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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    I was talking about the hypothetical pick you’d get for Hunter. You could package two 20ish picks and move up. No clue what, if anything was offered for him of course.
  2. nicksaviking
    This honestly sounds like the worst case scenario to me. Now he’ll only be here this season, which seems like an impossible season to win it all, AND the team won’t get a high draft pick, which could have perhaps been in part used to get a future franchise QB.
  3. nicksaviking
    What about last year when they traded for two of the best relievers available at the deadline?
  4. nicksaviking
    Yeah what’s the chance the pinch runner makes a difference in that situation? 5% The odds they need Julien’s bat again is much higher.
  5. nicksaviking
    I dig this new third baseman.
  6. nicksaviking
    I'll never trust relievers coming from other teams, but I wouldn't protest getting one. The Twins have quietly been building a groundball heavy bullpen, which contrasts with the flyball heavy rotation. Honestly, Dallas Keuchel out of the pen might be exactly what they are looking for.
  7. nicksaviking
    The quasi-established players are always the last pieces included. I'd not like to trade Lee, but honestly, unless one of them plays CF, I think Lee and Lewis are going to struggle find room together on this team. I wouldn't be opposed to trading one, IF it was a super star kind of transaction. I also wouldn't want to trade Ober or Ryan. I also don't like Dallas Keuchel in the rotation, but I suppose if I had to add one, I'd consider it, only because the Twins would likely still win the division with that rotation and than come playoffs, Keuchel would be of no need anyway. I doubt SD ends up selling this year, but when they do finally move their big name players, those blockbuster trades for elite players almost never work out for the sellers. I'd guess which ever team gets Soto or Machado or Tatis or Musgrove will easily come out on top.
  8. nicksaviking
    Also, I think we took a bit of a tangent here because we're debating things other than the actual topic of this thread currently. It seems like we all think Larnach could still produce, thus still has value. Which is why he could/should be traded.
  9. nicksaviking
    But LaMonte Wade was the Chris Williams/Anthony Prato kind of prospect and the Twins traded him because they intended to give at bats to the more heralded guys like Brent Rooker and Jake Cave. Would have been better to trade high on Rooker/Cave. In the end they lost all of them because the best guy had the lowest pedigree, which shouldn't have mattered, and they moved on from the other two after they had next to no value.
  10. nicksaviking
    Larnach's career AAA OPS is only .737. Obviously it's possible to improve on that at the majors, but there are other players they can start trying, I don't see why the best option isn't to cycle through these players until they find the right ones. They don't need to keep going back to Larnach. When you're a college player, 1st Round Draft status five years removed shouldn't be of any consideration when evaluating young talent. If Larnach has value, even as a complementary piece, I don't see much harm in moving him now.
  11. nicksaviking
    Funny, I complain about the Twins roster, then I see a trade like this and am thrilled that neither of these guys are on my team.
  12. nicksaviking
    I'm not giving up on Larnach, but now is the time to trade him. His value is still tied up in his draft equity, and at this late point in development, I think pedigree is an unwise metric. Normally I'd give a young guy a longer leash, but the Twins have plenty of unheralded players like Chris Williams, Anthony Prato, Jair Camargo, DeShawn Keirsey and Yunior Severino who are all hitting as well or better, mostly better, than Larnach ever did in the upper minors. When there are open spots on the 26-man, I think at this point the team should be seeing what the other guys can do.
  13. nicksaviking
    My favorite part about traveling is trying the local beer. It’s really fun to see the effort and creativity local brewers put into their craft. Food too, but mostly the beer.
  14. nicksaviking
    https://nypost.com/2023/07/27/mlb-trade-deadline-biggest-names-left-on-the-market/ The Padre tear down is inevitable; I thought it would be after 2024 but maybe, they start with one now? I have a real distaste for the half-season hero's that are currently being floated around as trade targets. Everyone wants a right handed bat, and Soto is another lefty, but does that really matter if he hits .824 against lefties? Clearly he would cost more than anyone could stomach, but I don't want half measures. I HATE half measures. From my view, guys like Jeimar Candelerio, Lane Thomas, CJ Cron and Adam Duvall do not win this team a championship and that is the only thing I care about at this point in my fandom. But Soto might be that guy to put the team over the top. Heck, with this rotation, he might make them a front runner parked in the #3 spot in the lineup with the team's other young bats feeding off the momentum of such an all-in move. Could the Twins get him? I doubt it, I think they'd need some top pitching prospects, and the best the Twins could do is offer Ryan or Ober, who I think that would be counter productive to part with this year. BUT, if the Padres were willing to listen with a package headlined with Lewis or Lee and some combination (heck all of) Larnach, Varland, Encarnacion, SWR, Festa, Winder, or whomever they have an eye on would probably have me nodding in agreement. I honestly think 2024 is the year this team should be chasing because I think the young guys who are currently leading the team need a year to learn how to carry the load, but Soto would be here next year. 2023 could be the build up to 2024 being a legit contender.
  15. nicksaviking
    Trading Larnach in a package sounds like a great idea to me. Just not for a platoon right handed bat. Try to make meaningful moves, not half measures simply because you’ll face a left handed starter a couple times a week.
  16. nicksaviking
    I think there’s a broader issue here, because basically ALL of the the Twins league-wide known names are streaky. Not just Buxton, but Correa, Gallo, Kepler, Polanco and Vazquez. There’s no Kent Hrbek, Joe Mauer, Torii Hunter or even a Michael Cuddyer who for their careers basically hit the same all year long. Seriously, look at these guys’ career splits by month, it’s a roller coaster ride. Maybe you could use this to plan ahead, but these guys all run somewhat predictably cold and hot.
  17. nicksaviking
    It’s how they, and most clubs build sustainable winning teams since this game began. Even the top 1/3 teams. I think the actual production gap between average vets, and unproven young players is almost entirely a mental construct built on fear of the unknown.
  18. nicksaviking
    While I'm with you and would like to see them spend the money, I can see a couple of near term and long term issues with them doing this. As for the Jenkins situation, that could have been a Catch-22, or perhaps 2 Catch 22s. First, if they'd have gone against their organizational prerogative about not spending it this time, Boras would most certainly make them do it every time they sign one of his clients. And honestly, waiting until the last minute instead of paying more is surely something I'd do. Heck, I'm doing it right now biding my time waiting for some tickets to go down at a later date. Second, if they'd opened up that can of worms, would have they been able to give that money to the HS kids? Or would Jenkins and Boras said, 'Nah uh, if you're opening up the wallet, I'm going to want it all.' Not a Boras critique at all, for anyone thinking it was.
  19. nicksaviking
    Yeah, the Orioles clearly won that trade, and Cano is helping them this year, but he never looked like someone who was going to have sustained MLB success. I don't see this being a trade we rue for long. The only caveat to that would be, why are his walks so significantly reduced? If that's permanently fixed, maybe he'll be a guy who bounces around for years. But if there was a fix, it appears to have crippled his strikeout numbers, and as a reliever, that's certainly going to come back to bite him later.
  20. nicksaviking
    Yeah, I don't know why they don't try. Seven of the nine pre-arb batters the Twins have used this year have an OPS over .800. Miranda has unexpectedly been the one to struggle and Larnach is merely at .715. Except for Jeffers, they've all been shuttled back and forth from St. Paul regularly, so it's not like the promotions and demotions are doing any kind of psychological damage. I don't understand why going back to that well until it dries up isn't their first choice..
  21. nicksaviking
    I'd be more than happy to take a scissors to the 40-man to make my cuts should the front office find it too hard to stomach.
  22. nicksaviking
    If they don't find any RH bats they like at the deadline, and so far I haven't seen much to like, hopefully they turn to Prato or Chris Williams. Though looking at splits against left handing pitching, Prato would be the clear choice of the two.
  23. nicksaviking
    If they are unwilling to bench or cut the veteran corner outfielders, what is there to do? I've also yet to hear a realistic name that people would like who wasn't a poor player last year. Evaluating these players solely on how they have played for four months with their current team is a poor way to predict how they'll play on the new team.
  24. nicksaviking
    To play when and where? I've seen no inclination of this team to even platoon Kepler or Gallo let alone replacing them.
  25. nicksaviking
    Keirsey should be long gone from Wichita too. It's not like the Twins are swimming in CF options.
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