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dex8425

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Everything posted by dex8425

  1. dex8425
    NY thought about releasing him. I'd at least give him some AB's before releasing him. He can't possibly be any worse than he was last year, right? I think he'll hit more than Rortvedt would this year, but of course he's worse defensively and a lot more expensive.
  2. dex8425
    He has a negative outs above average rating at every position. -5 in 2021 and -12 in 2019. That's bad. Donaldson was above average defensively every year with the Twins. Arraez isn't a complete butcher but he's not fast, and he doesn't have a great arm. Donaldson has a cannon.
  3. dex8425
    You're definitely selling Gray short. He was a 3.3 WAR pitcher last year, which was actually higher than Berrios. He might not be better than Berrios, but he's closer to Berrios than a #3. But I agree with the rest.
  4. dex8425
    I think it makes Arraez expendable because Urshela is a way better defender than LA. Arraez isn't a good defender anywhere, Urshela is elite at 3b and can even play short. Who will hit better in '23 is probably up for debate, though obviously Arraez is cheaper.
  5. dex8425
    Has anyone evaluated what banning sticky substances did to Gray's spin rates?
  6. dex8425
    None of those guys are a decent major league shortstop though. Bigger hole at SS than 3b currently.
  7. dex8425
    I'm thrilled another team was willing to take Donaldson, pay ALL his salary, and still give something in return. Granted, we gave up Rordvedt, but Urshela has 2 years of cheap team control remaining, and play a good 2nd or 3rd. Sanchez is kinda intriguing but mostly the Yankees wanted to get rid of him and I ultimately think a team other than the Twins takes on the Sanchez reclamation project.
  8. dex8425
    Not sure if Twins want Chapman, but Oakland has 2-3 pitchers still available that the Twins should be interested in for sure.
  9. dex8425
    I really like the trade. Seems overwhelmingly positive. Gray is a stud, you get him for two years at a very affordable price for a high school pitcher who was years away and has a high likelihood of not contributing at the MLB level ever.
  10. dex8425
    Well, Andrelton Simmons, Trevor Story, Jonathan Villar, Freddy Galvis, perhaps even Jose Iglesias and Niko Goodrum too. Twins also could've signed Baez or Chris Taylor. How many of these are options now? I think just Story, Villar, Iglesias, Galvis?
  11. dex8425
    Trevor Story, baby...
  12. dex8425
    There's like 5 guys who are going to give you what Kiner Falefa would give you this year, and they just cost money, not one of your best bats. I hate this. Makes the team worse overall.
  13. dex8425
    You might be right, but that's what any GM has to say publicly so other teams don't view them as desperate.
  14. dex8425
    I don't think the major issue with the game today has anything to do with the lockout. The games need to be available for as many people as possible. You need to improve access to the game- Buxton's outfield heroics and Guerrero's homers speak for themselves. You can't hide the games on Directv or cable that almost nobody under the age of 50 has anymore. Sure, you can stream for and pay for MLB.tv, but that's more expensive than netflix, and you can't watch your own team's games due to blackout restrictions!
  15. dex8425
    Lynn was just extended by the white sox after he was just a rental in the trade with Texas, right? Keuchel was a fa signing who has turned out pretty dang well. There aren't a lot of big money free agents in the AL central in general, just because there are only two larger market teams and three teams (Min, KC, CLE) that never spend significant $ in free agency. It's a weak division and that's partly why. The yankees and Rex Sox and Dodgers can remain competitive every year because they spend money in free agency. Not every signing is a good one, but spending money helps field more competitive teams.
  16. dex8425
    I've been an advocate for signing Greinke, who I think was unhappy in Houston. However, he 100% wants to go to an NL team so he can hit. I see him signing in MN only if NL adopts a universal DH. I mean, we had Kenta pinch run.
  17. dex8425
    I do think Nathan has a legitimate HOF case, though I don't see him quite on the level as Rivera or Wagner. Joe Nathan and Papelbon should be in the HOF IMO. WAR is useless when evaluating relief pitchers. Actually FWAR is a lot better for pitchers in general. WPA is helpful, but again, Papelbon is closer to Nathan than Wagner. As a relief pitcher, Wagner didn't face pitchers in the lineup. Papelbon has a better ERA, FIP, ERA+, BB%, and K/BB than Nathan. Wagner is arguably the second-best reliever of all time. Wagner's ERA is #2 all-time behind Rivera. He is first in FIP, first in strikeout rate, first in ERA+ and first in WHIP, which are stats in the pitcher's control; WPA isn't.
  18. dex8425
    Someone did a study on this once and found big market players don't have an advantage. There are a TON of borderline yankees players who aren't in the HOF but could be: Don Mattingly, Bernie Williams, Thurmon Munson, Roger Maris, Jason Giambi, Graig Nettles, Andy Petite, Roger Clemens, David Cone, and Jorge Posada, just off the top of my head. Personally I think players who played in Coors field have the biggest disadvantage.
  19. dex8425
    This is really not that close. Johan will definitely get in eventually. He was the best starter in MLB for a stretch of 6 years. Nathan was maybe the second best closer of his era, behind Rivera. The Wagner comp is not really that accurate because Wagner's resume is really much better than Nathan's. Nathan's resume is more similar to Jonathan Papelbon, and you could argue Papelbon is a more deserving HOF candidate than Nathan. Put Wagner's 900 innings against ANY other pitcher's 900 innings; Wagner's are better. Simple as that. He was absolutely dominant (more so than Trevor Hoffman or Mariano Rivera) and looks on track to be elected in 2024 or 2025. The dude struck out 11.9 batters/9 and his career WHIP is below 1. His .187 opponent batting avg. against is the best in MLB history among pitchers who have 900 innings. He retired while still good, which means he didn't accumulate as many counting stats.
  20. dex8425
    Interesting. They are all noteworthy comparisons and all pretty similar: Lofton: 8120AB, 2428 hits, 130 HR's, .299 avg, 107 ops+, 68.4 WAR, 6x All star, 4 gold gloves and 1 season top 10 MVP votes. Value primarily came as a base stealer and solid defender, but not a great hitter. Williams: 7869AB, 2336 hits, 287HR's, .297 avg., 125 ops+, 49.6 WAR, 4x AS, 4x GG, twice top ten in MVP voting. He raked, especially in the postseason, but was not a great defender. He was the best hitter on four WS champ teams. Edmonds: 6858 AB, 1949 hits, 393 HR's, .284 avg., 132 ops+, 60.4WAR, 4x AS, 8xGG, twice top ten in MVP votes. Great complete hitter and great defender, but the shortest career of these guys. Didn't seem to have the HOF vibe during playing days. Jones: 7599AB, 1933 hits, 434 HR's, .254 avg., 111 ops+, 62.7 WAR, 5x AS, 10x GG, twice top ten in MVP votes. The greatest defensive centerfielder ever, and also has 434 career homers. Will definitely be elected in 2024 or 2025. Hunter: 8857 AB, 2452 hits, 353 HR's, .277 avg., 110 ops+, 50.7 WAR, 5x AS, 9 gold gloves, once top ten in MVP voting. Great defender the first half of his career, then a good hitter and solid defender his second half of career. Doesn't have a high enough peak for me. I'd definitely put Jones in among these five. Edmonds and Lofton are very borderline and probably will get in someday. Torii's peak wasn't high enough. Lofton was a victim of a crowded 2013 ballot and playing in the AL alongside Ken Griffey Jr.
  21. dex8425
    Andruw Jones needs to get in first. Jones has more WAR in fewer seasons, more homers, was a better defender and a better hitter, but fell off a cliff after he left Atlanta. Torii had a unique career where he was an elite defender in the first half of his career but not a good hitter, and then a good/great hitter and average defender the second half of his career. In my eyes, Jones is more borderline but should be in, and Torii is not close to borderline. There are several CF'ers who have better candidacies than Torii who are not in, including Kenny Lofton, Jim Edmonds and even Bernie Williams.
  22. dex8425
    Well, cheating is (by definition) breaking the rules dishonestly. That's why I'm saying the line for serving a suspension is an okay one to draw, because you were aware of the rules, and still were confirmed to break them. Ortiz and Clemens were not confirmed to have broken any MLB rules, and thus should not be penalized or kept out of the HOF as such. Because the HOF has this character clause, I suspect it will affect Jose Altuve's and even Carlos Beltran's chances of getting in. Altuve cheated pretty conclusively. The sufficiency of his punishment is another issue.
  23. dex8425
    I appreciate that you drew a line between serving a suspension and, well, everyone else, who has varying levels of suspicion. I don't think the writers intended the character clause to be used to keep out players with poor, questionable, or unpopular off-field choices or worldviews. That said, if you cheated on the field, that's a fair line to draw.
  24. dex8425
    So....Nick Gordon?? I don't see Niko Goodrum being any better than Gordon, offensively or defensively.
  25. dex8425
    Sheffield has the PED tag. So does Ortiz, and Sosa. To me, disliking media/journalists (Schilling) and using PED's (A-Rod, Sheffield, Ramirez, Ortiz, Bonds) should not be viewed similarly. Schilling's statements after his playing days are keeping him out, which seems patently unfair. If you're a "clean hall" type guy, this year I would vote for Scott Rolen, Andruw Jones, Todd Helton, Schilling, and perhaps Clemens, because there's no real evidence Clemens used Ped's. I'd maybe vote for Beuhrle and Hunter to keep them on the ballot another year, but neither are HOF worthy to me.
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