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bean5302

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Everything posted by bean5302

  1. bean5302
    I think the Twins want to work with Tinney on his exchange and technique for controlling the run game. 0/11 in catching base runners. Not surprised he's still in Ft Myers.
  2. bean5302
    -30 runs is -30 runs (3 WAR) or a staff ERA added of 0.19. Basically, Luke Keaschall in RF turns a #3 starter into a #4.... all on his own. That's the pace Luke Keaschall is on based on his DRS for right field.
  3. bean5302
    Look here, the Twins also demand that player be absolutely terrible at hitting either righties or lefties. So like OPS+ 110 vs. lefties, OPS+ 45 vs. righties, and terrible in the field. That's the Twins way.
  4. bean5302
    Also, notice most of those players were from the 70s. It's not 1973 anymore.
  5. bean5302
    You're trying way too hard. Lewis was on a hot streak that he earned. Now he's on a cold streak that he earned. Lewis has been hitting at an All Star level since his recall in June. The last 6 games isn't relevant.
  6. bean5302
    Keaschall needs to be passable defensively where he plays or he needs to be a DH.
  7. bean5302
    Only Statcast defensive metrics disliked Arraez. Arraez was Arraez flipped the script on Statcast's dubious methodology. Arraez was relatively neutral otherwise.
  8. bean5302
    LOL, no. He was the 17th ranked player in WAR in MLB producing 1/2 the value the MVP (Judge) did. He didn't receive a single 1st place vote for MVP last year (or any other year in his career). He's never finished in the top 10 for MVP in the AL. Ever. Buxton is an All Star Caliber player. He's 5.0-6.0 WAR in a full season which he's accomplished 2x in his career. Buxton has never been an MVP candidate in his career. Buxton is a good player, but your position is on the opposite end of the extreme spectrum.
  9. bean5302
    Buxton getting doubled up made it pretty clear he's not running like himself. No way a ball hit to 3B turns into a double play with Buxton's normal speed. The exit velocity and hard hit rates are pretty normal for Buck, though.
  10. bean5302
    Starters. Quality starters are what we're talking about. The players required to advance in the playoffs. Ober is not in the same league as Matthews. Ober was a quality starter for 4 years, and potentially a back-end playoff rotation option. Apart from that, the Twins have not developed a single #3 or better arm since Berrios, who Falvey inherited. Falvey did put together a rotation, but it was largely built on scavanging assets he inherited from the previous regime.
  11. bean5302
    Starting pitching gets by far the most trade value. It's almost impossible make the kinds of trades you're suggesting.
  12. bean5302
    Crane has made some recklessly stupid decisions that didn't work out in the past as well. Luckily, the tank, rebuild and spend method has provided the Astros with a pretty excellent foundation. Not sure Crane won't mess it all up, but we'll see.
  13. bean5302
    A dying billionaire owner. Just like Illitch with the Tigers back in the early 2010s when he pushed the Tigers' payroll to $200MM. The Padres were a financial mess and MLB had to step in to force the team to reduce it's payroll in order to meet solvency standards. So if the solution is to potentially bankrupt themselves in order to push payroll as part of a reckless pursuit of a World Series run before they face imminent death, I think that's probably not a good sales pitch to the Pohlads right now. Though the Padres approach does support the spend money to make money philosophy, and commitment to the expenditures as a way to get fans on board. If the Twins had maintained the $150MM salary range for 2024, 2025 and 2026, I doubt fans would be so apathetic to the team.
  14. bean5302
    If Zoll had done his job at the deadline, there wouldn't be any roadblocks for Jenkins right now. I guess Larnach is going to have to become a bench bat, Roden to AAA is probably the best combo. DFA Go, Fedko, Gray, Orze or somebody.
  15. bean5302
    Line drive expected BABIP is over .600. Lewis' Line drive rate was 29.1% (higher than any qualified hitter in the past couple of years). His BABIP is going to be at least .400ish with a 30% line drive rate, power and low ground ball rate. So a little lucky? Probably. Not that lucky, though. I see this stuff about Lewis every time he has a rough 5 game patch as people are just stumbling over themselves to find reasons to trash him. Last 5 games - .056/.056/.056 OPS .112 wRC+ (85), wOBA .049, xwOBA .199 Prev 15 games - .346/.386/.577 OPS .963 wRC+ 169, wOBA .414, xwOBA .391
  16. bean5302
    I think this can be summed up with Larnach's timing being off a little. Larnach is also pressing. His swing rate is too high (back like it used to be). People forget Larnach was Wallner without power. 35% K rates and occasional home runs. Buxton's been slumping. We should probably DFA him to make room for Jenkins. Buxton's last 20 games .147/.253/.176 OPS .430 wRC+ 24 TBH, I guess DFA'ing Larnach wouldn't be terrible if you think Jenkins is better. I don't see a good reason to bring Larnach back next year and it does clear up regular playing time for Jenkins.
  17. bean5302
    I continue to be interested in a World Series caliber team. A team which won't just embarrass fans if they make the playoffs. I don't see this Twins team as a likely contender. I think it hinges more on... Connor Prielipp. He's being asked to transform into a playoff caliber starter. The Twins NEED 3. Ryan, Bradley, Prielipp. That's our best shot. Oofffda. Clarity. What role do players have? I can't figure it out. Could the Twins pull it off? I think they have the bullpen. I think the Twins are at a sizeable disadvantage in the rotation, but I also think the Twins could potentially have enough at the plate to make it happen with the right players in the right spots.
  18. bean5302
    I feel like that's a pretty extreme take that no player or manager would ever have an impact on team chemistry or work ethic, etc. There are some folks who will argue the manager doesn't have any impact (usually when attempting to protect an unpopular manager under siege by fans). The manager brings more than locker room attitude, though. The manager brings philosophy on who plays, who doesn't, why they get the opportunity, coaching philosophy, bullpen decisions, etc. The question at play is whether Bell could have that kind of impact on this Twins team? I think, if Bell was a Rafael Devers kind of crybaby, selfish, ****head, he could potentially cause a destabilization, but I don't believe he's likely to be a lift. I think the Twins are populated by a lot of good guys. In any case, I don't generally subscribe to the intangibles which aren't specifically called out by players.
  19. bean5302
    I think people are being a little overly harsh here on Larnach in general. He's not the 0.0 WAR replacement level player he looked to be the first couple years. He's a valid rosterable guy for a lot of teams. He's a solid DH can play in about 75% of games and when used appropriately (shielded from left handers entirely) he can put together a 1.5 WAR 400 plate appearance season. There is value in that. It's true I think Larnach should have been traded (or some other Twins players) to clear up the left handed DH/corner outfielder specialists role, having an incompetent front office doesn't mean Larnach himself is incompetent. He's just not as valuable to the Twins.
  20. bean5302
    Bell is well known as a quality person. When you assert his value in the win column comes from being a quality person, there needs to be some sort of logic behind that. I don't see the lack of quality people or veteran leadership on the team this year.
  21. bean5302
    I wasn't aware the Twins had a "good locker room guy" shortage and they need Bell to show them how to be supportive? I guess I haven't spent any time on the roster and in the locker room myself so I'll have to defer to your experiences in the clubhouse and traveling with the team because you seem to have first hand knowledge of Josh Bell being "outstanding" in the locker room.
  22. bean5302
    Larnach has just gotten much more aggressive at the plate. He's swinging a lot more (inside and outside the zone) and he's falling behind a ton. His first pitch strike rate is 69% over the past 20 games. Tough for anybody to succeed giving a free strike to the pitcher to open the at bat. There is some regression probably in there as he was quite a bit above expected and now he's way below expected. The quality of Larnach's contact has been poor, not good. Average exit velo is good, but his barrel rate has been off. Hitting a 90mph ground ball sounds good from an exit velo standpoint, but from a quality of contact and expected result standpoint, not so good. The Twins wasted an opportunity to free up roster space.
  23. bean5302
    I think it's ridiculous you believe age can be used as a blanket excuse. Some players have the talent needed to succeed in professional baseball. Some don't. Young doesn't. Quintin Young plays in Ft Myers. The lowest level of full season minor league baseball. Young has the absolute worst strikeout rate of any player in any division in that entire league, including 76 other players younger or the same age as him, with more than 100 PA. Young has 404 plate appearances worth of struggle this year, and even worse, his already miserable wRC+ 76 is better than his expected results. Young lacks talent, it's not an age thing. I find your position to be indefensive here.
  24. bean5302
    It's my opinion that games matter in April just as much as they matter in September. Josh Bell is nothing more than an overpaid roster constriction.
  25. bean5302
    at least until his next ice cold streak.
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