nicksaviking
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Everything posted by nicksaviking
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Encouraging News About Buxton?
nicksaviking replied to stringer bell's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I always wondered what a time table looked like. This? -
Hicks continues to scuffle at Ft. Myers. Over his last ten he only has 1 XBH (his 3rd HR of the year) and 3 BB to his 10 K. For the season his .346 OBP is respectable but below his career numbers. His 19% K rate has to be a nice surprise as he was projected to be a three true outcome hitter. On the other hand his power is not developing, though the FSL has dampened power numbers in the past (for guys not named Walker). For a 16th round pick he has already exceeded expectations, but if he's going to advance any further, he's going to need to start finding the green spots on the field or hopefully the green spots past the outfield fence.
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I don't know, Kevin Bacon played a college kid in Animal House in 1978, then a high school kid in Footloose in 1984 then a college kid again in Flatliners in 1990. I'll bet Tabata could pull it off assuming he's no worse an actor than Bacon.
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Twins in the 2014 Futures Game
nicksaviking replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
I'm guessing back in April the only people who saw Vargas and Berrios in the futures game instead of Sano and Buxton figured those two would already be playing in Target Field. -
Bad contract Tabata for bad contract Pelfrey. Aren't all the Pirates starters injured and all the vets on the last year of their contracts? The Pirates sure seem to have good luck with former Twins pitching.
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Well... http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=guerri001mat edit: That was just for fun by the way. I agree Meyer needs to get back on track and I can acknowledge the organization may have had a better feel for this situation than many of us expected.
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I wouldn't mind trading Plouffe if the team can get something of interest back in return. That being said, I couldn't care less about his defense as long as it's not mind-blowingly laughable. I really doubt Plouffe would be worse than Willingham, Kubel, Colabello and Arcia in the outfield and I am/was much more concerned with their bats. As for his defense at 3B, it seems to me it's been solidly average this year if not above average.
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Not to mention that the preference of groundballs vs flyballs is not universally in favor of groundballs, Bill James being one who believes flyballs are preferable. A fan who thinks the Twins projected future infield's defense looks sketchy would be another
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2014 International FA thread
nicksaviking replied to diehardtwinsfan's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Yeah, that's the good news. The bad news is that it is reported that the Twins won't spend more than $1 million on any international signees and most likely everyone on this list will get at least that much. -
Christopher Crawford has an ESPN Insider article about top fantasy baseball prospects and May was featured prominently. I'm not an insider so I don't have the details but here is the link: http://insider.espn.go.com/fantasy/baseball/story/_/id/11123061/top-10-fantasy-baseball-prospects-analyzing-trevor-value-fantasy-baseball There's not much fantasy baseball talk on this site for good reason, but one thing from the article caught my eye, the pic: Nope Nope Almost There it is: http://a.espncdn.com/photo/2014/0623/fan_g_mayt_300x300.jpg Sorry, but I can't stop drooling over that stride. That is not the typical stride of a Minnesota Twins pitcher and many people equate a longer stride to velocity. Drop and drive baby, mmmmmm. I can't wait.
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2014 Draft Slots and Signings
nicksaviking replied to Brock Beauchamp's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Starts in terms of the onset of his career and not in regards where in the game he pitches, I assume. -
Probably not that well considering how much people love to rate catchers and shortstops. Still he has a lot of work to do. However, to his credit, I'd guess a .313 OBP and .691 OPS is not generally predictive from a pretty darn good 18% K rate. Those numbers will improve if he continues to make contact.
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There's a lot of room in the Colorado OF for the ball to land. You'd think that would help any stat using batted ball averages. Still, you'd think that same theory would hold for San Deigo and Seattle (until they brought the fences in) but it doesn't seem to.
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Well if they did, you'd think they'd finally have a few traditional double headers at least.
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Mauer has 12 career HR at Target Field. Jose Bautista has 11. Better vote Jose in, he's only 20 HR behind Josh Willingham for most HR hit at Target Field and I think he could do it with a good showing.
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I would be beyond embarassed were that to come to fruition.
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I should add that it seems odd that he had to learn to try to use the whole field after leaving the team. The common perception is that the Twins preach this approach, though perhaps they are less preachy with their All-Star vets.
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Fox Sports had a nice article about our old pal. It talks about how his success is tied to his willingness, perhaps eagerness to now go the other way. I found it linked to Fangraphs but here's the original link: http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/justin-morneau-hits-all-fields-power-more-swings-less-strikeouts-coors-field-target-field-062314 The last paragraph is a bit gut-wrenching though: But now, his home park has helped him be a more complete hitter. He admitted that "there's no reason I couldn't have done this in Target Field," but is happy to make the change. As he said, "It's all part of the learning curve."
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Can we confirm yet which arm he'll be pitching with?
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I'm guessing the main hold up with cutting ties with Deduno (from a fans perspective) is the knowlege that he has such great stuff there will always be the possibilty the Pirates, Cardinals, A's or another team with a history of getting the best out of pitchers with huge question marks know exactly how to fix him and we miss out on the reward. Still doesn't do the Twins any good to keep him if they can't figure out how to fix him.
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I think the graph show's better aging by catchers simply because it's not expected to be a great offensive position. 27-year-old Jose Molina is already a pretty poor hitter, there's not much room for decline for 37-year-old Jose Molina. Or Miguel Olivo, Gerald Laird, Drew Butera, Fancisco Cervelli, John Buck, Dioner Navarro etc. It's just a position where low offensive output is accepted, and the lower the peak output, the lower the amount of statistical decline later. Teams just don't tolerate this lack of production from other positions except for shortstop to a degre.
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It's possible, but I think Slama and Berrios are different animals. Slama was putting up big numbers but we knew it was smoke and mirrors as he threw in the upper 80's and mediocre at best secondary stuff. We know Berrios has great stuff. It seemed to me KLaw was basically hung up about his height and what he expected it to do to the plane of his pitches. I haven't heard any concerns about that anywhere else and if one thing can be said about KLaw, he is stubborn. Well plenty of things can be said about KLaw, but there are rules on this site.
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I agree. I wouldn't have two years ago, but I think something has changed. Whether it was a philosophy change or talent change I'm not sure. There does still seem to be a favoritism toward guys who have "put in their dues" over younger guys. It's hard to argue that a Wheeler or a Pino don't deserve a promotion, both clearly did, but the bottom line in Berrios' case is the better pitcher did not get the call.
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International Watch: Huascar Ynoa
nicksaviking replied to Jeremy Nygaard's topic in Twins Minor League Talk
Well let me bring back the basketball analogy. James Naismith created a non-contact game. The players were not supposed to foul each other. Yet they still do, and often intentionally. Is that cheating? -
I agree. Also, laying down a bunt on a 95 MPH fastball isn't easy no matter where the location of the pitch. It's not a 100% success rate even for good bunters and for these guys it'd be much less considering the bunt is not part of these players normall repertoir. I've never seen a stat on bunt success rates, but even for the guys you expect to bunt, you see a ton of pop ups and attempts that go foul. If David Ortiz has a .400 OBP and his bunting success rate was .500, would it really be in his best interest to lay it down when the best result is he'll only be standing on 1st? I like the novelty of it and wouldn't mind seeing guys try it to keep the defense honest, but I don't know that it would work out as well as we'd assume.
