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jkcarew

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Everything posted by jkcarew

  1. jkcarew
    His versatility and near-league average offense make him a lock. The fact that there is one extra active roster spot to work with this year makes him slightly LESS of a lock...but still basically a lock. What about our other 'cheaters'? Polanco is really bad defensively, and we have a prospect coming in Gordon, and a better one on the way in Lewis. Meanwhile, Pineda is...Pineda. Some of the responses to the original post beg the question.
  2. jkcarew
    And Altuve and Stringer can't play 5-6 different defensive positions.
  3. jkcarew
    Hyperbole much? I don't think I'll choose stealing signs in major league baseball games as the criterion against which I'll determine that Altuve is scum and Lombardozzi is a great guy. Then again, I think I might be in the minority here.
  4. jkcarew
    As a team, Houston's batting OPS was higher on the road than it was at home in both 2017 and 2018. Higher at home in 2019. If they're healthy, they'll be plenty good offensively. It's plenty fine with me that the Twins are even in the conversation...which they undoubtedly are.
  5. jkcarew
    Minor league deal...if he ever sees the 40-man, it will be because more bad happened (failure and injuries) than good (Chachin becomes legitimately mediocre again). FO just bought some Aflac. Supplemental insurance for when you already have insurance...but you don't love it.
  6. jkcarew
    This article gets ahead of itself quite a bit, IMO... Chacin won't even see the 40-man until/unless a fairly significant string of events unfolds. Barring a spring-training disaster, one or two of the young arms already on the 40-man will get the opportunities to start the season. If they fail as a group, and/or there are other injuries...and Chacin is good at Rochester....then maybe. It's just insurance...supplementary insurance even...the kind you buy when you already have insurance, but don't love it.
  7. jkcarew
    I like ‘em...especially without the silly original belt/pants. Would I say they’re in my top 3...no, but way better than some recent alternates...and they were due.
  8. jkcarew
    So, you're comparing him to A.J, huh? Good call, IMO. Come to think of it, the last time the Twins won a playoff series, Pierzinski was there...and played a HUGE role. Just say'in.
  9. jkcarew
    You mean like in the day's of Ty Cobb? If I'm trying to win, I'll take a measure of acid with the sugar...while absolutely acknowledging that it can go south just as easily.
  10. jkcarew
    Like others, I love the idea of Sano glued to the seat/spot next to Cruz...in the batting cage, dugout, clubhouse, plane. Please, Miggy...continue to be asking Nelson ton's of questions and watching every aspect of every single one of his at-bats.
  11. jkcarew
    You lost me at PAYING for baseball content from ESPN. I refuse to pay them as much as a click. And urge all to do the same.
  12. jkcarew
    I was thinking of posting an image of a street sign that read... '0 Street' I'm sure it's out there somewhere.
  13. jkcarew
    Nice article. Great point on Ramirez...in the 2nd-half, he was absolutely 100% the player that finished third in MVP voting the two prior seasons. He's a star. He's 27. Lindor just turned 26. We still talk about our 26-27 year-olds in terms of 'taking the next step'. What if Ramirez and Lindor can have even bigger seasons than they've had. Still very good chance of that...even likely at some point. And the pitching...so, yeah. Last year, pretty much everything that could go wrong for them, did go wrong. Lost some pitching...but still have pitching. We'll see...I still think they finish first or second.
  14. jkcarew
    Good point. Their combined 137 K's in those 412 AAA PA, just made it SEEM like they played a lot more
  15. jkcarew
    Congrats on the HS diploma, Jhoan!!
  16. jkcarew
    The game after the Berrios game, Santana, Rogers, and Kintzler held the Astros to 2 runs. The game after that our favorite whipping boy, Kyle Gibson held his own. Meanwhile, when the Astros's visited Target Field that year, sans garbage can, they hung 40 runs on the Twins in 3 games...including 9 base-runners and 4 runs in 5 innings to hang another loss on Berrios. I'm all for consequences (although, 'punishment' comes from the league, not the Twins). They created an advantage by willfully, and in an organized fashion, doing something against the rules. They cheated. But there is simply not much in the data to say that it was particularly effective or sustained....despite what some will try to do by cherry-picking specific at-bats and games.
  17. jkcarew
    Uhh...were they punished by their teams or the league?
  18. jkcarew
    LaMonte Wade was a below-average offensive player in AAA last year. But this year if forced to play regularly at the major-league level...at a corner outfield position no less...he’ll be a “fine” major league player? I like the optimism.
  19. jkcarew
    Yeah...and dump Pineda and Cruz as well. Oh...and Polanco. The league may (or may not) do something. The Twins should do nothing.
  20. jkcarew
    Is that what I said? Not even in the universe of what I said. If I don't call Sano a great hitter...yet...it's not quite the same as saying I don't think he has value, is it? He does. Quit a bit. Meanwhile, he still has his pitch recognition issues and he still cheats at times to protect the inner half....those challenges contribute to the swings and misses...not just "swinging hard" (Sano's a lower-half guy in terms of generating the power). The puchline to my post was that Sano's results can get even better. It's a function of the immense power combined with material opportunities for improvement. It's the opposite of a bad thing to say about Sano.
  21. jkcarew
    But let's dump Jake Cave from the 26-man roster...because...well, pretty much any free agent we could pick up would be better than him...not to mention about a half dozen guys within our own organization who have options. Right? Also, wouldn't read too much into the Avila number. 2019 was an extremely small sample size for him (only 200 or so PA). Although his bat will play up...as long as Garver is healthy...Avila can basically avoid left-handed pitching entirely, as was the case last year for him with the Diamondbacks. Nice article. Interesting. What has never made sense to me is how a guy like Sano can be among the league leaders in swings-and-misses (I presume this to be true)...and also right at the top of barrel percentage. How does that work? You frequently miss the ball entirely, but when you make contact, your contact is more precise than everyone else? I suspect that what's closer to the truth is that 'ordinary' players often put the barrel on the ball, but don't get the results to qualify under this metric. Meanwhile, Sano probably leads the universe in not getting the middle of the barrel to the ball...and having the result still meet the mph and launch angle criteria. I would guess that there are two types of hitters than fit at the top of this chart. Great hitters (like Cruz), and ridiculously strong hitters, like Sano. In other words...this could get even better for Sano.
  22. jkcarew
    DING! DING! DING! It's super relevant (unless you've never been on a farm...or driven past one)...but just as importantly...it has the potential to be extremely annoying to the person you hang it on. Great nicknames need to have an element of both endearment and annoyance. This is it.
  23. jkcarew
    Tom, you ask for thoughts memories on the 69-70 seasons... I'm surprised I haven't seen anything drawing the parallels between 1969 and 2019...50 years later. In 1969 the Twins dominated a weak division and got crushed by a much superior team in the playoffs. The primary difference between the Orioles and Twins was starting pitching. After being one of the top 2-3 most potent offenses the entire year, the Twins scored a total of 5 runs in three straight losses. Baltimore won 109 games in '69, then relaxed in '70 and only won 108. (There's a reason they call the '69 Mets the Miracle Mets.) That's the bad part. The good part is that both the '69 and '19 Twins team were a ton of fun to follow and loaded with guys that could hit. But the names Palmer, Quellar, and McNally still make my skin crawl.
  24. jkcarew
    Great piece. Talk about position flexibility. And his speed gave him average to above-average range no matter where you put him. Super fun to watch...he was often a favorite of fans, in an era when their favorite could have been Killebrew, Oliva, or Carew. Pepe played with more personality than any of those greats did. Also played in an era when durability and availability meant much more than it does to today's fans and analysts. If you're even 5% better than your replacement, you should be out there every day. Look at his counting stats. Look at his games played. Nick, in his previous post hit the nail on the head...'67-'71...5 consecutive years of being in the top 25 in MVP voting. At least one time in that stretch he finished higher in the MVP voting than a healthy Carew, a healthy Oliva, or a healthy Killebrew. He finished ahead of a healthy Carew three times in that stretch. And remember the quality of the teams in that era. They deserve to have more members than any other era (with the arguable exception of the Puckett era).
  25. jkcarew
    With regard to WAR...don't love it for pitchers based on Van's point above. Also don't love WAR for position players much, either...or at least I don't take it too literally. Too influenced by defensive metrics, which are still, more or less, garbage, IMO. I go with my eyes on defense, and with wRC+ and OPS+ for offense...as others above have mentioned. With pitchers...I'm just confused. WHiP (combined with BABiP against) maybe? ERA still factors some in my book. And honestly...I still like innings pitched for starters (or innings per start). I know the standards are changing there...but still so valuable.
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