Willi Castro

[RpR]

46 minutes ago, stringer bell said:

I'm going to bump this thread again as we approach mid-season. Castro has maintained a projected 5 WAR season, while demonstrating maximum versatility. From what I can see, he is on track to play in 20+ games at five defensive positions, perhaps the first ever to do this. He has played in every game and he leads the team in plate appearances.

 

ALL STAR performance.

[bean5302]

5 hours ago, stringer bell said:

I'm going to bump this thread again as we approach mid-season. Castro has maintained a projected 5 WAR season, while demonstrating maximum versatility. From what I can see, he is on track to play in 20+ games at five defensive positions, perhaps the first ever to do this. He has played in every game and he leads the team in plate appearances.

 

Maintained 5 WAR? 
April 30th - 0.6 fWAR -> Projects to 3.3 fWAR season
May 31st - 1.6 fWAR -> Projects to 3.9 fWAR season
June 21st - 2.6 fWAR -> Projects to 5.5 fWAR season

Castro ranks #37 in MLB in wOBA, but much lower at #62 in xwOBA. It's tough to say how the season will play out, but I think a 3.5 WAR, maybe even 4.0 WAR campaign from Castro is likely this year.

His arbitration 3 salary will likely be $6MM. The supposition in the article is maybe the Twins should extend Willi Castro. What does an extension for Castro look like if he finishes the season at 4 WAR? He'll be headed into his age 28 season with free agency hitting at age 29. The Twins would be asking Castro to skip free agency.
I think the Twins could persuade Castro to sign a new contract extension replacing his arbitration 3 2025 year at 7 years and $140MM or so.
2025 a28 = $8MM
2026 a29 = $24MM
2027 a30 = $24MM
2028 a31 = $22MM
2029 a32 = $22MM
2030 a33 = $20MM
2031 a34 = $20MM

Assuming Castro goes 3 WAR this year, things look awfully different. Maybe a 4 year $80MM deal would be on the table to push back free agency. 2025-2028. If the Twins keep Castro at $6MM in arbitration for 2025 and he duplicates the 3 WAR performance, he's in for a payday as a free agent of maybe 4-5yrs $78-90MM.

If Castro plays through this season at a 5 WAR pace, the Twins are going to need to pony up 7+ years at $210MM or so to have him push back free agency. Duplicating a 5 WAR performance would have Castro lined up for a Carlos Correa like payday. 7-10 years at $225-300MM, I'd guess.

Castro's trade value increases with his production as well. If he's playing at a 5 WAR level, the haul he'd bring back would be massive.
 

[Richie the Rally Goat]

Currently 3 WAR and 130wRC+ 87 games in, he’s played in 86 of them.

go get ‘em Willi!