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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    Any of you tech/computer game getting on RBLX? Not an area I know well. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/roblox-gains-steam-market-debut-162415152.html
  2. gunnarthor
    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/buy-the-dip-with-apple-microsoft-and-these-other-tech-stocks-before-they-fly-way-higher-says-analyst-11614860585?siteid=yhoof2 Suggests buying Apple and microsoft or a few others.
  3. gunnarthor
    Yep, painful
  4. gunnarthor
    I thought this article was a nice reminder for why you should hold and not sell. https://www.ft.com/content/f8f8b067-e663-4afe-90dd-6a243929af86?ftcamp=traffic/partner/feed_headline/us_yahoo/auddev My wife and I have been pretty good about not panic selling, SHOP being my biggest mistake. Generally, you should only sell when you need to. We've bought stocks and sold them to pay off student debt, buy a house, etc but generally we own for the long haul and, with dividend reinvestment, it's worked for us.
  5. gunnarthor
    I assume this was MGNI?
  6. gunnarthor
    Thorpe could be something. I think the rest of the guys battling for #5 are meh but Thorpe could be better than that. Hopefully he has it all together.
  7. gunnarthor
    Yeah, I think we have the third best rotation after Cleveland and Chicago. Berrios is our best pitcher and I think both Maeda and Pineda are really solid starters. After that, it's a little iffy. We have quantity but, eh. There doesn't seem to be a lot of upside with our best hope some of these guys can be average ML pitchers.
  8. gunnarthor
    I think if Max is really struggling this year they have a few bats that might replace him. It'll be a tougher call if he's not struggling, per se, but is meh. If he's a 105 OPS+ slugger through June, do they stick with him? That said, 2020 was such a strange season and it wasn't even 200 at-bats. I think we're more likely to see 2019 Kepler than not.
  9. gunnarthor
    Here's a few articles on it. https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/02/26/should-you-buy-the-coinbase-ipo-here-are-the-key-f/ https://www.coindesk.com/coinbase-defi-us-regulations-dex-competition https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/26/coinbase-s-1-lacks-key-trading-details-ahead-of-direct-listing.html
  10. gunnarthor
    I do, actually.
  11. gunnarthor
    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-02-25/it-s-gates-versus-musk-as-world-s-richest-spar-over-bitcoin?srnd=premium&sref=cv51C53O I'm not sophisticated enough to invest in bitcoins but sounds like Gates and Buffet don't think small investors should, either.
  12. gunnarthor
    In 11 starts. 66 innings. Which is more likely, that a career 7 WAR pitcher has morphed into the second best pitcher in the AL? Or that a good pitcher had a hot streak that happened to cover 11 starts? And 9 of those starts were against four of the worst offenses in the game. He's not a bad pitcher. If he stays healthy the Twins can probably expect 160 innings (more if Rocco allows it) with an ERA+ in the 105-110 range and 2-3 bWAR. But 11 starts in a crazy year shouldn't be enough to change anyone's opinion about what he was prior to the trade.
  13. gunnarthor
    That's really too bad. Was hoping he'd get a bunch of at-bats this year. Hopefully he recovers well and becomes and all-star down the road for us.
  14. gunnarthor
    Yeah, Buxton, if healthy, is the best CFer in the central. He already has one 5 WAR season under his belt and was on pace for that in both 2019 and 2020. But he has to stay healthy. I think now that Lindor is gone, Robert is going to be my least favorite player in the central that I wish was a Twin. He's awesome.
  15. gunnarthor
    Not sure what your criteria would be but the knock on the Twins used to be that they could produce pitchers but not hitters. I don't think anyone on the current rotation is as good as Brad Radke, for instance. Berrios is entering his age 27 season and his best WAR is 3.4. Radke had four better seasons by then. Maybe the 4.00 ERA yobs were better than you think because of the PED era inflated offensive numbers? If everything breaks right, we could have a strong pitching staff this year, that is certainly true. And making the starters pitch fewer innings might have a good impact on our staff. The 2019 Twins certainly had some good numbers. 2020 did too but it was such a SSS that I don't think it matters much. Still it seems we have a bunch of #3 type starters and are hoping for a strong pen. That's not bad.
  16. gunnarthor
    Yeah, FVRR doubled for me. I'm thinking of bailing soon though. Not sure they'll win the fight with Microsoft.
  17. gunnarthor
    The Twins were able to keep the window of opportunity open from 01-11 while moving from a core of Guzman, Dougie Baseball, AJ, Milton etc and reloading with guys like Mauer, Cuddy, Morneau, Liriano to Gomez, Span, Young etc. If the current FO can pull that off, and that's why Falvey was hired, the window should remain open for a bit. The current core - Buxton, Sano, Berrios, Kepler, Polanco - is around until 2023 (except Berrios who is a FA after 2022, I think). We have some bats ready to help reload for the loss of Rosario and eventual loss of Cruz or Donaldson to injury. I'm not sure we have the arms but we have a lot of arms in the minors so we'll see. We should feel somewhat confident that we will be a playoff caliber team for the next three seasons.
  18. gunnarthor
    Again, he's a good starter but it was 11 starts. He's had 11 starts runs like that in pretty much every season. "We changed his delivery", "we changed his stance", "he's in the best shape of his life", "he rededicated himself this season", etc. Hell, I really do hope I'm wrong. I hope he comes in second in Cy Young voting. But at this point, I think we should wait on more than 66 innings before we change our view of him.
  19. gunnarthor
    I think Cleveland will be sneaky good and hang around all year, pissing me off. I'm not sure how much stock you can give hitters in certain parks but Rosario hit better at Progressive Field than any other park, and it wasn't really close. I think the dimensions just sort of suit him. Anyhow, they have good pitching. I think they'll finish third but outperform their projections. I think the Twins will win the division again. Chicago wil fade a bit. Not sure if they'll have a sophomore slump so much as the full grind of a full season will affect their players. Like, I don't think Dylan Cease is a 111 ERA+ pitcher over a full season. KC and Detroit will make improvements. If you squint, KC could push for .500 and Det's young players could be exciting for them to watch. But Twins shouldn't have to worry about them too much. MN 93 - 69 Chi - 89 - 72 Clev - 84 -78 KC - 74 - 88 Det - 70 - 92
  20. gunnarthor
    That is true. He, like Ervin Santana and many, many others, could have a career year, contend for an all-star or cy young and revert to his career norms. The idea that only NY has a better #1 starter is the main problem here, it's such a wildly silly idea that no one should take it seriously. But Maeda is a solid ML starter, like Pineda. We will see.
  21. gunnarthor
    He hasn't but that doesn't really matter. He's managed three 3+ WAR seasons already and his career fip is 3.63. Playing in the AL East didn't help his numbers, he's getting older and a bit rounder, but he could certainly have Ervin Santana like season where he stays healthy and is constantly good. Keeping him is actually one of Levine's better moves, IMO. I would not be shocked at all if he was our second best starter over the full season.
  22. gunnarthor
    I didn't say they were less exciting then those cruddy Twins teams, I said this was the least excited I had been about a Twins team in a long time. I also said they play boring baseball. And I said they were a playoff team.
  23. gunnarthor
    Yes, I did put my opinion in that post. I think high strike out, low OBP, HR dependent offense we saw last year was boring. I think games where both teams make 9 pitching changes is boring. You can disagree. Last year and this offseason, for a variety of reasons including COVID, the shortened season, my insane work schedule, and other interests, was the least involved I've been with the Twins since probably 2001. I think I've been on TD from the start and I've posted hundreds of times every off-season on minor league development, FA wish lists, etc. This was the first year I didn't. Partly because I just didn't care as much about these Twins. It happens. I'm hoping that by opening day, my love for the Twins is back to pre-COVID levels. But I didn't call you a homer for liking the Twins. You own TD. You should like the Twins. I called you a homer for suggesting that Colone fixed the pen and that Maeda is second to Cole. Those are not rational positions.
  24. gunnarthor
    It was 11 starts. 66 innings. Meada has had runs like that in nearly every season 2016 - First 12 starts, 70 innings. 2.70 era 2017 - 11 starts (counting 2 innings in relief b/c i don't want to do math) 65inning, 2.63 era 2018 - 11 starts 64innings, 2.64 era etc He had a nice season but it was only 66 innings. Phil Hughes gave us a 6+ WAR season. Liriano and Pavano and Berrios and Ervin all gave us better seasons since Johan. My complaint in this thread hasn't been to say Maeda sucks or the Twins suck. I think in pretty much each post I said this is probably a playoff team. My point has been that some of the exuberance for this team is a bit misplaced. The idea that Cole is the only starter on a contender that you'd take ahead of Maeda is insane. I'd take Berrios over Maeda and I wouldn't be shocked if Pineda is better than him this year.
  25. gunnarthor
    Maeda trade was solid. So was the Odorizzi trade. He's not helpless. But he's made bad trades and hasn't - yet - traded for elite players.
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