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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    It's pretty sad you think that was objective and evidenced.
  2. gunnarthor
    I was thinking, what TD really needs is yet another article attacking Eddie Rosario. Can't get enough of those.
  3. gunnarthor
    I'm not surprised he took the QO. I think it's a bet on himself play and it makes sense. Plus 18m is a lot of money. He doesn't have to worry about being locked out like Kuechel was last year.
  4. gunnarthor
    Depends on the deal but we have four open spots and we need to fill them. He could fill one.
  5. gunnarthor
    I like the idea of going after Gray. We won't sign a first tier free agent.
  6. gunnarthor
    Believe it when it happens. I think we're much more likely to go with a bullpen rotation and payroll similar to last year.
  7. gunnarthor
    Nice win. Now if we can just make a couple more statement wins against Iowa and Wisconsin ... and Ohio State ...
  8. gunnarthor
    Oh, I don't disagree. He shouldn't be extended and we should look to trade him in the right deal. But I don't agree that his defense is as bad as some of the WAR grades suggest.
  9. gunnarthor
    I don't remotely trust the dWAR grades for Rosario. In 2017 and in 2019, dWAR graded him at Josh Willingham and Delmon Young levels. In 2018, they graded him average. Fangrapshs defensive valuations were slightly different but followed the same pattern - horrible in 17 and 19, better in 18. What was the big difference in those years? An elite CF was missing in 18. An article a while back (either on fangraphs or BP?) noted a problem with defensive calculations when a team had three really good defenders. One of the OFers would get negative grades because the other OFers took over. I think this is what is happening to Rosario - in 17 and 19 he made 66 and 63 'out of zone' plays. In 18, in about 100-200 fewer innings, he made 77 OOZ plays. Having Buxton and Kepler in center field has hurt him but he's a solid enough OFer.
  10. gunnarthor
    Very nice that Travis is kind enough to answer questions. I'll just ask what was your favorite on the field memory as a baseball player? And did you excel at other sports in high school or just focus on baseball?
  11. gunnarthor
    He had less than 100 at-bats in the majors that year and was coming off a 5 WAR season. The team made him play hurt early in the year, he didn't have that many at-bats in the minors either (less than 150) but had a .900+ OPS after July. Plus the Twins promoted worse players as injuries decimated our OF (Johnny Field, I believe). The Twins kept him down to get the extra service time, not because he hadn't earned the call up.
  12. gunnarthor
    I think both players got screwed and it made me like baseball a little less in both cases. I think the author is right that the next CBA is going to have to address this b/c that's probably the only way this will get fixed.
  13. gunnarthor
    That sounds about right. I'd be very surprised if they moved any of our top 4 prospects (Larnich, Kiriloff, Lewis, Graterol) but they could move Balazovic in the right deal.
  14. gunnarthor
    We have three more years of Buxton and then he'll take over CF. I suspect Lewis will spend all of this season in the minors and the team will reevaluate what they have after next season.
  15. gunnarthor
    Forgot to list mine WFC/USB are our two big bank stocks index funds tracking the S&P Shopify (thanks a million on that one) Coke Roku Disney John Deere We have others but those are all pretty substantial holdings. You certainly have a more tech centric holdings than we do.
  16. gunnarthor
    Out of curiosity, what are people's biggest holdings in?
  17. gunnarthor
    This assumes the team didn't know about his PED use and didn't benefit from it.
  18. gunnarthor
    I will add though, for all the talk we've had from ownership about going all in when the window is open, if we ever see the team sign a big time FA it would be this offseason, off of a 101 win team with a loaded offensive core. I don't think it'll happen but if ever does, it'll be now.
  19. gunnarthor
    I've mentioned it in a few other threads but I just think the Twins are much more likely to follow the Rays example. They'll have one or two real starters (Berrios for sure and then a handful of pitchers that the team will hope can go 6 innings starting with Pineda and maybe Graterol for a month or two by the end of the season). The rest of the innings will be eaten up by a large bullpen. With payroll concerns, I don't think we will see the team target 180+ inning starters anymore. Instead we will probably try to find 8 arms that can throw 60-80 innings if needed. I expect that the Twins will be big on AAAA arms* this offseason that can shuttle between Rochester and the majors, as needed. And arms that can be DFA'd without much concern (Mejia, Eades, De Jong). I could see us making some low budget FA signings for guys like Drew Smyly or maybe even signing someone like Ivan Nova, but that's probably our ceiling. On the trade front, I don't think we'd trade for Thor but I'm still a big believer in fixing Dylan Bundy and Johnson might be a good coach for him. * Somehow, Littell, Smeltzer, Dobnak and Stashak combined for nearly 140 innings of 3.30 era. That's the AAAA arms we'll rely on.
  20. gunnarthor
    One option would be resign Schoop and put Arreaz at third. Or keep Gonzalez at third and don't trade Rosario. But really, I'd rather the team focus on improving the pitching staff than moving around deck chairs. The position players are - more or less - set.
  21. gunnarthor
    I don't think we'll see much change, honestly. My guess is that they'll resign Pineda and we'll hear whispers about how the Twins are in on Cole, Strasburg, Bumgarner and Kuechel but they'll sign Ivan Nova or Tanner Roark on a two year deal. They'll also make a bargain bin grab of someone like Drew Smyly or such. I think this team is going to go into a Rays like rotation behind Berrios and Nova and have maybe three traditional starters and nine bullpen arms being used interchangeably and being shuttled to Rochester. I think we'll trade Rosario and let Wade/Cave hold LF until Kiriloff or Larnach are ready - probably by July. We'll resign Cron and bring back Nelson and go with an IF of Cron, Arreaz, Polanco and Sano. I could see us bringing back Castro in a similar but slightly diminished role but if not him, we'll nab someone else to play 40% of the games behind the plate. The team will hope for a healthy season from Sano and Buxton and continued high play from Kepler/Garver/Polanco. There is some regression in those three but the offense should still be pretty good and the AL central will be weak enough that we could be 10 games worse and probably still win the central next year.
  22. gunnarthor
    I imagine the FO/ownerships refusal to make significant improvements during the season to a playoff team and simply accept the #3 spot will bite us pretty hard. I don't think we match up well at Yankee stadium. I'd have felt more comfortable with a ground ball pitcher on the mound tonight. Obviously, we have a chance but we all the injuries and iffy rotation I don't think we win a game - again.
  23. gunnarthor
    2010 was our magical year and they swept us. I'm not going to believe we can beat them until we actually beat them. Until then, I image that Berrios will give up 3 HR in the first two innings tonight, that we score a few in the fifth but get locked down after that and lose 8-4. I hate being a pessimist.
  24. gunnarthor
    Market is down a lot this week. Lot of different factors but a lot of smart people seem to think that we are due for a recession. This could be the start of it, I suppose.
  25. gunnarthor
    I think the Yankee hitters will do what Aaron Hicks did to him - crush him. I'm not really thrilled about sending any lefties at that lineup.
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