Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

nicksaviking

Community Moderator
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    25,649

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    126

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    That is only an assumption and you'd need another metric even to get results for that premise. The bottom line is, we can only assume that the catcher was the influencer in the umpire's decision, but there isn't a stat in the world that can promise that idea with any degree of certainty. Unless we start polling the umpires on their conscious decisions and psycho-analyze them for their subconscious ones.
  2. nicksaviking
    Well if biases are to be taken out of the equation, Pitch Framing should be irrelevant. It relies on the belief that catchers dictate what the umpire is going to call 100% of the time and doens't consider the fact that umpires already have preconcieved notions about the pitcher and normal human prejudices. I don't buy into pitch framing one bit, it's a good idea, but it's flawed in that it's trying to calculate the incalculatable; the cause of human perception vs judgment. Not that this makes Suzuki an above average catcher or anything. If he has value, he needs to be flipped.
  3. nicksaviking
    I wonder why they waited four days to get an x-ray? Ft. Myers does have a lot of old people I guess. Maybe that's just how long he had to sit in the waiting room at the walk-in clinic?
  4. nicksaviking
    Less obstructed playing time for younger players like Parmelee, Arcia, Santana, Pinto or Vargas and a free 40-man spot to add someone like Meyer or Rosario.
  5. nicksaviking
    But you're missing the point. Kimbrel is clearly an elite pitcher. However he is inserted into a position where his eliteness has little effect on the game. His eliteness isn't going to produce markedly better results than an average pitcher as long as he's only pitching 2-3 innings each week. A blown save is nothing like an RBI. I understand the idea that it's a pretty arbitrary stat, as good pitchers can blow saves to no fault of their own and by pure luck or chance bad pitchers don't blow saves you'd think they would. But that's the point. A closer's sole purpose is to hold the lead at the end of the game. It's flukey if he doesn't hold the lead, and the variance in times the good ones hold it compared to the bad ones is negligible which helps validate the flukiness. ERA, WHIP, xFIP, LOB%, WAR are all marginalized when a guy is pitching so few innings, good stats found on Fangraphs don't accurately translate to better end results for the team.
  6. nicksaviking
    I might suggest your homone levels may be quite a bit different than that of a professional athlete. Even the ones that don't get them artificially.
  7. nicksaviking
    I like Perk but would move him for a good package. Closers should be expendable and offered to any sucker who will pay for them. They are simply manufactured out of the "next man up" philosophy. Right now Casey Fein has only a little value, but if Perkins were to have gotten hurt in May and Fein had saved 20 games in his absence, his value would increase ten fold despite doing the exact same thing. Even guys we think of as average or subpar closers work out just fine. It's sexy to see a 1.82 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP, but the odds are that that pitcher isn't going to have overall different results (did you hold onto the lead?) than the closer with a 3.48 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. Craig Kimbrel has blown 4 saves this year compared to Steve Cishek's 3. Kimbrel is a better pitcher and there's no debate, but his overall results aren't any better than Cishek's. Right now, every closer who has double digit saves has between 1-5 blown saves. That's a pretty small variance. The top two save artists, Kimbrel and Trevor Rosenthal, each have 4 blown saves. It's a flukey endgame created from an arbitrary position. The team that realizes this and opens up a continual "closer" retail store will reap large rewards. At least until the rest of the league catches on.
  8. nicksaviking
    I'll only be upset if they again trade a vet who takes up one 40 man spot (and who would be off of it as a free agent come November) for two AAAA guys who both require 40 man spots. This happened two deadlines in a row and it needs to stop.
  9. nicksaviking
    Well there's a solution for that too
  10. nicksaviking
    I think the majority of the time people blame the person responsible for putting these pitchers on the roster. Well, of course and Anderson.
  11. nicksaviking
    Yeah, we can't play the hindsight game with players but we can play it with philosophy, and with the dearth of front line arms in the system in 2010, the Twins absolutely should have been looking for someone more upside. Although to be fair, I'd pick ceiling over floor in the first round every time, no matter the situation. In my view, drafting based on a player's floor is the glass half empty view as you're wondering what's the worst that's going to happen. Drafting based on ceiling is the glass half full view as you're wondering how good this guy could turn out to be.
  12. nicksaviking
    And how better to prepare the fans who will be upset about a trade, than to have something like this leak. Good news in my book as a trade looks very likely. The Twins are going to have so much money to blow next offseason that if they really want him back for his unevitable slide, they can easily overpay him. As to the buy/low sell high issue, Ryan has done well in the offseasons with Span and Revere. I think those that are frustrated (me included) take issue with not getter better return for deadline deals. However, somehow the Twins have been in the terrible position of being awful, with hardly anything of value to sell at the deadline. Willingham in 2012 and Perkins last year were about it and neither were rental players. Liriano, Young, Doumit and Morneau all struggled come deadline time. Many of us wanted the Twins to move them the prior offseasons when they had value, but who knows if teams were even interested.
  13. nicksaviking
    He did screw the Twins, which may be a reason the team didn't really deal with him again for about 12 years. Still, it was a provision in the CBA and if the client was aware of it, the front office should have been aware of it as well. They should have been dotting their i's and crossing their t's particularly since the club KNEW Boras and Lee didn't want to play for the Twins in the first place.
  14. nicksaviking
    Yeah, what kind of incompetent organization would fail to sign a top 1 or even top 2 pick? http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/b/belchti01.shtml http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=lee---001tra
  15. nicksaviking
    I'd think that would do the opposite. Being able to say you're going to college is the best leverage these players have. Also, if MLB required a decleration, they could then require further procedures, like telling those that declare they must have (and pay for) medical screenings and provide the results. Results which the teams would use against the player during negotiations.
  16. nicksaviking
    College starters are safe, the HS arms drafted immediately after him (and I actually mean the next 6 HS pitchers, with no convenient omitions) Jesse Biddle, Zach Lee, Cam Bedrosian, Aaron Sanchez, Noah Syndergaard and Tijuan Walker were not safe. I guess. Vent over. Yes, I'm still upset they went floor over upside, but I readily acknowledge they seem to have changed philosophy recently.
  17. nicksaviking
    I agree that they do, I just don't agree that they should. 25-year-old rookie pitchers shouldn't be the norm when the guys are top 100 prospects. There's nothing wrong with a little stress for a young pitcher. He's going to have to deal with it at some point.
  18. nicksaviking
    I really was hoping to see better results from Cederoth. The team generally doesn't tinker with a lot of mechanics until after the first professional season though so hopdully we'll see something new next year. I didn't realize that Adam Loewen was back to pitching. He gave it up about six years ago. He was at one time a top prospect and I can't remember why he gave up pitcing in the first place, his minor league numbers were solid and he really didn't get much of a chance in the majors. There's probably a good story out there about him somewhere.
  19. nicksaviking
    I'm with Drjim in the fact that we have no idea if these guys are "ready." That being said, I don't believe they need to be completely "ready" to be called up. It seems that the Twins require their pitchers to have a lot more polish prior to their call up than they do the batters. Unless the players are mentally fragile, or the sunshine and rainbows atmosphere in Target Field is conducive to stunted development at the first sign of adversity, I don't know what the hesitation is to let a pitcher take his lumps at the MLB level. It would seem to be a pretty good learning experience unless the pitcher happens to be the kind of guy to cry in the corner of the shower and ask for his mommy after getting rocked.
  20. nicksaviking
    The Twins do seem to have a knack for building a pretty decent, even if underwhelming bullpen. However there has been a lot of luck involved. Afterall, the only reason Perkins, Duensing, Swarzak, Deduno and even Guerrier are in the pen is because they were failed starters who were out of options. It's not like these guys were put there by design.
  21. nicksaviking
    I like Burdi, so I'm guessing it wasn't me. I'm sure you're correct about the comments, but I don't remember them. Did they happen to compare Burdi's (1 day) control implosion to one Mr. Wimmers? If so, I'm guessing the commentors may have just been looking for an excuse to toss the old Wimmers "I told you so" out there. I know I've used that one a time or two
  22. nicksaviking
    Hmm that is peculiar that I started talking about his obliques. I wonder where I got that from?
  23. nicksaviking
    Getting held out the next day after getting plunked in a sensitive area isn't uncommon. Even if he was held out because his wrist was sore, it doesn't mean it was re-aggravated. His sprained/jammed wrist would have involved damaged ligaments. A fastball to the wrist would have involved a simple contusion assuming it's not broken. Either way, just because it occurred on the same body part, doesn't mean it's the same injury. It shouldn't be anyway.
  24. nicksaviking
    I've never heard of a 50 pitch count for a starter. They can't be concerned that his arm can't handle more pitches, he hasn't had that long of a break. If they are concerned that his recently injured oblique can't handle more than 50, he shouldn't have been out there in the first place. Knowing this club's unreasonable obsession with walks, I think we should just assume he got pulled because he issued one.
  25. nicksaviking
    Asdrubal Cabrera and Jed Lowrie are still playing SS, and as free agents this offseason will likely get paid to do so for another team. If they were back in A ball, everyone would be screaming that there's NO WAY they stay at the position. Exposed shortcomings still don't dictate a move more often than not.
×
×
  • Create New...