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gunnarthor

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Everything posted by gunnarthor

  1. Kepler's really turning into an all around solid player. He does a bit of everything. He's a lot better than I thought he'd be, especially in the OF.
  2. Yeah, I don't think the idea that the Twins are slow on their pitchers is valid. Berrios got to the majors at 22. Both Stewart and Gonsalves were among the youngest arms at AA last year. Jay got to AA in a year. Romero was pushed to AA after TJ surgery etc. Really, except for injuries, the only thing slowing our minor league pitchers has been their performance. Brad Steil has done a good job pushing prospects up the ladder.
  3. If we think he's going to turn into a pumpkin, why would a team give up anything of value for him? Our offense is pretty well here. We're not waiting on some minor league guys. Pitching is a problem. I don't see how getting rid of a solid, cost-controlled, relatively cheap starter for 2017, 2018, 2019 helps us. Sure, if we get an insane deal, make the trade. The Twins should certainly listen. But a team that needs Santana probably doesn't have the pitching to send back to us, unless it's pitching that won't arrive until 2019. It's like not trading Dozier - if you don't get a deal you like, don't make the trade just to make a trade.
  4. I don't think trading Santana fixes those problems in the first place. I'm sure the Twins will listen and if the right deal comes by, great. But it probably won't.
  5. If the Twins were offered Rodgers and Tapia from Col, than go for it. But it's not quite the same comparison. The Cubs were able to spend a bunch on FA pitchers like Lackey, Lester and Hammel. The Twins won't be able to buy themselves out of their pitching concerns. So if we lose Santana and don't get pitching back, we're in a real hole.
  6. I don't see how trading Santana will help us. We need pitching for this year, 2018 and 2019. Santana gives us that. If we trade him, we need even more pitching for those years. So, arguably, we'd want pitching back. But if a team has young pitching to spare, then they wouldn't need Santana. I don't think trading Santana is going to get us top pitching back. Trading one of Dozier/Polanco/Gordon might.
  7. No, but they'd be saying that Stewart is the safer pick. Kind of like how, in this draft, people are saying Gore is a safer pick than Greene despite Greene being ranked above him.
  8. I posted this in another thread but it far from unanimous that Greene is the best guy. Fangraphs has Wright #1 on their draft board and Jim Callis said he'd take Gore over Greene. Greene has velocity but Gore is way ahead of him on secondary pitchers - Hall and a few others might be, too, including Carlson. Greene's risk is a lot higher than Kohl Stewart at draft time. Stewart was supposed to have quality secondary pitches already and was seen as a relatively safe HS pick. Wright is probably the best player in this draft class and that's the guy the Twins should nab.
  9. Greene over Wright is not a unanimous opinion. Fangraphs has Wright #1 on their draft board.
  10. You understand that Stewart and Jay were both risk picks, right? Hell, Buxton over Appel was a little risky at the time. Those picks were exactly what you are clamoring for the Twins to do.
  11. I think mine is Wright, Gore, Greene, McKay, Adell but, yeah, they'll almost certainly take Wright.
  12. I'm definitely more on Wright or Gore but I also don't have access to what Lavine has. It's possible our scouts think he's gonna be a great LH bat or pitcher once he concentrates on one. I think he's a bit risky though. I want a pitcher and Wright checks all the boxes for me. But if McKay comes cheap enough where the Twins could add someone like Baz at 35 ... maybe I'm ok with that.
  13. Sano's power is amazing. I hope we lock him up long term b/c him playing for another team will bother me. Hopefully, Dozier starts hitting again soon. I want him to start carrying the offense a bit.
  14. Yeah, Wright and Baz with Rooker for slightly under slot would be a nice little run.
  15. Appel was probably in the Strasburg/Price grouping. Wright is probably in the Guasman/Rodon tier, which is just a notch below. Hochevar and Burlington were, IIRC, below that. I like Wright quite a bit and if he pitched all season like he had the last six weeks, he'd be the consensus #1 and probably in the Appel class. Frankly, he's about as safe a pick as a pitcher can be, he should be very good, perhaps great and he should fit in nicely with the core we have forming.
  16. Sure, some players lose out but others don't. Tons of HS kids turn down ML teams and get drafted much higher a few years later. And most of these guys can get insurance to cover some of the risks.
  17. Ugh, that was bad. That was "The Tick" level bad.
  18. I like Schwartz but I think he'll go higher up than that. He had a nice finish to the season, bloodlines and plays catcher. I think he'll go in the top 5 rounds. I'm not completely sold on your picks at 35/37. It might depend on what else is there but I'm hoping another college arm falls (Crowe or Lange?) and if Heilot Ramos is there, I'd love him at 35/37. Enlow is one of the many prep arms that I'd like to have an opportunity to nab, though. Heatherly I'm not as high on. pipeline pointed out that he's 19 and has command issues. Adams and Baumann seem like good college picks.
  19. Some of it had to be mental. If he read any article's comment section about him he would read about what a greedy so and so he was. And then he struggled in that Astros launching pad in A+ and the Astros ML manager called him out and then he had some injuries ... just a complete snowballing.
  20. I made mention of this briefly in a different post but the guys at minorleagueball did a four round draft. Obviously, they don't have the insight that real drafts have but they are probably slightly better informed draft junkies with focus on where their team is drafting so it's interesting, in my opinion, to see who was falling in these mock drafts. The Twins took Wright #1 and at 35 they could have taken college arms like Tanner Houck, Wil Crowe, Tillo or Clarke Schmidt (I'm not sure all would actually fall past 35 in a real draft) or HS players like Danner and Crouse. Again, I have real doubts about whether those names would actually be available at 35/37 but some would. The top of this draft is about 5 deep. And there's another tier about 10 deep. But after that, I think between say 15-55, the order could go in multiple directions. Like last year when we saw Dakota Hudson fall into the 30s or the year before when Buehler fell into the 30s, some players are just going to drop as teams didn't expect them to drop and/or had other deals lined up. I'd much rather the Twins aim for Wright (or Gore if they think he's BPA) and then be prepared to punt 37 if need be to nab a falling player at 35.
  21. It'll be interesting to see what happens. It's also worth pointing out that the Astros strategy isn't a complete lock. It worked well in 2012 when they got McCullers at 41 but the 2014 gamble bit them hard and in 2015 they had two top 5 picks to use but Daz Cameron might not be the player we all thought he'd be. So I don't want to see the Twins move too far off of BPA. Gore and Baz might be worth it, but I'm not sure. I probably want Wright and see what falls to 35/37 b/c there's some deep talent in this draft.
  22. I like Gordon a lot. I imagine he'll be in the top 30 or so on the next rankings. He's not in the Buxton/Sano tier but he's in the next tier Kepler-like tier. He/Polanco/Dozier give the Twins a solid trade chip if they can pull it off.
  23. Yeah, that's a nice list. If the Twins were going to go cheap at 1/1, I'd rather it was still for a pitcher. But having a few hundred thousand to get guys like Eastman to sign in round 11+ would be very nice too.
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