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chpettit19

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Everything posted by chpettit19

  1. chpettit19
    I'm not someone who puts much weight on managers in general so it's whatever to me. Just saying, if you're firing guys after that season it's pretty rough to set what an acceptable performance is for your manager. The argument would basically be that they were a 110+ win team without him. Not sure anyone would argue that team should've been pushing for the all-time wins record.
  2. chpettit19
    Dang, top 10 offense and pitching staff, win 101 games in your first season, and get fired. That's a tough gig.
  3. chpettit19
    To be fair there's been Burnes rumblings since his arbitration hearing when he came out and said his relationship with the team was hurt. I don't think that means he's definitely on the block or anything, but I don't think anyone around baseball would be surprised to see him moved. Especially since I don't think anyone expects Milwaukee to extend him and they'd likely enjoy the haul he'd bring in prospects. I don't see the Twins paying that price, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him moved this year, or next offseason.
  4. chpettit19
    I think it's pretty significant. St Peter doesn't do anything with baseball decisions. He helps set the budget, but he's not sitting in scouting meetings or discussing draft strategy. There's really not much for us to speak on with St Peter outside the budget he helps set, and his insane comments that I'm sure made a lot of people, including his boss, angry when he said them.
  5. chpettit19
    From the moment I'm typing this...34.5 and 1 out.
  6. chpettit19
    They didn't technically extend him. He had options on his contract that they picked up. His original contract ran through last year, but they picked up his options through 2025. I'm not sure exactly how those were structured so I don't know if it was an option to just pick up year by year, or they had to pick them all up at once. I think a discussion about not picking up his options is certainly valid.
  7. chpettit19
    Oh, I don't think it's outrageous to be talking about his job security now, or after 2022. But the post I responded to suggested firing him after 2021, and I think that'd have been awfully quick. Molitor got fired because there was a new FO brought in. They're not truly comparable situations. It's pretty standard that a new FO who's changing a whole lot about the organization would want to bring in their own guy. I actually think it was unfair to all involved that the Pohlads made them keep Molitor for the extra year when everyone knew he'd be canned at the first chance. I'm quite torn on the FO. I think they've done a great job modernizing the organization, but I think they've really struggled to identify, and develop, top end talent. I also think they rely too heavily on data in some instances. Pagan being the obvious one with their refusal to accept his performance stats over his "underlying data." The lineup being another one. I hate the extreme platoon decisions. Platooning is great for the bottom of your lineup, but if you're going to be a great team you need a top of the lineup that you just plug and play everyday. I think some of it is bad luck in injuries, but they also make a lot of decisions I don't understand. I think they're probably an average FO, and Rocco is an average manager, but I don't know that I really think they can get the team over the top and truly become contenders.
  8. chpettit19
    I'm pretty sure Lewis has been on the 60 day IL for 56 days. So he should only need to be on for 4 more days. Which should mean he should be playing for the Twins the day they open the Houston series on 5/29, not June 1.
  9. chpettit19
    Welcome to Twins Daily! While I 100% agree with the idea that the guys in the building have WAY more info than those on the outside, there's some incredibly smart, and highly knowledgeable folks posting on these boards. Including an "insider" or 2 from time to time. And everyone has access to his performance stats. You don't need to be a front office staff member to see how he performs. I don't need to see Pagan throw a bullpen to see that he's been one of, if not the worst reliever in baseball for years. I also don't need to see him throw a pen to know he's got good stuff, and understand why the Twins wanted to take a chance on "fixing" him. At some point you have to just admit he's not who you wanted him to be, though.
  10. chpettit19
    Same reason lots of guys bounce around and get numerous chances. The "underlying data," or scouting, suggests there's more in them, and every team thinks they have the key to unlocking someone. Just a matter of what the rest of their roster looks like on whether or not it's worth a shot to get them in your building and see them up close.
  11. chpettit19
    Sure, but they aren't keeping guys there til they're 30. Do you have some examples of guys who were performing well enough in AAA to deserve a promotion, there was an opening on the big league roster (there've been a ton the last couple years, that's for sure), the team didn't call them up, and then the player started getting injured for the first time in their career (whether we're talking TJS or any other injury)? I can't really think of any, but there certainly could be some.
  12. chpettit19
    Yeah, I believe they said it was "unrealistic" he'd be ready today, but they hope the off day tomorrow gives him enough time to be ready for the weekend. No idea what's up with Gallo. Hoping it's the same thought that give him (most of) today off, plus tomorrow, and he's back to 100ish% for the weekend. But I haven't seen any statements come out. A few days ago they mentioned Kepler was running at like 75% or something, but don't remember there being a timeline to his return. We can't get to the end of the month quick enough. I need some Royce Lewis in my Twins life.
  13. chpettit19
    The Yankees kept Hicks for 2+ years when he was bad. Yes, they cut him now, and owe him a bunch, but he's been terrible, and hurt, for 2+ years now. I don't think Pagan is a money thing, I think it's an overreliance on the wrong data while not being willing to admit that the results have spoken much louder than the predictive stats. It's the one spot where I wouldn't argue with anyone that the FO thinks they're smarter than the results, and just won't admit they're wrong about someone. Dave St Peter had some really questionable comments after last season. Falvey and Levine haven't said anything of the sort (that I'd seen/heard at least).
  14. chpettit19
    You wanted them to fire Rocco after 2021 because they had 1 down year? He'd had 2 seasons of 60+% winning percentage the 2 seasons before that. Firing him after 2021 would've been incredibly hasty. No idea why the tenured Pagan, that we definitely agree on. And the baseball ops (Falvey and Levine) didn't blame the fans. Don't lump them in with St Peter's nonsense comments.
  15. chpettit19
    They pitch fewer innings in AAA than they'd be expected to in the majors. My confusion comes in on what the difference is in them pitching in AAA or MLB. The level they're at doesn't matter when it comes to being injury prone or not.
  16. chpettit19
    It's a tough line to know where to draw on "giving up" on a guy. There are a lot of variables that go into it. Not the least of which is who'd replace that player. You can send Miranda down if you have Farmer to replace him. You have to watch Taylor struggle when your best replacement is Castro. I have no defense for Pagan. I haven't understood what they're doing with him for a year. They don't have a ton of great options to replace him, but relief pitchers are easily disposed of assets, especially when your desired role for a specific guy is low leverage only. Another factor that plays in, and fans have very little knowledge of, is "tweaks" or "adjustments" the FO, and coaching staff, believe will help a player. The work being done behind the scenes plays into the decisions being made on how long to keep someone. Does Duffey or Smith have enough left in their arm to make a tweak and get back to top form? Can you adjust something with Pagan to get his "stuff" to perform the way it "should?" Can you change Castro's swing slightly and he's back to his SSS 2020 self? We'll never be privy to the work happening behind the scenes so can't ever have the full picture view. But there's no helping Pagan. Can we please just cut him?
  17. chpettit19
    What is the supposed connection between being in AAA too long and becoming injury prone?
  18. chpettit19
    Another late lineup change tonight. Correa out. Farmer shifting to SS, Solano hitting 2nd playing 3B.
  19. chpettit19
    I seriously don't understand what the suggestion was. Are you suggesting Luis Arraez was traded because he disagreed with Rocco or the team on some strategy? I seriously don't understand what you're trying to suggest. I'm not trying to be rude or anything. I literally don't understand what you're suggesting.
  20. chpettit19
    I have no idea what you're trying to get at with the trade stuff. I don't see any connection between player's responses to last night's decisions and Luis Arraez getting traded. If you think professional athletes are shy about their opinions you haven't been around professional athletes. Carlos Correa isn't even shy about being shy. He let's his opinion be known on everything. Loudly. Joey Gallo has been very open about not liking leading off. Buxton has complained about a number of things over the years. Sonny Gray gave TD threads months worth of content with his comments on being pulled early last year. Bailey Ober was open about his frustration with being sent down to start the year. And that's just the stuff we hear publicly. Players and coaches disagree on strategies all the time, and they're discussed in the clubhouse all the time. These guys have millions of dollars on the line. They're not shy about letting Rocco and the FO know if they're not happy with how they're being used. Alex Kirilloff is represented by Scott Boras. You think if he's unhappy with how he's being used Boras wouldn't be on every radio and TV show he can get on today ranting and raving?
  21. chpettit19
    Their swing decisions have been hard to watch. Larnach is a fastball masher, and I've watched him take multiple first pitch fastballs right down the middle since he's been back. Swing at those! Then we have the Buxton and MAT type ABs from last night where they're chasing first pitches they have no chance of doing damage with. I'm not smart enough to know how you fix those things, but they really need to be fixed.
  22. chpettit19
    Gallo actually has pretty neutral platoon splits. His career OPS against lefties is .764. That's an above average hitter. I agree they shouldn't platoon Kirilloff, but that Gallo comment is wrong.
  23. chpettit19
    I read his article today. He wasn't defending the organization in it. Him having defended the organization, or players, in other situations is a different thing. And completely normal. Gleeman rips the organization apart for still having Pagan around, but defends them on other things. Your feelings on Hayes are whatever. You can feel however you want about him. But I'd encourage you to use a little more nuance beyond dismissing everything he says out of hand because you disagree with some of his takes.
  24. chpettit19
    The "bullpen" they watched Manaea throw wasn't him just warming up. It was a separate incident. He went out to the pen hours before the game started and threw 8-10 or 30 or however many pitches. Then he warmed up again for the game. That is not normal. That is not what Bailey Ober did. Starters do not go to the pen hours before the game and throw pitches off the mound. Giving information the general public didn't have, or explaining what may be behind a decision, is not the same as defending it. Not at all. I can explain to you what Hitler was attempting to do without defending Nazis. Explaining and defending are not the same thing. How do you know what due diligence he did? He was wrong. It happens. He was given bad information. It happens. To completely write off anything he says now because he was wrong about the number of pitches Manaea threw in a bullpen session that you don't even know isn't typical practice feels awfully extreme. But you do you. Agreed. That's what my post said. There's a disconnect. What they're trying to accomplish, and how they're trying to accomplish it, aren't meshing. I hope they're working on figuring out what the problem is. I think you very well may be correct with information overload. Correa loves info, and wants all he can get. If that's how they're treating everyone that's a problem. It's a very real possibility that certain players have too much going on in their heads at the plate. Maybe all the info was helpful when they had all day to mess with their batting gloves between pitches, but now with the clock they can't process as well and the team needs to adjust. Maybe they're just not that good of players and we need to adjust our expectations of what these guys can reasonably do. I don't know. Lots of options.
  25. chpettit19
    He didn't defend the moves. He was wrong in the number of pitches Manaea threw in his bullpen, yes. It happens. That doesn't mean he was lying. It's entirely possible he just had bad information. And, he didn't defend anything, he just gave information. He didn't say the moves made sense. He didn't defend them in any way, shape, or form. Simply gave information. But you're now suggesting he's making up statements from players. Gonna go ahead and disagree with that stance. And throwing 8-10 pitches 2 hours before the game isn't SOP for someone who is going to pitch. I mean now you're actively making things up. Do you think Ober went out to the pen 2 hours before the game and threw 8 to 10 pitches then came back and warmed up again later? That's not SOP. It certainly shouldn't have fooled them in any way, and Hayes was wrong about that, but to suggest he's making up quotes is a bit of a stretch. And he called the moves "questionable" in his article. Doesn't exactly sound like someone defending Rocco. At least I don't regularly defend people by calling what they do "questionable." You're certainly free to be alarmed. And there is certainly such a thing as too much information. It's the coaches jobs to know how much information each player needs to be successful, and give that to them without giving them too much. Maybe that's the disconnect. Maybe they're bad at judging who needs what info. Certainly a possibility.
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