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bunsen82

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Everything posted by bunsen82

  1. bunsen82
    Sands and Topa look like could be #3,4 relievers at their best, so yes we need better relievers. I am just looking at a rebuild. As to the hitting prospects we are due to hit right lol, I would argue the hit tool of the 4 prospects is as good or better than Miranda, or Lee. Sano ate himself out of the league. I still have some hope in Lee. I still think we have an issue in our hitting philosophies at the MLB level. Lee appears to have no confidence at the plate right now. Just thinking way too much. See ball hit ball. Not all prospects fail. So yes I’m optimistic, and I always try to see what the next option could be. We have 2 month audition to see if Martin or Roden can figure it out. We often want immediate results rather than letting players figure it out.
  2. bunsen82
    From what I can gather the biggest concerns was a lack of range with a really strong arm during the draft. He has potential gold glove ability at 3rd base based on the report from the MLB draft. The concern was the bat wasn't good enough for his defense at 3rd to be elite. Now you have the bat is much better than expected and his range has been very good at short with his strong arm. Keith law wrote the following when he included in his top 50 prospects -"He's a true shortstop who projects to stay there and be 55 or 60 defender." He acknowledged he underestimated his power but continued to question his swing decisions and that was from July 24th. There have been very few chinks in the Culpepper armor at AA. He is absolutely demolishing this level. I am starting to think his grades would be close to the following Hit 60, Power 50/55, Run 50, Arm 60, field 55/60 overall 60. His trend is definitely up. We have lots of options coming up. Culpepper/Lee at short, Lewis/Lee/Amick (down the road) 3rd, Keaschal/Lee/Debarge at 2nd. I really like our potential infield options. The issue is I have been saying this since 2023.
  3. bunsen82
    This sounds about right to me.
  4. bunsen82
    Haha, nice way to include the new traded prospects. For me Bohorquez and Priellip by far had the best months and it isn't even really close. Bohorquez is no longer just looking like a flyer and Priellip looks like are best chance at an elite arm, but he does have company in Abel. I feel like this would be an opportunistic spot for that meme from the star wars prequels of Anakin to Padme. Anakin saying something to effect we have lots of arms in the minor leagues and Padme responds "Some of these arms have to pan out at the MLB level right?" These prospects are all a crapshoot.
  5. bunsen82
    How did Gonzalez (.939 OPS for July) and Culpepper (1.064 OPS for July) not get in the top 5 or even an honorable mention?
  6. bunsen82
    Didn't see this earlier. Dang has Ferrer made really good progress, and the power is finally starting to show up. His July was great. I am sure its a challenge managing his type 1 diabetes and the minor leagues. I still remember getting corrected by @tampatwins on calling him a pop up draft pick LOL. He sounds like a heck of kid and heck of a baseball player. I have been rooting for him since reading up on him after the draft. If you want a good synopsis on Ferrer look no further than than day 2 draft thread page 2 post by @tampatwins. My guess is he is finally getting comfortable regularly being behind the plate and adjusting to the better pitching. He should be moving up the prospect list.
  7. bunsen82
    MLB has the traded prospects slotted in the following slots Tait 4, Abel 6, Rojas 7, Gallagher 16, Mendez 20, Jimenez 24. No longer prospects - Outman, Roden, Bradley. This list doesn't include the rookies. On another list Houston is 7, Quick is 10, Young 15 and the 3 high end pitchers of Ellwanger, Reitz and Barr are not in the top 20 prospects. After the draft and trade deadline that is an extremely strong top 30 prospects. Not as many high end prospects but there aren't many teams that can beat our depth. Right now you have Bohorquez treading water as a top 30 prospect.
  8. bunsen82
    John Klein called up to AAA. Could be a future bullpen arm.
  9. bunsen82
    NM, wrong thread.
  10. bunsen82
    Do we have timeline on Lopez? Ober still doesn't look healthy in last start.
  11. bunsen82
    This is a heck of a tree. That has the possibility of continuing. You have 2 high ceiling players. That have the potential to add a lot of value to the tree.
  12. bunsen82
    Chances are we will be getting a look for Abel or Bradley soon at the MLB level.
  13. bunsen82
    I am sure there are still people out there who think Falvey missed on getting Painter and didn't try to get maximum value. If Abel pans out, it takes immense risk off of the Tait gamble. Then Tait can be the high ceiling catching prospect gamble that he is. Both players have extremely high ceilings. Can we be lucky enough and hit on 1, can we be greedy and hit on both 🤩.
  14. bunsen82
    Relief pitching is the question, willing to spend money to either flip at the deadline or give enough talent for a run while we develop the rest of the bullpen. Ryan has value in a trade, by far our most valuable asset. Ober and Lopez are both similarly valued, and that isn't high. Higher expectations for Lopez but also higher salary. Ober has minimal value unless the velocity increases is my guess. You can get as much value by betting on them hoping they perform and you can get comp picks for them. Otherwise they are not worth trading. We will need some pitchers to eat innings. You also need at least 1 veteran starting pitcher. I really like Lopez in that role. You are effectively paying 1 pitcher Lopez ($21) and Buck ($15 million) to be your leaders and bring professionalism to the clubhouse. I think that is fair. Hell, I would be tempted to sign Vazquez for 1 to 2 million to continue to be our backup catcher. I could care less what he brings in the bat. Continue to help us develop these young pitchers while we try to figure out the long term catching plan. Relievers is the one position where they are willing to take the highest contract. Arlodis Chapmen has shown willing to take the best contract. Signing with both Pirates and Royals. He has has a good year though, value might be too high. Pagan has done well but I think that ship has sailed. Jensen might. Helsley might and I could see Pressley coming back home and that could happen even still this season. The thing is Falvey has never, ever, ever spent money on the relief corps.
  15. bunsen82
    I am the first to tell you I question the Trade Value calculator. However it does give us at least a benchmark to look at that is unbiased. It shows how unrealistic us getting Painter in 1 for 1 for Duran was even though that is what most individuals is stating why we underperformed. We are taking big swings on Abel, Rojas, Tait, Roden, and Bradley. Mendez and Gallagher both seem as though solid players that are being viewed as they don't quite have enough stuff. Mendez is tied to power and too much ground balls, Gallagher is weird that he has a 55 on MLB for Fastball, Changeup, and Control and a 50 for Slider, but grades out as a 45 for total. His stuff was pretty dominant at high A. The rest are flyers Can we find 1 high end player out of these players, and 2 solid players from the Group. If we do we win this deadline. I am actually more optimistic that I was even at the deadline. Confident - Abel Optimistic - Tait, Rojas, Mendez, Gallagher (in that order and with the highest ceilings trending down) Concerned - Roden, Bradley - high ceilings big question marks
  16. bunsen82
    I think your hitting answers are coming in Culpepper, Gonzalez, Rodriguez and Jenkins. That is a lot of talent with very good hit tools. I also think Martin appears to be showing his bat skills are good enough for the MLB level. Can Roden turn the corner and show he is more than a AAA bat?? So we still have talented starting pitching, we can imagine a good hitting team, that bullpen needs a lot of work. Right now Topa and Sands have the chance to become a foundation for a future bullpen. Who else can step up. Funderburk?? 1 of the oldies in Urena, Tonkin or Ramirez for a year or two?? Can Ohl make the Varland, Sands, Jax transition. We are 2 arms short in my opinion. I would feel much more comfortable we can at least keep this bullpen from falling apart at the seems if we could pick up someone like a Pressley.
  17. bunsen82
    Dman, the chances the Twins have taken on bat first catchers and keeping them at the catcher position and coaching them up to be adequate has been very good even though small sample size. You have Jeffers and early return on Ferrer and Diaw look very good. You now have Tait, Ferrer Diaw and Jimenez all in the low minors. That is a lot of catching talent at 2 levels. They have taken very little swings in the draft other than late mid round or late round flyers since 2017 other than Jeffers (2nd), Diaw (3rd), Ferrer (4th). They seem to be very specific in what they are looking for there and who they think they can work with defensively. Athleticism seems to be something they look for.
  18. bunsen82
    Base Paddack's comments and Jax requesting a trade we can strongly assume not all was well in the clubhouse especially on the pitching side. As much as we can blame ownership and Falvey, this team has underperformed the last 2 years. Players would flash, but just not enough from the hitters, and ill timed blow ups from the relievers. Injuries played a big part. However say what you will, it doesn't appear the Twins were actively shopping Ryan or Jax, until Jax requested the trade. That gives me more hope this isn't a total tear down, even though I can see the logic in trading Ryan. I think the plan was to keep Jax and potentially Varland. We better win on the Varland and Jax trades as those are the ones that were most shocking.
  19. bunsen82
    The clear loss was Stewart for Outman. The only thing I can surmise is Stewarts arm is toast. Beyond that value wise - Won Jax trade by significant margin (+5), won the Correa trade (+2), won the Varland trade (+1) -that trade Roden seems way too high and Rojas too low, Griffin Jax (+4.5), Paddack (+1.6). Even on Coulombe, Bader trades. Slightly low on Castro deal but Gallagher has more worth than a 1 currently. I am the first to say I don't fully agree with the trade calculators valuations, but all in all it seems they got pretty good value all things considered. The initial looks at Abel and Mendez looks amazingly good. Tait's approach looks solid from the limited at bats at A+. We have Rojas in AAA. Gallagher struggled a bit in first start, but the stuff looked good. I want to see what Horn looks like. We have also sent Jimenez up to A ball. 3 hits but also 3 BB on limited at bats. The biggest question is what does Bradley look like and how much can they improve him in the offseason.
  20. bunsen82
    https://www.mlb.com/video/jose-ramirez-homers-23-on-a-fly-ball-to-right-field-daniel-schneemann-sco Didn't see any movement on that pitch other than some slight downward movement at the end, no side run at all. That appeared to be a middle middle fastball at 97 mph that Ramirez crushed. I saw him throw that pitch 4 times and hit hard. I am novice at the more technical and analytical sides of pitching. All I know is what Urena has hasn't been working for a while even though the velocity has remained elite. Thanks for the information though greatly appreciate it. I hope they can tweak some things with Taj.
  21. bunsen82
    Going through the trade deadline as a fan was not fun. Odds are we don't trade all of Ryan, Ober and Lopez. Ryan has the most value currently. MLB trade calculator has him at 68 value. Jax, Duran and Varland equaled 64.8. That tells you how much more value Ryan has if we were to trade him. More value than the combined value of our 3 of our big bullpen arms we traded. Ryans value goes up more if he can have 4-5 more really strong starts down the stretch showing he is no longer just a 1st half pitcher. My personal opinion is you keep Lopez. He pitched for the Marlins and is the consummate professional. On a similar level as Vasquez. Vasquez is giving you little on the hitting side, but he is wonderful calling a game, and being a defensive backstop. It was well worth it to our team not to trade Vazquez at the deadline and to pay the remainder of salary. $21 million for a top end starter is peanuts plus add in the intangibles of Lopez. They are both incredible teammates even when in difficult spots. Obers value is incredibly low. So if you were to trade Ryan for Maximum value you can continue to rehab both Lopez and Obers value and either trade them at a later date or run them through and see if you get a compensation pick for either 1. I could see Lopez getting a 3 year contract for 50 million plus. You get to keep him as the veteran pitching leader, and potentially get compensation down the road. Filling 5 starting pitching spots seems like its a recipe for disaster. 3 spots will be difficult enough.
  22. bunsen82
    Also, I really like Mendez. The kid can just plain hit and is only 21. The question all along is can he develop enough power. He had 8 HR this year with Philly, then in his 2nd game with us hits a HR. Now there is no way he will continue to have a .600 batting average or a 1.400 OPS. However, my guess is he will do really well in a much more talented lineup than he was at philly. It creates a lot more opportunity, more at bats, and better situations to be successful. I think he has enjoyed his first 2 games in the organization. The question is how well will his defense be. Right now he is definitely trending up.
  23. bunsen82
    So for Jax, Duran and Varland on the pitching side we received Bradley, Abel and Rojas. For a group of relievers you got 3 potential Starting Pitchers along with Tait and Roden. If 1 of the pitchers can pan out to be a #3 or higher and 1 more becomes a good reliever we win this trade deadline. If 2 become legitimate pitchers we are set up very well. All 3 have questions though. Will Bradley regain his stuff and he is only 24. His path seems similar to SWR. SWR had declining velocity and lack of effectiveness and continues to reinvent himself. New pitches, changes in velocity, increase in velocity. Ryan is always tweaking his arsenal. Hopefully SWR and Ryan can rub off well on Bradley. Abel has control questions, and Rojas has control and decent stuff, but is it good enough.
  24. bunsen82
    Honestly from watching the highlights that is what I am seeing with his fastball. There is absolutely no movement. That is about what I watched with Urena yesterday. In that 1st inning they hit him really hard, even though he was throwing up to 98 mph. The issue is the fastball is so flat. The only thing you have to time up is the speed. When you have having to time one plane it becomes achievable to hit even a very fast fastball.
  25. bunsen82
    So I read it on my Iphone. So the Twins intentions were to keep Jax prior to him requesting the trade. Thats interesting. It does line up saying they were only wanting to trade 1 of Duran or Jax. Between the 9th inning in the previous game, and Jax who seemed to either struggling with the role he was in or performance, seemed to be on a different page than the Twins direction. Honestly, trading him is likely for the best for both parties. I wish him well in Tampa. The Trade is still quite the dice roll by both teams. Right now the only other question is what happened with Varland. I don't think he requested the trade and had you kept him, with a couple additions I think you still could have had a solid bullpen. Or did they truly feel on that trade they were getting excess value and since they had already traded a ton decided why not? Pressley seems like a no brainer. Will he decide to come back to the Twins? The article didn't go into depth as to the progress on that.
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