Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

chpettit19

Community Moderator
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    8,094

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    167

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by chpettit19

  1. chpettit19
    Their inaction either means they feel comfortable in their job security (would be my bet) or the Pohlads put a governor on them because they're either making or breaking with the team they built. I would move on from the whole regime even though I like what they've done with modernizing the org, and I think they draft pretty well overall. I just don't think they have the needed ability to adjust quickly enough to succeed. They make a plan for the year and hardly change from it at all. And when they try to it turns out like last deadline (I didn't mind the trades at the time, but boy have they turned out bad). Since I do think they draft well I'd like to see Sean Johnson remain as it's my understanding that he basically runs the draft. But Falvine needs to go, in my opinion. I don't think they will, though.
  2. chpettit19
    Don't let your general love of coaching get in the way of the facts. Carlos Correa isn't some rookie. He's not new to obsessing over data. He's fully capable of adjusting before August if it's the info from his coach that's causing problems. My point was Correa is a bad example of your point. Is Jeffers ignoring Popkins or why is he having a career year?
  3. chpettit19
    He had the same coaches last year and put up his second best season ever. He's been an information junky for years. Carlos is not a good example of the point you're trying to prove.
  4. chpettit19
    If they're going full rebuild that means Lewis, Kirilloff, Julien, Lee, Wallner, Ryan, Lopez, Ober, Jax, and Duran couldn't form a new core. That'd be quite the disaster.
  5. chpettit19
    April- .633 OPS May- .884 June- 1.012 July- .614 August- .776 September- 1.001 July was certainly bad, but August was solidly above average. That doesn't look like decline to me. Especially when you consider his overall OPS+ was the 2nd best of his career.
  6. chpettit19
    If this is him being "ravaged by the effects of physical aging" this org is in a terrible spot. Having your 2 franchise cornerstones both shy of 30 breaking down physically is a nightmare. If they think that's the situation they need to see if they can sneak their way out of some of the Correa deal by moving him. You can't have a broken down Correa and Buxton on your team. Simply can't do it. I'm not convinced this is Correa breaking down, and expect him to be back closer to normal next year, but if he's breaking down already this org is about to have nearly $50 million going to 2 bench players real soon.
  7. chpettit19
    Zach Neto has an argument as well. Depending on how you view their respective upsides. He's got 1.6 bWAR and a 99 OPS+ in 66 MLB games while playing a more than reasonable SS. Only question is how much more there is in his bat. Lee is doing just about everything we could've hoped for, though! And if Jenkins can be this year's Holiday I'm going to be quite thrilled.
  8. chpettit19
    A ball this year, and end at AA next year and we're really onto something! I'd be awfully happy if he follows the Jackson Holliday path in his first year and a half as a pro.
  9. chpettit19
    I have no idea if they can beat Cleveland "when it matters" this year, but that's a weird narrative in general. They certainly couldn't beat them last year, but they were 11-8 against them in 2021. Including going 6-4 against them in the second half. They're 3-4 against them this year in 7 incredibly close games. Completely collapsing against them last year has nothing to do with how they'll play them down the stretch this year.
  10. chpettit19
    @Jocko87 and @FlyingFinn I couldn't find the exact answer in the CBA. Only real talk of the Rule 4 draft is centered around qualifying offers, and the international free agent signing pools. The talk about the ROY voting just explained that anyone placing first or second automatically receives a full year of service time.
  11. chpettit19
    I'm with @LA VIkes Fan. I'm all for moving on from Gallo, but Mancini isn't the answer. His defense is significantly worse. He can't play OF. He has an 11th percentile sprint speed this year. For reference, Vazquez is 9th percentile. Could you imagine Vazquez trying to track down a fly ball? He belongs nowhere near an OF. Trey is an absolute class act, and seems like a wonderful dude. But he can't cut it in major league baseball anymore. No thanks on bringing him in.
  12. chpettit19
    Molitor managed Buxton for 4 years. How long was it going to take for him to turn him into Puckett? Buxton was pulling the ball 45% of the time by the time Molitor left. If Molitor didn't have him doing all those things after 4 seasons I'm not sure why we'd think he'd do it over the next 4. Was Molitor going to go Mr Miyagi on him and magically heal his knees, or stop him from getting hurt in the first place?
  13. chpettit19
    I believe he can only create 1 pick. There was a possibility of 3 had they added an international draft, but since they didn't it's just the 1. I believe anyone who was promoted early enough to qualify for the ROY bonus pick can earn a pick over the next 2 seasons (if they don't earn it for ROY) by finishing top 3 in Cy Young or MVP voting in their first 3 years. Even more motivation to make sure your elite guys are up and qualify!
  14. chpettit19
    https://www.mlb.com/news/draft-rule-changes-with-new-cba That article from sporting news has some inaccuracies (there's no international draft). Really weird considering it was just written this spring and we already knew there was no international draft like he talks about. My understanding, and according to the MLB.com article, is they have to be on the opening day roster, and be top 100 prospects to qualify. But the criteria is different in a number of different articles so I'm going to dig up the CBA and take a look. Will report back soon!
  15. chpettit19
    I really hope the draft pick incentive leads them to have him up, but I really doubt we see him on opening day which means he wouldn't be eligible for the compensation anyways. I'd guess we see him at some point next year, but doubt it's opening day. I really hope I'm wrong (assuming he does well in AAA and Spring Training).
  16. chpettit19
    Weird thing is that he is missing bats. His K rate sky rocketed in July. Since his shutout (so the stretch where he's been brutal) he has 52 Ks in 32.1 innings. For comparison he had 36 Ks in 32 April innings. 40 in 33 innings in May. 29 in 31.2 innings in June. He's missing bats and getting Ks at his best rate of the season. But when they hit it they crush it now.
  17. chpettit19
    FYI, they haven't played Martin at SS this year. I think that experiment is finally over. They've had him at 2B, CF, and LF. I'd bet Lee takes over as the fulltime SS in St Paul now. I don't expect to see Lee in a Twins uni this year, but he'd be a September callup for me if he does well in St Paul for a month. He's going to be eligible for the draft pick compensation attached to rookie of the year voting next year, but you have to have him on your opening day roster for that (if I'm remembering that rule correctly). I'd like to get him a little exposure in September so he knows what adjustments he has to make and can work on them in the offseason/spring training to hopefully hit the ground running in Minneapolis starting opening day. Don't expect this to be the Twins plan right now, but it'd be mine.
  18. chpettit19
    He went back up in the order because Kirilloff was no longer in the order.
  19. chpettit19
    4th OFer feels like his ceiling, but he also makes me think of Terrance Gore from those KC WS teams. If you have room to stash him on your 40-man for the year you can use him as a base running threat in the postseason. Not suggesting the Twins force that kind of thing with the 40-man, or that he hopefully doesn't get a crack at the 4th OFer job next year, but true base stealers can get themselves a ring without really ever having a major league career since playoff lineups usual shorten (although this regime probably wouldn't want to shorten their PH options in the playoffs).
  20. chpettit19
    Byron Buxton just makes me sad at this point. As terrible as it is to say, the Twins should probably be hoping he retires before the end of his deal (way before the end of it if his lower half is simply toast). They can't plan for him in any way, shape, or form moving forward. You can't bring in Taylor types, you have to bring in legit starting CFers. You can't block the DH spot with him either. You have to build your team as if he's the 26th man on your roster from here on out. And that's super depressing. So much talent all balled up into a body that just can't do it.
  21. chpettit19
    FYI, his era was 1.13. But he is also throwing 87 MPH and giving up nearly a hit per inning against AAA guys, with a 3.4 BB/9. Good for a 1.25 WHIP. He had a 2.31 ERA in 4 AAA starts last year with a 1.029 WHIP and still had a 9.20 ERA in the majors in his 14 starts. Looking at his ERA is not a great way to assess his ability to get major leaguers out.
  22. chpettit19
    I'll always push back on this "they think they are the smartest people in the room" narrative. Every MLB exec thinks they're the smartest person in the room. You have to to reach those levels. And they're all incredibly smart people. I'd fire them if I were in charge, but it's not because they're not smart or think they're smarter than they are. They're incredibly smart. But they have flaws I don't think they can overcome.
  23. chpettit19
    FYI, Gallo didn't inform the coaches that the player stepped over the bag. He was laying face down on the ground facing the other direction. Rocco credited their video replay room staffer Joey Casey with noticing that. Gallo is bringing nothing at all helpful to the team right now. I'm not really a Chris Williams believer, but he can probably provide passable defense, and not strike out 50% of the time. I don't buy the "Kirilloff is hurt so they need Gallo" argument 1 bit. If they can't find someone who can provide more than him on their AAA roster right now this system is severely overrated as being middle of the pack. Joey Gallo has an argument as the worst position player in major league baseball right now. If you can't replace that you're in a terrible spot as an organization. And I freely admit I was ok with the Gallo risk they took. But when it doesn't work out you have to be able to move on and try something else.
  24. chpettit19
    I've had a few other Drs tell me the same thing, but I'm not convinced that this isn't a terminal condition. At least for the FO. The fans and org may be able to recover after years of therapy, but I fear this one has too tight a grasp on the FO, and they'll never recover.
  25. chpettit19
    Yeah, I just didn't need "bar moving" type trades. Tommy Pham on the roster instead of Joey Gallo is a nice shakeup I would've gone for. Any of a dozen relievers would've helped. I don't need big swings, just a better fitting roster with new pieces. This team will only succeed if their core guys figure it out. But if they do they still have massive holes we've all known were there since the season started that are likely to stop them dead in their tracks in the postseason. Were they likely to win the World Series by adding Pham and a couple relievers? No. But at least the ticket to beating them wouldn't have been so obvious as "pitch any lefty you have and get to their pen before the 8th." It's not the end of the world that they didn't make moves. And I prefer this to what happened last deadline. But this team is very likely to make the playoffs. Why not at least partially fill your obvious holes to give yourself a punchers chance? Pham cost a 17 year old prospect. We could spare one of those. And really it's just another example, to me, that this front office is really, really, really bad at making in season adjustments away from their plan unless they have obvious Archer/Bundy/entire 2022 pen not named Duran sized holes that they try to fill.
×
×
  • Create New...