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PDX Twin

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Everything posted by PDX Twin

  1. PDX Twin
    Sounds a lot like Adrianza to me.
  2. PDX Twin
    The Twins sure seem to collect feel-good pitchers. Smeltzer, Dobnak, Thielbar. What's next? Bert coming back to pitch a 150-pitch complete game in his 70s?
  3. PDX Twin
    Is anyone else worried that the Twins are going to get off to a 10-2 start before the season is shut down?
  4. PDX Twin
    I keep seeing notes about individual players but it's hard to keep track beyond just the Twins. It would be a really useful addition to TD to have a running list of players who are sick and those who have opted out of playing. Is anyone on top of this who could share?
  5. PDX Twin
    Is there anyone else who thinks of Wiel in the same category as Arraez? Both of them simply hit at every level, but neither was a great prospect. I guess that the difference between 2B and 1B is huge here, but he might end up surprising us if he gets a chance.
  6. PDX Twin
    Morbid question, but what would happen if a player on a long-term contract were to die (Covid-19 or otherwise)? Is the team still obligated to pay the unearned salary?
  7. PDX Twin
    That might depend on what "school" and "college ball" are. None of us really knows what academics and college sports will look like even in the spring. That's another big question mark for players at a very uncertain time.
  8. PDX Twin
    The Twins are positioning themselves in case MLB decides to change the format of the competition to Home Run Derby, which seems to be the trend.
  9. PDX Twin
    It would be interesting for comparison's sake to know what the average WAR per team per draft is, both in those years and in general.
  10. PDX Twin
    Bravo!
  11. PDX Twin
    And Chicago in January would be upackerable?
  12. PDX Twin
    Looking at your list reinforces the impression I had during the season: the Twins were unusually, phenomenally, unreproduceably lucky in terms of injuries. Except for Sano (briefly), Buxton (more frequently), and (at the end) Kepler, almost all of them were to players who weren't really any better than their replacements. Maybe the Twins have a lot of durable players who are simply not going to get injured. Or maybe they were very lucky. We won't ever know what would have unfolded had there been a 2020 season, but to expect a repeat of this good fortune seems optimistic.
  13. PDX Twin
    Dean Chance came to the Twins from the Angels in a trade for Jimmie Hall and Don Mincher after the 1966 season. He was selected by Senators in the expansion draft, but only stayed for a matter of hours (according to BR):
  14. PDX Twin
    And also a highly competent hitter in an era when that mattered.
  15. PDX Twin
    Whoever did the ratings for the game must have been a Red Sox fan. Such success seems improbable...
  16. PDX Twin
    I was privileged to be at that game as an 11-year-old in 1965, sitting in the sun down the left-field line. That was a truly amazing NL team with Mays, Aaron, Clemente, Robinson, Banks, etc. Among the NL stars who didn't make the team were Curt Flood and Lou Brock! And of course they had Koufax, Drysdale, Gibson (not Kyle), and Marichal to throw the ball.
  17. PDX Twin
    Among all the positions, statistics seem the least useful at first base. Most of the variation in errors that results from a good vs. bad firstbaseman are other infielders' errors. Plus, the firstbaseman gets so many routine chances that fielding percentage drifts irrelevantly close to one. Are there any defensive metrics specific to first base that measure the difficulty of each throw he must catch and how well a player does on difficult throws? That would seem like a better metric than fielding percentage or coverage of zone on ground balls.
  18. PDX Twin
    Does he talk about the financial and social segregation aspects of new ballparks? At the Met, everyone was essentially together. Some tickets were more expensive than others, of course, but it was a communal experience and if you put up the price of a box seat you could be sitting next to a CEO. The Metrodome allowed for private boxes, which created huge revenues for the club(s) and allowed the privileged to drink better liquor, eat better food, and avoid mingling with the masses. Target Field extended this model to include not only private boxes, but segregated the entire section behind home plate. Again, more revenue and more tiers of social segregation. Attending baseball games, like so many other activities, has become much less of a "shared social experience" in the last 50 years. Perhaps a small cause, or perhaps a small result, of the polarization that is so apparent in our economics and our politics.
  19. PDX Twin
    This seems almost absurdly optimistic from where I sit. I don't think we have any season at all and the impact may extend well into the fall, cutting into fall and winter sports next year.
  20. PDX Twin
    And beyond this, apart from first-base-open situations, intentional walks work best when you have one threatening hitter in the middle of a bunch of weaklings. The Twins' lineup, if healthy, has no weaklings. If they decide to walk Cruz or Donaldson, the next hitter (who might even be Cruz or Donaldson) is likely to make them pay.
  21. PDX Twin
    If a club like the Twins (or Cleveland) is not going to be able to retain top stars beyond 6 years, it makes sense to grab guys who already have the extra years of development in college. If we draft a collegian and he joins at 22, he makes the majors at maybe 26 and is a free-agent at 32. (Gibson followed roughly this model.) We've gotten at least the early part of his best years. Contrast with Berrios who makes the majors at 22 and potentially leaves at 28 with some of his best years ahead of him (in another shirt).
  22. PDX Twin
    Didn't Blankenhorn play a lot of 3B coming through the system? He seems like a more realistic short-run possibility than Cavaco and Miranda.
  23. PDX Twin
    Unpopular sentiment, but I'm prepared for disappointment. A couple of nagging injuries in spring training, a couple of bad bounces, and a couple of ineffective starts could leave us 0-10. There's a lot of luck in the game and the Twins were very lucky last year. I'm hoping it continues, but it might not.
  24. PDX Twin
    I fear that Polanco will lead the league in (throwing) errors.
  25. PDX Twin
    No doubt the new tech has its place and can improve performance. But so do these "old-fashioned" concepts. It doesn't matter how hard you throw or how much spin you can put on the ball if it's not a strike. Advancing runners surely has its place and contributes to runs. Working counts is crucial, as we know from watching a player like Arraez and how his patience improves not only his own success, but those of the batters to follow him who get to watch lots of pitches. I want the Twins to use every legal and ethical method to get better, but that means using the new technologies AND “throwing strikes”, “advancing runners” and “working counts”.
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