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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    Between Hader, Bautista and Beurhle, it's definitely worth the effort. Not at the expense of not signing a top drafted player, but certainly do it if you can.
  2. nicksaviking
    Agree. Unless there's a shockingly big trade, these guys are likely as big of a boost as any of average players they plan on trading for. Though, I think the Twins have actually played better when forced to improvise. Seems like every time a starter goes down and they have to reach into the AAA bag, they come out better than when the starter was in the lineup.
  3. nicksaviking
    So now they toss the rest of the money in a bag on the floor and tell the two HS kids who ever gets it first keeps it all?
  4. nicksaviking
    Yeah, that's what I was asking about. I mean, I'd probably want to see more recent guys, but yeah I'd take a John Smoltz obviously.
  5. nicksaviking
    No, I'm specifically wondering about the HS kids. The Twins almost always get the tougher-sign college juniors to sign; I'd guess most clubs do. The HS kids are obviously further away from the majors and I'm curious how many that have signed at these super late picks have actually panned out. Not the kids signed in rounds 11-12, those are the guys who are perceived to have a somewhat reasonable chance to sign, I mean the super late rounders. My assumption is the number is miniscule, which is why I wouldn't sweat it, but I really don't know, which is why I was asking.
  6. nicksaviking
    The Twins rarely miss the JUCO or college Juniors and all of those guys have already signed this year. It's the HS kids drafted late that's always a different animal.
  7. nicksaviking
    I mean, all things being equal, obviously I'd like to sign either of those two players. Teams rarely sign those late round HS bonus grabs, but the ones that do sign, do any of them ever work out? Serious question, I can't think of any, but obviously I don't know the draft background of every MLB player.
  8. nicksaviking
    MLBTR is reporting (yes, actually MLBTR and not a link) that Keuchel has a second opt out date, and that it happens to be the trade deadline. That specific date leaves several dark corners to explore. If he didn't opt out of the first date, he must think the second is significant. Like might the Twins actually trade one of their starters? Or do they actually trade Keuchel himself? That second seems unlikely, because why wouldn't Keuchel prefer to choose his own team via the first opt out instead of letting the Twins pick it for him?
  9. nicksaviking
    That contract could be accurate, but that bolded part is absolutely wrong. Verlander was the best free agent pitcher last year, and he was only a free agent in name because he had his mind made up to two locations by the time the season was over. Bassitt and Eovaldi were a bit younger than Gray, but similar, but there are better pitchers this off season than all of them, if Gray can't get that third year, the Twins QO pick probably comes in comp round B. Not saying Gray won't but it's certainly a possibility.
  10. nicksaviking
    I'm not in favor or trading Gray, but I don't think he's a workhorse, he pitches fewer innings per start than Ryan, Lopez and Ober. And for good reason, he does start to wear down earlier in games. He hasn't gone 7 innings since April. It's also not exactly a 1st round pick they get, it comes after the first round, something like pick 33-40. But that's only if Gray signs for 50M+. Say teams shy away from his age and he only gets 2 years at 20M each, than the Twins pick would come AFTER the second round. That said, if the Twins traded Gray and got a controllable young starter in return that could be plugged into the 5th spot into the rotation right now, I'd listen.
  11. nicksaviking
    How was his floor Cincinnati? He was a consensus top five pick, no agent in his right mind would set his floor as anything lower than where he was taken. And we have no idea what the contract talks are, the Twins are trying to save money, obviously, so we don't even know if he'd be passing on 7M. They may have been pushing for him to take less all this time.
  12. nicksaviking
    They probably won't sign, but there's no way they'd have already taken 150K if there was a chance they could sign for more than that by waiting.
  13. nicksaviking
    I don't know why we'd blame Boras. The Twins likely wanted to pay Walker as little as possible to try to sign the remaining HS kids and Walker's camp likely wanted Walker to get paid as closely to the other four elite top picks as possible. Which, obviously is Boras' job and the right thing to do.
  14. nicksaviking
    Great, with a whole 8 hours to spare!
  15. nicksaviking
    The Orioles have a good youth movement, but they look like one of those teams that is just winning with enthusiasm. Their best hitter is Ryan O'Hearn somehow. I think they'll get walloped in the post season; they better hope they get that bye. As for Atlanta, yeah, they're clearly the league's best team and should win it all. Which almost certainly means they won't. Speaking nothing of the Twins playoff chances, but looking at the schedule, the Twins and Rangers play August 24th. Currently the Twins are the doormat playoff team, but I'm betting when that series rolls around, whichever team wins that series will be in the drivers seat for the #2 seed.
  16. nicksaviking
    He's only started 7 games in the OF this year, and in the off season the Twins sure seemed intent on fielding a decent defensive outfield group. If the Twins were to finally put Buxton on the IL, I think they could use that DH spot better by rotating guys through it rather than locking it up once again.
  17. nicksaviking
    I don't need him to atone. When it comes to players on the other 29 teams, I want to get the ones who look like they're going to be better tomorrow than their counting stats show now. Seems like most trades do the opposite and pay for yesterday's numbers despite the red flags. Pagan has always looked like that first kind of player, he just so happened to perform poorly for my team so the well was poisoned. I mean, his leash was way too long and I was in favor of ousting him long ago, but I'm good riding the wave now that it's finally benefiting us.
  18. nicksaviking
    With camp around the corner, the dead part of the NFL season is finally about over. Still, barring an injury, seems like it will be a pretty drama-free training camp unless they fudge up a new deal for Jefferson. Wake me up when they trade for Mahomes.
  19. nicksaviking
    Yeah, this is the deal with me. Mountcastle, Cron and most of the other fairly blasé names we keep hearing aren't exactly offensive juggernauts. We're not likely getting .800+ OPS guys in trades, which I know sounds like it's demanding a lot, but the young internal options have been pulling it off. Julien, Jeffers, Kirilloff, Wallner and Lewis all have been able to reach that kind of production. Miranda and Larnach whiffed, relatively speaking, but that's a 71% success rate so far. Obviously that rate could go either way by the end of the season, but I'd rather stick with what's working. Can other internal options hit like them? Maybe not, but the best part about the guys already in the system is, that the team can keep trying new ones until they find the parts that click. We don't get that option by trading for someone. For all intents and purposes, they're stuck on the roster and all we can do is cross our fingers. As unlikely as it sounds, when it comes to a modest free agent or the field (the field being the guys already in the organization) the odds are much more likely that someone from the field will be more useful.
  20. nicksaviking
    Yeah, I mean you always need more than two TE's, but your third one probably doesn't need to be paid +1M. It would be nice if someone other than Hockenson had some offensive potential, but I can't imagine any of these guys I've never heard of have that.
  21. nicksaviking
    Probably just need bodies in camp. After the top two TEs, they have Mundt and some UDFAs from the past two years. Edit: Looking this over, Johnny Mundt was the "blocking" TE last year and actually was credited with starting 12 games. But the Vikings brought in Oliver for that role this year and despite being the blocking TE, Mundt is well undersized at only 233 lbs. As a UFA vet last year, he did sign a contract that will pay him 1.2M this year, which is probably overkill for an undersized #3 TE. Additionally, if he's cut, it would only hit the future cap at 100K, so I'd think there's a pretty solid chance that Mundt will be gone in the near future.
  22. nicksaviking
    Ha yeah, that hunch dried up and died after that latest report. I wouldn't be surprised if no team wants to deal with that. Though to be fair to Cook (and I really couldn't care less if I was fair to him), was this really 'hush' money? Or was it the normal 'settlement' offer that always happens in these situations but NEVER gets disclosed. Anyway, Mike Florio, who's a former lawyer, suggested that may be the case here.
  23. nicksaviking
    Sorry, but this sounds like a trade just for the sake of trading. I don't see him as an upgrade to Kirilloff, nor to whomever Kirilloff would bump upon a move from 1B. Probably more importantly, this team doesn't need another league strikeout crown contender. The only offensive trades they should be making, are ones that are clearly and enthusiastically an upgrade to what is in the starting lineup now. Go big or stay put.
  24. nicksaviking
    You mean "ranked" prospects? Who cares. The Twins have done much better with the still talented, but unranked pitchers, which is what should be expected since the rankings tend to be initially based on when the player is drafted. And that's not just a Twins thing. Half of the best pitchers in the league never sniffed a top 100 prospect list and most of the ones that did, crashed and burned before later rebuilding their reputation.
  25. nicksaviking
    I know you’ve been a skeptic, and I thought of you when I saw Law’s evaluation, but I’m not sure the low BA angle is fair at this time. After April of last year, his BA was .292 and it was only going up, and dramatically, before he was injured. Similarly this year, after a slow start, which seems reasonable after the injury, he’s been batting .275 since June. I think at this point, it’s reasonable to believe it will continue to stabilize or increase.
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