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    3 Reasons I'm All In on Nelson Cruz


    Nick Nelson

    As rumors swirled of Minnesota's reported interest in free agent slugger Nelson Cruz, I found myself lukewarm on the notion. But now that this union has actually come to fruition, with Cruz and the Twins agreeing to terms on Thursday, I find my reservations have mostly been lifted.

    Part of this is because of the deal's unexpectedly team-friendly structure. Part of it is the deeper meaning.

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    Here are three reasons I find myself warming up to Cruz (none of them are that his name is Nelson, although that is very good and important).

    1. It's only a one-year guarantee

    My main hold-up with the idea of signing Cruz was that he's a DH-only player who resides at the bottom end of the defensive spectrum, making him a restrictive presence on the roster. He'll be an everyday fixture, so long as he's healthy, so Rocco Baldelli pretty much totally loses his ability to use the DH spot for any other purposes.

    Wanna take it easy on Sano's legs early on? If he plays, it's gonna have to be in the field. Wanna play all four of your (arguably) starter-caliber outfielders at the same time? Not really an option now. Wanna call up Brent Rooker because he's clobbering Triple-A, but there's no vacancy at first base or corner OF? Tough luck.

    Cruz was reportedly seeking a two-year contract, and that just seemed impractical to me for a team in Minnesota's position, taking stock of its own uncertain assets. Especially so when you consider that Cruz is likely to decline, at least to some degree, as he approaches 40 years of age. But at one year, and at a downright reasonable cost of $14 million? With an even more reasonable team option attached? Who could really take issue with it?

    In the event this team fails to take off, there's a fair chance Cruz will have enough deadline value to return a prospect or two, so the element of long-term upside is still there. And what I'm loving is that the Twins no longer appear to be planning for that event.

    2. The Twins are demonstrating they want to win

    During his August interview with Baseball Prospectus at Target Field, general manager Thad Levine somewhat downplayed free agency as an avenue for additions: "This might not be the perfect time for us to invest in a guy who’s 30 years old and would need to perform today in order for us to realize his true potential. We’re bullish on 2019 for the Twins, and we’re really excited for 2020 and beyond, for a variety of reasons."

    Between remarks like that, and the Twins quickly filling their two most evident roster holes with a pair of castoffs from other organizations – albeit castoffs with considerable upside – I became resigned to this as a stand-pat offseason for the team, consisting of half-measures and stopgaps. Given the situation, and the number of uncertain (yet intriguing) pieces on hand, it made enough sense. The Twins would hardly be alone in following the "stagnant rebuild" model being employed by about half the league.

    Cruz is a major pivot away from that path. Levine spoke of avoiding "a guy who's 30 years old and would need to perform today in order for us to realize his true potential," and Cruz is pretty much that, except he's 38. This is a win-now move through and through.

    On one hand, there's minimal risk in any one-year contract. On the other hand, the Twins are making real sacrifices here, as a team in flux and with various moving parts. Levine and Derek Falvey are undoubtedly aware of the roster-building limitations of a 600-PA designated hitter, which I covered earlier. They are also aware that this move probably costs them Tyler Austin, an interesting slugger who might've figured into the club's plans beyond 2020. Cruz surely won't.

    But ya know what? He's great enough, and the deal is good enough, that you accept those downsides. Cleveland is supposedly deep in talks to trade Corey Kluber, and this division looks ripe for the taking. With Cruz in their lineup, the Twins are far more legitimate threats on paper.

    The signing sends a reinvigorating message to the current Twins players. (Don't believe me? Check their Twitter accounts.) And even more importantly...

    3. It sends the right message to fans

    This fan base has taken a beating. The past eight years have included five 90-game losers, including the worst Twins team of all time. Modest glimpses of hope in 2015 and 2017 were each followed by gut-punch backslides. We just had to watch the 2018 squad commit approximately 5 billion gaffes and miscues against the backdrop of "This Is How We Baseball" plastered on Target Field's outfield wall.

    We needed a jolt. We got it. Once you brush past all the metrics and analysis, Nelson Cruz is simply a big-ticket player who generates tons of excitement, and is tremendously fun to watch. He leads baseball in home runs since 2014. He's been an All-Star five times in the last six years. He routinely ranks among the league leaders in exit velocity

    This guy is an absolute phenom of the game, with a big and bright personality. That's the kind of infusion this team sorely needed to stir up some genuine enthusiasm.

    There are other reasons to like the fit, including clubhouse impact (you'd be hard-pressed to argue that a 39-year-old Torii Hunter didn't make an impact beyond his numbers in 2015), but these are the three concrete reasons that have me feeling good about the move.

    How 'bout you?

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    And of Course Sano would play against lefty starters...thats the only time we would need him!!!.....also the lineup looks like 13 players only because i have Adrianza and Kepler as backups at more than one position. I know for a fact Kepler has experience at first base. Garver too for that matter.. Plug any decent left handed bat into that equation and it is FIERCE. Marwin Gonzalez is a switch hitter and he plays a little 3rd base too. He only played left field last year because some one of Houstons prospects bombed or got hurt or something. He's a utility Infielder just like the one we used to have.

    You still have 13.

    Your list:

    1. Cruz

    2. Garver

    3. Castro

    4. Cron

    5. Schoop

    6. Polanco

    7. Adrianza

    8. Sano

    9. Moustakas

    10. Rosario

    11. Buxton

    12. Kepler

    13. Cave

     

    I haven't read every post, but the amount of traffic here being dedicated to this one signing shows just how low the bar is in Twins Territory.

     

    Falvine is making a good PR move here, but they need to focus on developing a system, not signinf free agents, and they know it.

    I was thinking the same thing, that 'traffic' here on TD really picked up after the Cruz deal. Shows that Twins fans are really looking for a little bit of hope for a winning, watchable team.

     

    How does the Cruz signing limit their focus on developing a system?

     

    It doesn't. My point is that signing a free agent or two is not what will make them serious contenders. Developing their system is, and they know it, which I'm far more grateful for than any free agent acquisition they might make right now.

     

     

     

     

    My excitement about this signing can be boiled down to one word, SANO.  I believe having the slugging veteran Dominican will have a huge impact on Sano in multiple ways.  The fact that he has been what I believe Miguel wants to become, one of the most feared and consistent sluggers in the game will benefit Sano not only in the batter's box, but even more so in terms of conditioning and preparation.  The fact that they share a Dominican heritage will only serve to make his example even more impact-full on him.

     

    Very pleased with this signing.  Muy bueno!  

    I'm all in on this one too. There's a little risk that age will finally catch up to him, but the contract makes that a manageable risk. The upside is absolutely worth it, and he's likely to be a serious middle of the order threat that should make the guys around him better.

     

    I love the fact that his platoon splits are so solid. He crushes LHP (.927 career OPS) but RHP don't exactly get a day off (.835 career OPS) so you don't worry so much about stacking a couple of righty hitters together. Home vs. Away? makes no difference. First half vs. second half? He just keeps on hitting.

     

    It's a good signing. I wanted us to go there as soon as the rumors started, and I'm glad we did it. Hope it works out!

    What will make this a really great signing is if Cruz takes Tyler Duffeys spot on the roster. Don't want to see him take the mound anymore. Hoepfully Bye Bye Duff.

    I read that the long Cruz HR at TF was off The Duffman. Trading Duffy to a Central division foe would be a great move for the Twins offense. :)

    I just wanna see us Win....You can show me all the alalytics until your throat cracks but Championships are still won with Team Chemistry! If you dont believe me just ask Alex Cora or any member of the 2018 Boston Red Sox.

    What a coincidence! The team with the highest payroll, not to mention one of the more longstanding analytics departments, just happened to win a championship.

     

    We can go talk payroll or chemistry or analytics in some different thread devoted to those topics, and I don't want to get off the topic of Nelson Cruz here, but this kind of nonsequitur shouldn't go unmentioned.

     

    For what it's worth, I expect Cruz to be a plus in the clubhouse. But I don't particularly overstate his value as a mentor - teams hire coaches and managers to handle those roles as well. Another player will listen to Cruz because he is a peer? Even though Rocco is a year younger?

    No way do the Twins sign Moose, nor would he want to come here to be a backup. IMO, signing Lowrie to play 2B/3B seems more likely, but that’s not gonna happen either (since we got Schoop).

     

    As a team that now hopes to contend in 2019, the only way for the FO to make the Cruz and Schoop signings matter is if they go out and get a proven closer like Cody Allen, because without that kind of stability in the bullpen, Cleveland (maybe Chicago???) still wins the AL Central.

     

    It’s as simple as this, if the Twins FO really want to be the “favorites” to win the division, they’re gonna need to beef up that bullpen. Despite feeling (overly) confident about the decent amount of pitching depth they’ve built up, I already know that’s not gonna be enough, the reality is that we need more proven arms like Allen, Blake Parker, Tony Watson, Kirby Yates, Adam Conley, etc in the bullpen; meaning we’re either gonna have to spend more, trade from areas of depth (Austin, Cave, De Jong, Gonsalves, Littel, etc), or a little bit of both.

    I don’t see Cron or Austin being the future of the Twins anyway be it 2020 or even beyond. Rally and Rooker should be battling fir s place on the roster and first basemen are nit a hard commodity to find if you need a place setter for the moment. I hope they do keep Austin thru spring training just in case and keep him st AAA.

    What will make this a really great signing is if Cruz takes Tyler Duffeys spot on the roster. Don't want to see him take the mound anymore. Hoepfully Bye Bye Duff.

    I don’t have much hope but he still has an option.

     

    There is enough hope in his curveball and strikeout/walk rates to give him another year in AAA on An options shuttle. Let’s hope the new pitching coaches will find the adjustment he needs, I wouldn’t give up his spot on the 40 before Granite’s or Reed’s. Relief pitchers with options will be needed to extend the bullpen.

    The AL has this great thing called the DH. Some baseball writers, pundits, and other fun people don't seem to understand what this is all about even after all this time and say things like, "Gosh, signing a guy who can't play the field is a bad plan."

     

    The converse is true. Using the DH to give your mediocre batters a breather is the bad plan. Get the best boomstick you can find and have him be your full time DH. That's what it's for.

     

    And don't stick him in the field. Keep him healthy. The DH position is for hitting. If he twists his ankle going for a routine pop fly that any other yob could be out there fielding for you, you just broke the DH position.

    Edited by Doomtints



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