tony&rodney
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Everything posted by tony&rodney
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Locked in with a .215 BA and whiffing way too often. 1. Good luck to Sabato. 2. Everyone makes mistakes and drafting Sabato was a mistake. 3. No, Sabato does not get put on the 40 person roster.
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No idea what the teams around baseball think about Bauer, but I believe he is best categorized as a former MLB player at this point. Arizona, Cleveland, Cincinnati, and Los Angeles Dodgers all took their best shots at making him a part of their teams. 2019 was the last time that Bauer pitched a full season. Noted that 2020 he was good in the shortened year. Maybe a team offers him a one year two way contract with modest incentives. Who knows? Trade targets are everywhere but the teams that seem worth a text are Miami, Seattle, and Milwaukee. The Twins need to gauge what other teams value from the Twins system.
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Perhaps this conversation is at cross purposes. It would seem impossible for anyone to choose Farmer above Polanco straight up where you are picking a team. When considering all possibilities in the trade market, it seems highly likely that Polanco returns more than Farmer. If the Twins can get a return for Polanco that significantly improves the team, they do it and may even keep Farmer as a reserve. The unknown is the value another team places on adding a player like Polanco to their roster. We can look to last year where it was assumed that the Twins would need to add several players along with Arraez to acquire Pablo Lopez. Yet Miami had a very high interest and value view of Arraez. The unknown puts a limit on a position. Many folks on TD reference BTV for relative values. Both Farmer and Polanco have little value based on that site. In reality there may be a team who highly values Polanco and if another decent player accompanies him a good return is possible. The unknown may also include that there is no interest for Polanco, which means the Twins may need to choose between Farmer and Polanco. In that case, the choice is easy.
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Like the idea of adding Gilbert (or Kirby for that matter), but Seattle has stated a desire to acquire more players who put the ball in play. E-Rod tends to strike out a fair amount. Does Lee work? Also, we all would like to the Twins add a potent bat. Who is that guy? Teoscar Hernandez, Gurriel Jr., or who? Bellinger could protect two positions but may get $200 million total. Soto? Who goes the other way when Soto is a one year deal for big bucks? There are possibilities, but I'm unclear what teams see the Twins as a valuable trading partner. I'm not too sure the Twins are going for a FA pitcher (like you say) despite the potential promise possible. It also saves trading away assets.
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John Bonnes’s 2023 Payroll Blueprint
tony&rodney replied to John Bonnes's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Thank you. I had thought you must have been pretty busy lately. I hope are happier with Max Kepler (jk). -
John Bonnes’s 2023 Payroll Blueprint
tony&rodney replied to John Bonnes's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Was the blueprint for the offseason from Brock and is he still involved in TD? In 2022 the Twins ended the year on a sour note and offseason chatter began well before the World Series ended. Dozens of blueprints were up by mid November with the start some time in late October. Not much chatter this year. I'm just curious. -
Agree that the Twins might want to see if they could add someone in the outfield. The problem is who? Maybe Lourdes Gurriel Jr. or Tommy Pham or Teoscar Hernandez? Are these guys going to improve the team? One of Bader or Kiermeier? The cost balanced against the expected return may be iffy. Royce Lewis has been already discussed endlessly and the Twins made a point to let everyone know that for the foreseeable future Lewis will be at third base.
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John Bonnes’s 2023 Payroll Blueprint
tony&rodney replied to John Bonnes's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
No worries. No big deal. It just is a curious drop of names without anything attached. As you say - a small goof. It made me wonder if TD would repeat the blueprint copy from last season. Early November is about the time to get those offseason hacks in for what one guesses the Twins might feature for 2024. -
John Bonnes’s 2023 Payroll Blueprint
tony&rodney replied to John Bonnes's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
So I wondered if this was just a list of Twins who could be on the roster, setting the base for building a team. There is no explanation or reasoning for the list. What this an accidental thing? A team that doesn't have any changes from players who were in the system already would be unprecedented. Does this kick off a potential blueprint plan season where TD puts out the chart similar to last year and people fill it in and explain their ideas? I don't get this list. In addition to not including any players that have not already played for the Twins, it does not even include a single rookie. This would be a first for baseball. I'm confused. -
Not for Keller because it seems quite unlikely that Pittsburgh would trade any pitcher. They were 22nd in runs scored for their offense but have some young guys. Likewise the Pirates pitchers are 22nd (from best) in giving up runs. So they need to improve. I also am greedy and want someone that is possibly better. There are a couple of things I look for: 1) WHIP 2) BAA 3) BB:K 4) years and 5) availability. Of course, we do not know who exactly is available. We can guess that Seattle and Miami are a couple of teams worth calling. Alas, we are off topic here because this thread is about whether Pagan will get a good contract and perhaps some speculation whether the Twins would pay a reliever. To those questions I'm guessing Pagan gets a decent deal and the Twins do not spend for big for a relief pitcher.
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Two Paths for Emmanuel Rodriguez and the Twins
tony&rodney replied to Cody Christie's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
The one thing I would add which makes me think Emmanuel Rodriguez can be a star is that he has a lightning quick bat. Falvey and the boys get paid megabucks to make the decisions. -
Along with that .... is Kepler younger athletically than one might think? Who would replace Kepler?
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Not that I necessarily disagree with the idea, but what makes you believe that the Twins will be signing a noteworthy free agent starter? Does the reduced experience and depth weaken the team?
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Sometimes it is time to move on to a different job or to a new location. I'm thinking Costa Rica or Panama. Moving and switching jobs is a pain in the ass. The nervousness and excitement can be a good thing too. There are as everyone knows, so many unknowns. Maybe Sonny Gray is tired of that routine. Perhaps Gray would like to repeat another year with the same basic collection of teammates, trainers, manager, and location. If Sonny feels like he wants to pitch one more year, someone will offer more than $20.5 million for the year and if he thinks he is just hitting a groove he should seek 4/$90 million. Gray gets to determine where he goes .... finally. The money is not an issue because he will get paid in any event.
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C.J. Culpepper is the Twins Latest Day 3 Success Story
tony&rodney replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Ok. Isn't that what every team does though? I have no objection to how you define "pitching pipeline". I'm too sure how predictive that is for ensuring continuity but it sure can be as Tampa Bay has shown over the last decade. Some may have different views on what constitutes a "pitching pipeline". Either way, I hope the Twins swing another trade this winter to bring in a good arm. -
Roster payroll is not an issue right now. The Twins can easily cut 10% from their last season's payroll and still fit everyone. Now, many folks have suggested adding a high priced free agent starting pitcher or re-signing Sonny Gray. I would like that too. However, the Twins have not previously been players in that market. If they are it means that they will keep or exceed the payroll numbers from last year. So, currently there is really zero concern with payroll.
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Sure, this could happen. Athletes bet on themselves all the time. The unknown is how long Sonny Gray sees himself as an effective starting pitcher. There is an enormous time commitment put into the conditioning work and mental preparation for the season, not to mention the physical and mental grind of the actual season itself. Gray has suggested that he is still improving as a pitcher. Another unknown is how other teams view Gray. His age may seem like a barrier for some but a few guys have shown that experience and knowing how to pitch remains more predictive of success that youth or power. I like the "Hey, we're just riffing here" comment. Sonny returns -nice.
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This is a good explanation. Just a couple of points worth considering. BTV? it is interesting, but does anyone really believe that Griffin Jax, who we like, is a close match for Juan Soto? There are dozens of examples of insane trades possible using the numbers from that site. Emmanuel Rodriguez may be among the top ten prospects in baseball and yet his value is more than 50 points less than many other equal prospects and similar to Griffin Jax. Again, I like the idea of thinking who can be acquired and Keller (from Cedar Rapids, Iowa) would be a strong addition to any team. The other piece of any trade is to think like a fan of both teams in hopes of finding a transaction that fills needs for each of the squads. Bednar may be a possible idea if the Twins send back a starting pitcher or add a good prospect to Polanco. Some people hate the idea of suggested trades but others of us like playing around for fun. It's just a goofy guessing game by all of us and about the same as the national "experts" who make money writing up their ideas. We are not GMs or PBOs, just fans. We have to keep the ideas moving.
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I'm not sure how you came up with this trade and put this combination together. Did the thought of Pagan leaving or the contract for Jimenez spark the thoughts of adding pitching? Bednar has three years left and Keller two years left of salary control. Decent. Both are excellent pitchers that would help any team. Julien was essentially the player that got the Twins going this year. Maybe he has peaked. Emmanuel Rodriguez is right there with (in talent) Walker Jenkins, but prospects can always fail. I like the idea of thinking about pitching but I'm going to ask that Pittsburgh throw in Skenes if Erod goes the other way. The Pirates are looking for a second baseman, but trading those two would lengthen their rebuild as well. Who knows though? Don't see a match with this trade. I do like how bold it is, but too bold for me.
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Good luck to Emilio Pagan. He finished his Twins career with a solid year.
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You are correct - I can't play hockey, especially in Mexico. Haven't played a game of hockey since switching to basketball after Bantoms. I remember it was fun flying around the ice.
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That's a wrap. Five long cold months ahead ......
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True. Trades, prospects, free agents, and the waiver wire.
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Well, the Rangers have seen Sewald a ton from his days in Seattle and .... well, Semien is just outstanding.
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What a year for Semien. All time leader in PA in a season, closes it out with a bomb. Just wow.
