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    Royals 4, Twins 3: Duffey Implodes as Twins Waste Winnable Game


    Jamie Cameron

    The Twins lost to Kansas City, 4-3 on Tuesday night. After a hot start, the offense went quiet in the late innings and a Tyler Duffey implosion allowed the Royals a come-from-behind win.

    Image courtesy of Bruce Kluckhorn, USA Today

    Twins Video

    Box Score
    Starting Pitcher: Archer 4.1 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 2 ER, 3 BB, 5 SO
    Homeruns: None
    Bottom WPA: Duffey -.305, Jeffers -.204, Polanco -.177

    Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs)
    444386637_chart(5).png.c8e525b2854f1f200dd561aae9d0652e.png

    On Tuesday night, the Twins opened up a three-game series against the Kansas City Royals. This is the first series against an AL Central opponent in the young season and offers an opportunity to see Bobby Witt Jr. for the first time.

    With Byron Buxton not yet ready to return to the lineup, much of the pregame banter ahead of the opening game of the series surrounded Luis Arraez and his first career start at first base.

    Shifting to first base allows the Twins a respite from Miguel Sano’s cold bat while navigating Arraez’s defensive struggles at third base. It also marked the highest Nick Gordon has hit in a lineup at the major league level.

    The Twins almost struck early, facing Carlos Hernandez, who came in with an ERA north of 8.00. Jorge Polanco reached on a walk and made second base on a Carlos Correa groundout. Max Kepler then flew out to Whit Merrifield on the edge of the warning track on a ball that seemed destined to be a home run before it hung up in the wind. Kepler’s 107 mph fly ball had an xBA of .720.

    Coming off a strong first start of the season against the Dodgers, Chris Archer struggled to find the zone in the first inning. He threw 10 of his first 22 pitches for strikes, giving up a single to Nicky Lopez and a walk to Salvador Perez, before Hunter Dozier struck out to end the threat after an early mound visit by Wes Johnson.

    The Twins were in business in the third inning. Gary Sanchez led off with a double. Ryan Jeffers immediately followed up with a single, and Tommy Watkins sent Sanchez home. Sanchez was thrown out by Michael Taylor on a close play at the plate. It was a questionable decision to send Sanchez, with no outs and Arraez up, not the first by Watkins this season. The error would prove costly. Despite an Arraez single, two quick outs resulted in a scoreless inning.

    The Twins finally broke through in the fourth. Nick Gordon hit a one-out triple after Max Kepler was given out on a questionable bang-bang play at first base (the Twins had used their challenge). A Gio Urshela scored Gordon, and Gary Sanchez’s second double scored Urshela, giving the Twins a 2-0 lead.

    The Royals cut the lead to 2-1 after a Salvador Perez home run in the bottom of the fourth inning. The Twins finally chased Hernandez in the fifth, when an Arraez double and a Correa single increased the lead to 3-1. When Hernandez left the game, the Twins had eight hits and nine batted balls over 100 mph, despite just three runs to show for it. Baldelli chose to pinch-hit Garlick for Gordon in the fifth to try and add more insurance, but he struck out to end the inning.

    Archer ran into trouble in the fifth. A soft Taylor single was followed up by another from Cam Gallagher. Archer then walked Merrifield to load the bases with one out. Archer then walked Lopez scoring a run to cut the lead to 3-2 and force Archer from the game. Mercifully, Joe Smith continued his ability to escape jams, getting Bobby Witt Jr to ground into an inning-ending double play.

    On the second pitch of the sixth inning, Salvador Perez deposited a Tyler Duffey fastball into the left-field bleachers for his second home run of the day, tying the game at three. Andrew Benintendi was thrown out trying to stretch a single into a double. Hunter Dozier gave the Royals a 4-3 lead, crushing another home run. Duffey gave up exit velocities of 104.9 mph, 104 mph, 109.8 mph, and 105.7 mph to the first four hitters he faced, a second brutal appearance this season, again surrendering a Twins lead.

    The Twins threatened at the top of the seventh when a Correa walk and Kepler single put two runners on. Garlick flew out to centerfield to end the inning. Jhon Romero pitched a scoreless bottom of the seventh and eighth for the Twins.

    The Twins' bats went quiet in the second half of the game. After recording eight hits in the first five innings the Twins managed one more in the final four. Fans can point to the base-running send error by Watkins or another implosion by Duffey. Either way, they lost another winnable game. Instead of losing to a team making a playoff push, they dropped a game they should have had against a team who should be propping up the AL Central basement at the end of the season.

    Bullpen Usage Chart

      THU FRI SAT SUN MON TUE TOT
                   
    Winder 28 0 66 0 0 0 94
    Romero 34 0 11 0 0 30 75
    Jax 0 22 0 0 47 0 69
    Duran 0 34 0 0 23 0 57
    Thielbar 18 0 0 17 0 0 35
    Duffey 0 0 0 18 0 15 33
    Pagán 20 11 0 0 0 0 31
    Stashak 0 0 0 17 0 0 17
    Coulombe 14 0 0 0 0 0 14
    Smith 3 0 0 0 6 2 11

    Next Up

    On Wednesday, the Twins will continue their short series against the Royals. Chris Paddack aims to bounce back from a shaky first start against lefty Daniel Lynch. First pitch is at 7:10 CT.

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    Marek Houston

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    The 22-year-old went 2-for-5 on Friday night, his fourth straight multi-hit game. Heading into the week, he was hitting .246/.328/.404 (.732). Four games later, he is hitting .303/.361/.447 (.808).

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    Yep. better fire the manager. that'll fix everything. I'm sure someone from this board is ready to step in and will make no mistakes, and all the second-guessing will go away.

    wait...

    I'm sorry, I just get tired of every decision that Rocco or the team makes being described as "inexcusable". 

    Duffey looked really rough last night, like he was pitching batting practice. His command is off, and he's hanging his breaking balls, and KC made him pay. It's a reminder why relievers, outside of the absolute best of them, are generally pretty fungible. You can be great for 2 seasons and heading for the cut line 2 years later. I hope he gets it together, but if he hangs that curve over the heart of the plate he's not getting anyone out. (It's not that there's no bite on it, it's the location. He just can't start it letter-high, center of the plate and not expect it to get killed. I'm sure he knows that too, so clearly he's having problems locating the pitch)

    2 minutes ago, jmlease1 said:

    Yep. better fire the manager. that'll fix everything. I'm sure someone from this board is ready to step in and will make no mistakes, and all the second-guessing will go away.

    wait...

    I'm sorry, I just get tired of every decision that Rocco or the team makes being described as "inexcusable". 

    Duffey looked really rough last night, like he was pitching batting practice. His command is off, and he's hanging his breaking balls, and KC made him pay. It's a reminder why relievers, outside of the absolute best of them, are generally pretty fungible. You can be great for 2 seasons and heading for the cut line 2 years later. I hope he gets it together, but if he hangs that curve over the heart of the plate he's not getting anyone out. (It's not that there's no bite on it, it's the location. He just can't start it letter-high, center of the plate and not expect it to get killed. I'm sure he knows that too, so clearly he's having problems locating the pitch)

    I'd say if I'm in charge the 3rd base coach would be fired.

    Get a catcher thrown out at home with nobody out? You've demonstrated you're not capable of the job.

    "No consequences" is how you end up with zero postseason wins going on 2 generations.

     

    Just now, USAFChief said:

    I'd say if I'm in charge the 3rd base coach would be fired.

    Get a catcher thrown out at home with nobody out? You've demonstrated you're not capable of the job.

    "No consequences" is how you end up with zero postseason wins going on 2 generations.

     

    Redeploy Tommy, at the very least.

    Twins fans who are interested in watching a competitive team in 2022 will likely have a fair idea of the direction by June and certainly by the All Star Game. Many others, based on posts during the past several months, will look to the next five years and the minor leaguers as they support some ideal of asset management and responsible spending for small market teams. 

    Today looks cloudy for the Twins and sunny for a few prospects, so it becomes a matter of which one supports. I am still hoping that Buxton and Kirilloff find themselves in the lineup 5-6 times every week. It is a long season and the better players need to show themselves sooner than later. Rocco? I just wish he would be less visible because he has bad luck.

    I know garlic is great on spaghetti...or is it just the thick bread mom used to dip in butter and cover in the stuff...but I'm beginning to wonder just what kind of pictures of who Garlick must have??

    I'll give Rocco the three strike approach on this but he's down to one left after the following moves

    In the Boston Massacre game (have to name the seldom seen offensive production) Rocco goes against the late inning defensive replacement plan and inserts his favorite vegetable (look it up) to put the game further out of reach due to a poor matchup (I believe he managed to produce the same True outcome...K'd) and then we got to see Devers hit a 300 foot moon shot that bounces off the top of the fence for a HR off Duran...now if it's the top of the Green Monster...ok...tough break...this was the top of the RF fence Pesky Pole area which is about 3'6" high...where's the RF in all of this? Right up against the wall ready to make the HR robbing catch? Yes...unfortunately...he was about 6 feet off on where the ball hit the fence and bounced over...I'm thinking Kepler might have had that one but he was moved to CF I believe

    Strike 2 - Maybe we can call this the "I could never get a hit off of Flash" game or the "Elementary Dear Watkins" of to just "The Duff"...as noted above Flash the 3rd makes an adjustment to getting blown away by two high fastballs to triple on the next high fastball...while it was nice to see a professional hitter adjust within an AB and win...I can only surmise that Gordon was making the other guys look bad so he needed a calm down on the bench moment so we could watch some Ratcher and Clank action for half the game in RF...haven't checked the box score but I don't think we had much productivity at the plate from that spot in the lineup

    So the count is in the Sano-hole 0-2 and here's hoping Rocco passes on the garlic this time and maybe shortens up and lines a triple to the gap

    rv78 said: "Pulling Gordon for Garlick shows the Manager has no feel for the game but strickly makes every move based on analytics. If the Bomba squad doesn't reappear and the Twins end up needing to win based on Rocco's decisions they are doomed."

    That can't be better said to describe the hitting side.  It's so good I love it for it's beauty and hate it because it takes all the fun out of it.  It's that plain and simple.

    12 hours ago, glunn said:

    I wish that Rocco had put in Pagan instead of Duffey and  kept Gordon in the game.  

    Ditto Glunn those plus burning 5 short RPs every game, he going burn out whatever high leverage RPs we have and sending Sanchez home w/ nobody out was a bad coaching. Duffy needs to be removed from any high leverage situation until he finds himself and not doubled down like he did w/ Colume.

    Gordon should've been left in the game especially since he hit that triple. Any possible slight advantage that Baldelli thinks that Garlick had over Gordon is lost and then some when you look at the disadvantage of Garlick's defense.

    Bright spots were that Arraez looked seviceable at 1B, Smith was spectacular. Also this was like a ST game for Archer to improved his slider. He had some problems w/ his control but was able to get some extra SOs with his slider besides adding velo to his FB. His endurance will reach 5 innings soon enough. We need Buxton bat.

    7 hours ago, PDX Twin said:

    The rational choice is to bet against your favorite team. It diversifies your risk. If your team wins, you're happy about it. If your team loses, you are happy about winning the bet. 

    Oh I have been betting against them too... Doing much better in those games!

    12 hours ago, bighat said:

    Twins have now had both Sano and Sanchez called out at home with less than 2 outs this year. Maybe the 3rd base coach should stop sending our big men home? I don't mind being aggressive, but maybe pick your spots.

    I thought Sano was thrown out with two outs, in which case I had no problem with him being sent.

    Which of us is remembering that correctly?

    Regarding the Sano play, he probably would have scored if he had not slowed down so much as he was approaching 3B.

    The Sanchez send last night was really stupid. The top of the lineup was coming up with no outs. You may not even send Polanco on that play, much less Sanchez.




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