wrote a blog about that if you are interested. https://twinsdaily.com/blogs/entry/23959-will-clark-rant/ . I have great expectations for the transition of the Giants from going crazy over analytics to a more baseball-smart focus. I'd give them some time for the new management to get everything in order but so far they are surpassing my expectations, competing against the almighty Dodgers for the division lead.
- 116 replies
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- carlos correa
- pablo lopez
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Absolutely not. Raya was taken easy & wasn't injured which contributed to him getting more innings than if he was overextended & was blown out early as Canterino was. If Canterino was taken much easier, he wouldn't have blown out so early & pitched many more innings than he did. Why can't people see the logic in that?
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Keirsey hit in AAA. How do you know he can't hit? You believe social media? Almost nobody can hit in the MLB if they don't get ABs. You are totally disregarding his AAA production before he came up & evaluating him on nothing. He needs a chance which he hasn't been given. Give him that chance then you can evaluate his hitting. "Even so, he's still valuable as a LH CFer to spell Buck against RHPs, a pinch runner or a defensive sub. He was used as a PR, he stole 2B, provided a spark, scored a run, became a defensive OFer & then was forgotten"

