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Fire Dan Gladden

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Everything posted by Fire Dan Gladden

  1. Fire Dan Gladden
    The opening sentence is not accurate. Both total attendance and per game attendance were lower in 2021 then they were in 2022. We can discuss the reasons for that, but I do not believe the on-field product is completely to blame for the lower numbers. Some context is warranted.
  2. Fire Dan Gladden
    I respectfully disagree. HIs pedigree alone is worth a minor league contract. Couple of years of arm rest doesn't hurt. No problem taking a flier here.
  3. Fire Dan Gladden
    Twins are going to add two catchers to the 40 man at some point this winter. One will be straight up org filler, the other will be Jeffer's backup/platoon. Everybody you listed will cost more in prospects than the Twins are willing to give up. Do not look for any major moves here either.
  4. Fire Dan Gladden
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2022/12/rangers-nearing-deal-with-andrew-heaney.html View full rumor
  5. Fire Dan Gladden
    Per the Athletic via ESPN, San Diego offered Trea Turner a contract larger than the $341m Lindor got from the Mets. Turner turned it down to stay closer to family in Philly. If this is accurate, this Twins ability to sign Correa may be a lot lower than most of us think...
  6. Fire Dan Gladden
    Multiple major league ready prospects? Lopez cost 4 guys no higher than A ball Fulmer cost a AA pitcher with a 7+ ERA Mahle cost two A ball players and Spencer Steer I think we have different opinions on major league ready prospects. edit: Not to misquote you... close to major league ready prospects.
  7. Fire Dan Gladden
    Not to change the subject too much, but an interesting name you also see near the top of these lists is Joey Gallo. Would like to see what kind of improvement he sees this year. He could be a potential flier candidate...
  8. Fire Dan Gladden
    I have seen various articles and numbers putting him near the top. I don't want to argue 2nd vs 3rd, what exact number of hits were lost (my quotes were from one of the articles not listed below). Here are some of the articles with that data, you will see Kepler pop up a lot near the top. https://www.si.com/mlb/2022/11/21/banning-infield-shifts-impact https://www.pitcherlist.com/no-more-shifts-could-mean-a-lot-more-hits/ https://theathletic.com/2771363/2021/08/26/nothing-unlucky-about-it-six-years-into-his-twins-career-why-are-max-keplers-batting-averages-so-low/ (paywall) A little more help from closer to home: https://www.twinkietown.com/2022/3/9/22967255/mlb-baseball-mn-twins-the-shift-is-going-away-which-twin-stands-to-gain-the-most-max-kepler-lockout https://zonecoverage.com/2022/mn-twins-news/how-will-the-shift-ban-impact-the-twins/
  9. Fire Dan Gladden
    Looking at the Twins landscape right now, what should the Twins pay to land Vasquez? You are talking a 3-4 year contract for a 32 year old catcher. He would probably play 80-90 games/year for us. There is a market for him. Personally I would go 2/$20m with a 3rd year team option for $12m at the most.
  10. Fire Dan Gladden
    I have discussed this ad nauseum in other articles, but, to review: 1) He is 2nd in MLB in hits lost to the shift over the last few years, a 50 point swing in his BA. Data shows he has a strong chance to see an offensive resurgence now that the shift rules have changed. 2) His contract is not outrageous. Maybe a small overpay. 3) Outside of Nimmo, there are no "guaranteed" improvements over Kepler in the current FA market. Each come with issues. 4) Kepler is a known quantity to the Twins. That is a huge factor. (If you question that, look at how the Twins are treating Correa vs. the other FA shortstops). The Twins have arguably bigger issues to deal with. I would prioritize LF over RF right now. Find an offensive threat there. But I would not argue if a true upgrade fell in their lap and the Twins replaced him. (FWIW, if I am Max Kepler, I am going to the Twins and asking to play as much CF as possible this Spring. Positional flexibility will go a long ways towards his next contract. Playing a strong CF could also keep him in MN as their 3rd/4th OF)
  11. Fire Dan Gladden
    May be semantics here, but that is not setting a deadline, that is moving forward. If they could sign Bogaerts today (for right contract), and Correa is still undecided, they would sign Bogaerts. Nothing to do with a deadline. Boras takes the approach that the market is irrelevant. He knows what he wants his players to get and he usually gets it somewhere. Very rarely do things not work out for him. If it is Correa or nothing, the Twins may have already tipped their hand. But they will not go back to Boras and say "too late"
  12. Fire Dan Gladden
    I KNOW!!!! Then if you add Judge to that for only $40m/yr, and Rodon for $25m/yr, the Twins would have a chance to compete in the Central!!!!!!!!! [Apologies for the sarcasm, I couldn't help myself]
  13. Fire Dan Gladden
    The problem with ultimatums is that you are attempting to close the door. In what world would the Twins close the door on Correa? You close the door by signing another big 4 shortstop. I find it extremely hard to believe that if the Twins sign a stopgap to a 1 year contract and Correa comes back a week later saying he wants to sign with the Twins, the Twins would say no. Signing Correa is not going to stop them from going after other players. They could sign Rodon and still have Correa if he wanted to come here. The market just needs to play out. Don't handicap yourself by making threats you won't back up.
  14. Fire Dan Gladden
    If anybody has read any of the other Rule 5 articles over the last few days, let me attempt to summarize a response that the title of this article is asking: No.
  15. Fire Dan Gladden
    I think the premise here is a little misguided. It's not necessarily about HOW much they spend, but WHO they spend it on. Buxton's contract is very team friendly for what he brings to the table. He will gat paid more by producing more. To plug a dollar amount on the team salary and think that means they are going to win is wishful thinking. There is a correlation between higher salaries and wins, but salary alone does not make MN a premium destination. This is why there is a true internal push to resign Correa. His name alone will help in recruiting talent here, regardless of the dollars.
  16. Fire Dan Gladden
    Very true. But after I type this, I am going to go buy a lottery ticket and think about what may come....
  17. Fire Dan Gladden
    When Kent Hrbek was still playing for the Twins, he gave an interview where he said he wanted to retire and become a masked professional wrestler under the name "Tyrannosaurus Rex". I can read between the lines here... sounds like the Twins have a 1B coming out of retirement!
  18. Fire Dan Gladden
    Santana wasn't technically a Rule 5 pick by the Twins. He was a Rule 5 pick for the Marlins, then the teams swapped R5 picks giving the Twins Santana.. The Twins have had some success pulling guys out of the draft: Shane Mack Scott Diamond Ryan Pressly They have also lost a little as well: RA Dickey This article is a few years old, but gives a nice overview of the Twins R5 history: https://twinstrivia.com/twins-rule-5-draft-history/
  19. Fire Dan Gladden
    You are correct, I misspoke. Thanks for the correction.
  20. Fire Dan Gladden
    Ace is so subjective. Does he have #2 starter potential? Yes. That is why the Twins gambled on him in the first place. Think big picture folks: He regains his pre surgery form, the Twins extend him for a year or two at a reasonable cost. He could be a mainstay in the rotation for a while. He dominates and the Twins have a young, pitcher in the fold they can try to keep or move for other capital. This is the type of lottery ticket a team like the Twins will always chase.
  21. Fire Dan Gladden
    It is hard to call it a conundrum when the entirety of the the OF consists of unproven youth, AAAA players, a lower end starting OF (Kepler) and Mr. Injury himself. Hopefully one of the younger guys will take a huge step this year to spread out the pack.
  22. Fire Dan Gladden
    I am not saying that he holds off signing an extension until the complete end of arbitration. But signing an extension now would be considerably lower than it would be if he repeats last year and looks to extend next offseason.
  23. Fire Dan Gladden
    ROY candidates typically come from having the opportunity to play. If SWR or Varland are in the rotation coming out of camp it would be somewhat surprising. Wallner is probably lower on the depth chart than we think. The other two are not realistic at this point (Lewis with his injury). Injuries or an organizational direction change will be needed for the Twins to have a ROY candidate...
  24. Fire Dan Gladden
    Sorry Mike, but I disagree: The Twins have actually had a pretty good lineage of Catchers going back to Butch Wynegar (people forget how good he was) Harper Ortiz Steinbach Blanco Pierzynski Mauer Redmond Suzuki All above average catchers (or extremely above average). Heck, even Laudner was an all-star one year. Jeffers has shown the ability to be above average, the question is can he regain that form, even if only partially? I am not as down on our catching as most. In today's world, Catchers are like Kickers in the NFL. They are generally afterthoughts. You pay if you have a rock-star, otherwise you find the right guys that can handle it or fit your team mold.
  25. Fire Dan Gladden
    1) The obvious 2) Fix the plate approach he took last year due to injury: don't try to hit everything out of the park, get the average back up. For whatever reason, some people are just not physically designed to hold up to the rigors of a full season. Our manager is a great example. I don't think you can coddle him or "protect" him, because nothing will change. You just play him as much as possible and keep your fingers crossed. Byron Buxton will ultimately retire as another, possibly the greatest, in an unfortunate Twins legacy of "what if": Kirby Puckett (how many more years if not the HBP) Jason Kubel (knee) Corey Koskie (concussion) Justin Morneau (concussion) Francisco Liriano (TJ) Joe Mauer (concussion) Byron Buxton
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