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alarp33

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Everything posted by alarp33

  1. alarp33
    Come on. You think Manny Machado is going to re-sign with this Twins in your scenario because he got to be around their culture? *Spoiler Alert*: Manny Machado is going to sign this off-season with who pays him the most money
  2. alarp33
    Martinez signed a $110 million contract. Aybar, Sanchez, Pineda, Lynn Morrison combined for around $30 million. I can't tell if you are just trolling or not, but obviously no one would look at only 1 year of a 5 year contract when discussing what Martinez got
  3. alarp33
    This entire thread was speculation. I agree with those saying no chance Verlander was waiving his no trade clause to come here.
  4. alarp33
    You are incorrect, and no one said vegas would align numbers so they lose money. It is impossible to choose 30 events and garner exact equal money on all sides. Futures odds are set based on numerous factors, money coming in is one of them, but far from the only one.
  5. alarp33
    No I'm not saying anything definitive can be said. My point is there's nothing wrong with the statement "Vegas has Hou at 5/1 to win the World Series and the Twins at 66/1, the Twins are not in the same class as the real contenders". That is NOT simply based on money coming in on those teams. Houston has a significantly better chance of winning the WS than the Twins.
  6. alarp33
    Correct/ Agreed. My overall point is looking at Vegas odds to determine WS odds for example are a fine barometer to go off of when looking at this team, like the original poster was doing. It is not simply "$ bet on the Twins".
  7. alarp33
    You are right if you are speaking about how they arrived at Detroit being -108 tonight vs the Twins. They are attempting to garner similar money on each side of the line. That's not really true at all for Futures. It would be impossible to balance the anticipated $ bet on 30 teams. They absolutely use strength of teams, records, schedule, etc. Odds to make playoffs in AL Per Fangraphs (in order of most likely) Yankees Astros Red Sox Indians Mariners Angels Odds to win AL Pennant in Vegas (in order of best odds) Yankees Astros Red Sox Indians Mariners Angels Odds to Win WS (Fangraphs) Astros Yankees Cubs Nationals Red Sox Indians Odds to Win WS (Vegas) Astros Yankees Red Sox Nationals Cubs Indians
  8. alarp33
    Yeah, I mean I have no idea what is going on with his specific knee. I am just speaking from experience with my own - admittedly not an MLB catcher. The repair is GOOD news for his long term health, bad news for the 2018 Twins since it took him out for the season. He may not be able to be fully counted on in 2019, but I would argue that has more to do with his skill set and age than his physical health. But he will be healthy and ready to go in Spring Training, and at $8 million, at minimum playing in a part time role for the 2019 Twins.
  9. alarp33
    Again, he did not have a meniscectomy. That is the removal of torn mensicus. He had his mensiscus repaired which is much better for long term health but comes with a longer recovery time. Rather than remove a portion of the torn meniscus in Castro’s knee, as magnetic resonance imaging exams had suggested, Dr. Robert LaPrade of The Steadman Clinic went ahead and did a full repair of the meniscus. Castro will have a rehabilitation period of five to six months. “The tear was a little bit more significant,” Twins manager Paul Molitor said. “They decided to try to keep what he had left. They thought that was the best course of action for him as far as prolonging his career and productivity.”
  10. alarp33
    I've had 6 knee surgeries, all on my meniscus. Most recently a repair in late October. - The article you quoted is wrong (a correct article is below). The removal is the QUICK recovery, you could be back to full strength in 3 weeks. A repair is the one that takes 3-4 months to recover from (this is what Adrian Peterson had his last season with Vikings). FWIW I'm not a world class athlete, and 3.5 months after my repair I was playing golf, jogging a couple of miles on the treadmill, etc. He will be 100% by October at the latest, I don't really see how his knee injury will have any effect on next season. https://www.twincities.com/2018/05/16/twins-lose-jason-castro-for-the-season-after-knee-surgery/
  11. alarp33
    He had a menisicus repaired, what exactly do you mean by devastating injury?
  12. alarp33
    He's thrown out 1 base runner this year.
  13. alarp33
    The Twins have 1 year and $8 million remaining on Castro after this season (in which he isn't a factor). But they are "all in" and they "still want him to be the guy". Yeah I don't think that's the case. Also "Castro is the star catcher everyone wanted". Who is everyone? I didn't mind the signing at all, but I can't recall prior to your post "Castro" and "Star catcher" ever being used in the same sentence
  14. alarp33
    But does he have a cannon? I haven't seen any evidence of that
  15. alarp33
    To be fair you said there will "absolutely be a need for him in 3 years". Not that he will maybe have a great year in one of those 3.
  16. alarp33
    Pedroia is in his age 34 season currently and has played in 3 games, I'm not sure how he qualifies as "held up through mid 30's". His age 33 season was his worst in WAR and OPS+ of his career. Chase Utley's peak was far greater than Dozier's. His WAR was pretty much cut in half by the time he hit 32/33.
  17. alarp33
    Escobar's age 32 season... he's 2 years younger than Dozier. And in my scenario he is option 3 anyways, behind Polanco / Gordon for 2B/SS. I wouldn't pay Dozier for what he has done, I would pay him for what I think he will do going forward. I don't think he's going to be very valuable in his age 34 season. Is it possible Dozier is on the team in 3 years? Sure.. but to say he will absolutely be needed in 2021 is crazy.
  18. alarp33
    Is this a consensus? Honestly asking, don't know much about Wilson's background at all. From the games I've seen, I've been pretty unimpressed with his arm/ pop time, and the stats back that up. 1 CS in 9 attempts. Garver has caught 3 runners on 14 attempts for what its worth. Garver has caught roughly twice as many games, so teams are running more often on Wilson
  19. alarp33
    There is "absolutely" a need for Dozier 3 years from now? Strong disagree there. And that isn't including anyone from A ball. Sign me up for Gordon, Polanco, Escobar or numerous free agent options over Dozier's age 34 season at ~$12-15 million
  20. alarp33
    You said he has improved, his last 4 weeks have been worse than his 1st 4 weeks. I don't understand this argument in the least, are you trolling me? Is your argument simply that he had a nice final week of April or something? I don't see how providing the actual most recent data is in any way confusing. There's nothing arbitrary about that, its a fact his performance has gotten worse, not better. His OPS on April 27th was .664, today it is .624. It is going down, not up
  21. alarp33
    His OPS in May is .586. His numbers are worse in the 2nd month of the season than they are the 1st month. In what world has he turned it around. He had a .642 OPS in April
  22. alarp33
    You are literally including the only real solid game of the season Grossman has had, and your numbers are still wrong. Grossman April 26-May 29: .276/.366/.390 (.756 ops) Grossman April 27 - May 29: .247/.348/,315 (..663 ops) In the month of May his OPS is .586. I don't know in what world that's an acceptable OPS for an every day player who can't play defense
  23. alarp33
    He was on a minor league deal with LAA, I assume he's not on 40 man. Hughes spot will go to Santana or May
  24. alarp33
    Grossman Petit Lamarre Cave Current players on the 25 man roster. If he can still hit at all, yes he has a path to ABs at DH... obviously a HUGE IF and I never implied otherwise.
  25. alarp33
    I'm confused - I never said he was better than Grossman or that he should play over Grossman if he's not better, and I never said he's worthy of a roster spot today. I said if he has anything left than yes he can be more valuable than Grossman, who can't hit the ball over the fence and also provides 0 defensive value.
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