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twinstalker

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Everything posted by twinstalker

  1. twinstalker
    They've needed a true long reliever for years. Unfortunately or fortunately, I think Morris will be a setup guy soon enough.
  2. twinstalker
    If he had done better, we probably wouldn't trade him even though there's no way he would have signed an extension (Boras). It just doesn't matter. You can't hire Boras clients. There's really no good result unless you get a great first 3-4 years from the player. You can go the six years like we're doing with Jeffers, but you won't get anything in the end.* *Trade Jeffers now.
  3. twinstalker
    My opinion is that the next wave of relievers will include Morris, Gallagher, and CJ Culpepper, and maybe Prielipp if he struggles to stay healthy on a starter's workload.
  4. twinstalker
    Ironically, their drafting is at or near the top of their organizational weaknesses. Couldn't watch/listen here, but they need to go Cholowsky, Emerson, and then figure out the better of Flora and Lackey if necessary. Anyone else, and it's a disaster.
  5. twinstalker
    Big A+ debut for Quick, which was necessary to see before we started drooling. Let's see him dominate the level in May and move up to AA! I would mostly restrict relievers to the honorable mention portion, since they rarely ever become MLBers. Not to mention that among all the relievers pitching as they do, you'll get great stats from a couple of them just by chance. It doesn't mean much.
  6. twinstalker
    A really bad draft pick who's lived down to that assessment. Age 23 season, striking out 29% of the time at AA, it's not in the cards. Worse, the bandbox that is Wichita and and other hitters parks in the Texas League inflate hitting stats.
  7. twinstalker
    Seemed way too early for him. Not sure what's different with Wheeler or whether that will last, but TOS seemed always to be the rest of the year (2025), the whole next year (2026), and cross your finger thereafter (career).
  8. twinstalker
    Bad news. He already does.
  9. twinstalker
    Marco Raya has never been good, it doesn't matter how he was developed. He's only been hyped. Been fighting that hype since it's first appeared. Twins blew that draft, they needed to hype someone. Prielipp would be a dominant lefty reliever, and that's probably where he should be, based on his injury history. I fully expect him to break down in the bigs due to "overuse" relative to anything he's done before. My wild-a$$ guess is that the Twins would be better off in the long run sending him down and letting him get his innings somewhere there's not pressure to win. He has NOT had enough of a ramp-up to handle what he's doing now. Zebby is a starter, and this is the make or break year for that. If they move him to the pen as something to try this year, they're wasting the talent and pitches and deserve what their rotation looks like going forward.
  10. twinstalker
    This is the 20th time this has been suggested. Not even sure what to say at this point. Yes, Scott Boras will accept a deal if something is seriously wrong with Jeffers.
  11. twinstalker
    Sorry I can't get your video here. Didn't work with old computer, doesn't work with new. Only happens with Twins Daily videos, fwiw. Doesn't matter if I do the things you say. I have a laptop pc and use chrome. On Quick as a college draftee, he needs to be dominating high A to match with the better pitchers. Low A means very little, except as a "lemon" test. I would reserve any positive statements until we see A+ dominance. When he does this and gets promoted to AA, I think that's when we know we might have as good a pitcher as a lot of other teams do and have multiples of. We've wasted so many of our top three round selections, it's a wonder we compete at all. I personally drafted him a couple of weeks ago in a deep league I am in. I think he had three innings at that point and more importantly, the pedigree of a successful SEC pitcher and first round pick, albeit by Twins scouting. I guess I can see the video if I open up an Edge window.
  12. twinstalker
    It's good to see Quick get promoted to a more competitive level. Lots of the top pitchers drafted last summer have started at and are dominating A+, so that's the standard for him.
  13. twinstalker
    Guys who have trouble striking guys out, which is why they're in AAA, are striking EmRod out 29% of the time (MLB rate is 22% last I looked). Imagine what legit major league pitchers would do to him. At some point we'll see it, of course, but prepare yourself. And if he hits decently at first, prepare for massive regression.
  14. twinstalker
    My worry with Prielipp is his ability to throw enough without hurting himself. This should be a ramp-up season for him, and I do wonder if it would be better for it to be in a more controlled environment. I'm no pitching expert, but his pitches seem promising. The Twins are going nowhere. It would be a shame to overwork him for no real gain. And yes, I realize they're trying to limit his pitches up here, but there are so many ways to overwork a guy (days of rest, pitches in an inning, pitches in a game, too many sliders, etc)
  15. twinstalker
    I dismissed Cossetti when he was 23 in low A, and there's documentation to prove it! Actually, as I look back, I should have at least given him a chance to fail, as he did at high A that same year with a 26% K rate. It's way, way too high, age vs level, for someone of his medium power profile (at best). Unfortunately, Olivar, too, is too old now to be anything much if at all. He's an old 24. Ben Ross is in his age 25 season. In terms of guys with a decent prospect of more than a cup of coffee, Hendry Mendez is the only hitter at AA, and his prospect status is based on last year when he handled AA at age 21 with 14% K rate. He has real issues (no loft, no defense) that make him a very mediocre prospect, but if he can fix his swing a bit to stop hitting it into the ground, he has a chance.
  16. twinstalker
    Anybody at a level a third time is going to hit. When your home park is a hitter's paradise, it means that a too old Ricardo Olivar (or Ben Ross) is possibly going to mash. I wouldn't take it too seriously. 24 at AA means they are prospects in name only.
  17. twinstalker
    I kept saying he wasn't worthy of a top 20 spot. There was never, ever a reason to rate him highly. The Twins built him up? Sure, he was the only thing in the 2020 draft they could hope for, but he never showed anything, except in a rare occurrence.
  18. twinstalker
    Nice start by the Saints. Overwhelming talent.
  19. twinstalker
    It's hard to take a consensus board seriously that has Justin Lebron so high.
  20. twinstalker
    Hello to Vij.
  21. twinstalker
    My college model has him as a poor hitter, so we'll see what he does this season, not just these two weeks. I generally have three strata for hitters, and he's in the college draftee at 21 stratum. If he's going to be a good MLB hitter, his K rate will be really low, and he'll move on to AA. He has a low power profile, meaning his K rate will have to be lower than if he had power. So much depends on his exit velocities, but babip is a surrogate for that. If he hits the ball square and hard, he'll of course be a good hitter. His K rate is a surrogate for squaring up. When we get statcast data for A+, we'll see it directly. Generally, I don't care if he can hit at the high A level. He had better be good as a prerequisite. It how the failure is divided up that is important. I didn't like him, and scouts didn't like him prior to the draft. After being confused by DeBarge seemingly defeating my college model the first couple of months last year, I'm determined to let the year play out.
  22. twinstalker
    It's not poor vs horrible. It's bottom five vs very worst. And I'm being kind to Kreidler here. Listen, I'm not a big fan of Kyler Fedko, but he's a guy (I think) who can play CF and bat rh and is a very likely a better bat than Kreidler. Outman off the 40, Fedko on and promoted to see what he can do. Do it now while Roden is hurt so you don't have to have that discussion of why Roden-seniority doesn't trump Fedko, even if it's obvious why you'd try it first.
  23. twinstalker
    Thank you for this. It's great.
  24. twinstalker
    Go get Anthony Eyanson and anything else!
  25. twinstalker
    This may be true, but here's the thing: Mick Abel did this last year. He's dominant for a few game and then not. Let it play out before determining that because he wore green underwear, he was destined to pitch well.
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