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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. gunnarthor
    You make some fair points in all your posts (not the Maeda one, that's absurd on its face) but it's just to over the top homerish for me. Colone is fixing the pen? I think this team is a playoff team. If Buxton can stay healthy, he's at least a 5 WAR player. He's that good. Berrios might have one more upgrade in him. But the all-or-nothing offensive approach and the bullpen games make this a boring team to me. Others may enjoy it. This team also has a bit of "full system failure" potential - again. Hopefully, that doesn't happen. It also doesn't look like we've done anything to be anything other than a bully to the really crappy teams and can't win in the post-season. We have little depth. We rely far too much on "throw it against the wall and see what sticks" to our bench and pen. Our minor leagues seem to have decent depth but not huge upside. Levine hasn't shown he can make first rate trades and has been mocked a bit for the Dozier fiasco when he got here and how Houston fleeced him the next year. I think its fair to say that, after this year, he will have had five years as our GM and it's not clear he did enough to build around the young core he was gifted. I don't think that's a controversial statement.
  2. gunnarthor
    Good career. I knew he was a later round guy so I figured he'd be our best 8th round ever pick - career 23 WAR for an 8th rounder is amazing, obviously. But Radke was also an 8th rounder so ... Anyhow, he was fun to watch and he and Hunter seemed to loosen up the team a lot in 2015. Hope he enjoys retirement.
  3. gunnarthor
    Honestly, I can't think of anything that says we have a homer problem more than arguing that our 33 year old, 7 WAR career pitcher, is the second best pitcher in the AL.
  4. gunnarthor
    The article in question is simply not good. It's arguing that Colone, a cost saving signing, is how the FO is improving our post-season chances. The reality is that this FO inherited one of the best possible situations in 2017. They had a young team with numerous top 100 prospects only a year removed from challenging for a playoff spot. They had the #1 pick in the draft. They had an owner saying he'd spend money. This was a playoff ready team. They didn't build it. And they failed to augment it. They made a lot of moves, most - not all - are in the meh category. They quit on the team in 2017 but the players didn't. They brought back Molitor when it was clear they shouldn't have done that then they blamed their system failure season on him and brought in Rocco (a good move). It's not clear they know which players are building blocks and which players should not be. It's 2021 and our best hitting prospect and best pitching prospect were still acquired by the previous regime despite this FO having 6 first round picks, including 3 in the top 15. We might be a playoff team, we should be. But our rotation looks to be middle of the road. Our offense could be bad, especially if the Rooker/Larnich/Kiriloff group can't come up and help out in LF. Nelson Cruz was a good signing and I was in favor of adding Donaldson but that might really be a bad move.
  5. gunnarthor
    That's not true. 2011 was a huge expectation year. We just came off the magical 2010 season, Liriano and Young were going to take the next step to be elite players, Morneau would be back from his concussion, Mauer, Cuddy, Kubel were still in their prime. Man, was I excited for that year. 2012-2014 were pretty bad but I cared about those teams and the Twins minor leaguers. I cared a lot. I probably posted more in those years than any other time. And 2015 we just missed the playoffs and saw a lot of what Sano and Buxton could be. That made 2016 even more exciting. This year I think we are a lock for a playoff spot and don't think we will win a playoff game. I think we will be forced to watch boring baseball where we hope for a HR and watch 9-12 pitchers in each game.
  6. gunnarthor
    Eh. TD is getting to be a bit too homery. This should be a make or break year for the FO and it doesn't look much different than other offseasons. Potentially strong offense that's going to strike out a lot, with a low OBP. No ace. Bullpen heavy pitching staff loaded with quantity over quality and games with 5+ pitchers. Boring baseball. We've had to rely on guys like Littell, Romo, Arreaz, Stashak etc in the playoffs. This is the least I've cared about a Twins team going into a season in over fifteen years. I'm also not sure much of the premise of this article is accurate. While defensive stats are pretty hard to pin down and last year was only 60 games, fangraphs rated the Twins defense pretty well, especially at short stop. I don't think Simmons, now 31 years old, is going to be a huge upgrade like others do. Yeah, they had a few bad moments in the playoffs but we managed two runs in two games because our offense was not good last year. And we still owe Donaldson 71m over the next three years. Uff-da.
  7. gunnarthor
    Pretty sad story here. Not sure how many of us are like this young man but probably worth reading anyway. https://www.cnn.com/2021/02/09/investing/robinhood-lawsuit-suicide/index.html
  8. gunnarthor
    https://www.cnn.com/2021/02/08/investing/wall-street-market-bubble-yusko/index.html
  9. gunnarthor
    Any of you guys have thoughts on Snowflake or Square?
  10. gunnarthor
    I feel ya. We've all been there, done that. Don't let it discourage you. You doubled your money and identified a sound investment. That's great!
  11. gunnarthor
    Yeah, Guerrier would be a wonderful outcome. Just not a realistic one.
  12. gunnarthor
    He's 27 with 40 ML innings. Playoff teams shouldn't rely on him to make the difference. He could be an average bullpen arm. He might have a Matt Gurrier type career - less innings, obviously, but better k-rate. Solid set-up guy is probably his ceiling but it's probably closer to low-leverage bullpen arm.
  13. gunnarthor
    Physically, he looks a lot bigger than he did with the Twins and he is throwing the fastball 6 miles per hour faster. I believe a few of his teammates in Oakland were caught using PEDs. Would anyone really be surprised to find out that he was using PEDs?
  14. gunnarthor
    I did. Should have bought more. ROKU was also a really nice buy, too. I bought that at 47, IIRC.
  15. gunnarthor
    It's 2020 and Nick is still complaining about Terry Ryan. Good lord, move on man.
  16. gunnarthor
    My wife loves Disney and when it was falling during the pandemic I said, hey, it's at 90, you should buy more for your IRA. She said sure. I found out today that she didn't.
  17. gunnarthor
    https://www.investors.com/news/amd-stock-twilio-stock-novocure-stock-flashing-buy-signals/?src=A00220 Likes NVCR and OKTA, one of Mike's picks. I passed on AMD a while back and still regret it.
  18. gunnarthor
    I did. Thank you. Bought a little bit of SNAP as well.
  19. gunnarthor
    Oh, I thought you were going with a phonetic thing.
  20. gunnarthor
    I've had pfizer in my IRA for a few years now, mostly b/c of the dividend reinvestment (I love dividends). It hasn't been a great stock, really, but it's a decent enough longterm stock that I'm not worried about it either. (Just a random note, but my wife has held Coke in her IRA for a five years now and man, does that dividend reinvestment work). I'm way over exposed to big banks (WFC, USB) which hurt a bit although the little I have in tech (MSFT, ROKU) this year offset that. We now have a pretty big cash pile - roughly 20% of our holdings - so we will probably make a few big buys in a while. I'm sure one will be a conservative index fund but I'm not sure about the other. We don't own Apple or Amazon, for instance, but danged if I can figure out if this is a good jump in point. A week ago, I was ready to jump in on MC but I waited too long.
  21. gunnarthor
    Stock market soaring on the news of Biden's win. Reaches all-time high. The last nine months have convinced me that I will never understand the market.
  22. gunnarthor
    The first half was closer than the score indicated, the second half wasn't. The defense looked pretty bad all game but the offense, even with a mixed up line, had some promise but they left some points on the field. Special teams - fake punt fiasco, long return on a squib kick - were pretty bad.
  23. gunnarthor
    He's a nice story but his break out was just SSS. He's a AAAA type and easily replaceable.
  24. gunnarthor
    Love Eddie but the FO doesn't have the payroll. We have to hope that this FO can change a nucleus of players and stay competitive like the Twins managed to do in the 2000s.
  25. gunnarthor
    I was just really impressed that Nick managed to get in a shot at the "previous regime".
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