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alarp33

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Everything posted by alarp33

  1. alarp33
    June '17 - today. 5.00 ERA, 5.49 FIP, 4.79 xFIP June '16 - Aug '16. 3.26 ERA, 3.67 FIP, 4.24 xFIP He cleared waivers in 2016. Certainly be blocked? Hardly.
  2. alarp33
    I'm not following this at all. Why do you have to trade guys who are potentially going to be a part of 2018? What is wrong with trading 2 free agents to be?
  3. alarp33
    60 day DL
  4. alarp33
    This is a very odd way to evaluate a trade, but I'll just state the obvious. Matt Capps was not a free agent 2 months after the Twins acquired him. They traded for 2 months + 1 year
  5. alarp33
    So the baseline for making any trade should be "will the guy we acquire be the next Mejia?" I can't tell if that is serious or not, but if you are genuinely curious if these guys can be the next Mejia, yes Littell should reach the majors at a younger age than Mejia did, and has at least a significantly better MILB track record than Mejia
  6. alarp33
    Who said "play for 2019"? I'm confused how losing Brandon Kintzler in a trade today effects the status of competing in 2018, considering he is a UFA this off season anyways
  7. alarp33
    They saved around $1 million by trading Kintzler. They spent $4 million on Garcia alone to improve the prospects they received in return. What in the world are you talking about
  8. alarp33
    I would guess Littell ranks in the Twins top 15, or close to it going into next year. Same with Watson, who seems like a really nice lottery ticket. As for "give up on this year" - the Twins traded 1 player from their All Star Break - Major League roster to get all of the pieces you mentioned - a pending Free Agent in Kintzler. If you think making the playoffs was an attainable goal, losing Kintzler (0.7 WAR) shouldn't move those odds by all that much
  9. alarp33
    Trading a 23 year old with 5(?) years of team control, who owns a 2.1 bWAR through mid-July would certainly be a revolutionary way of rebuilding.
  10. alarp33
    Correct - the MLB site I used to reference those numbers don't show signing bonuses, just whether they signed or not. So I'm not sure how many big bonuses were given in later rounds
  11. alarp33
    Last year only 3 picks from the 11th round did not sign, to use that as an example. 2 high school kids, and a college catcher. Of course, its possible the highly ranked high school kids won't be drafted today in the 11th round, because teams already know they won't sign. Edit: Same for the 12th round, 3 unsigned. 2 HS, 1 College
  12. alarp33
    Correct, they did it the right way to get the guys they wanted
  13. alarp33
    No, I am not "assuming" anything, I am telling you how math works. The Twins have an overall budget ($14 million), they drafted to follow that budget. You keep saying Enlow at 37 is a better deal than Enlow at 76 because the Cap is higher at 37. That is not how this works, the cap they need to worry about is for the 1st 10 rounds ($14 million), not on a pick by pick basis. Leach "agreed" to a number before his name was called at 37, Enlow "agreed" to a number at 76 before his name was called. It's how the draft works now I used $1 and $3 as examples to show you how math works, I don't know what either player has agreed to. They won't get Enlow for less at 76, they will pay him what his advisor likely told teams it would take to sign him out of his college commitment. That # was the same whether he was pick 40 in the draft or pick 100.
  14. alarp33
    Dude, if you pay him $3 million, and you pay Leach $1 million, IT DOES NOT MATTER WHERE THEY WERE DRAFTED, 3+1 = 4. Why do you care about slot savings, you literally are arriving at the EXACT Same number. You need $4 million to sign these 2 guys (per my example earlier). Math really is not this hard....
  15. alarp33
    They carry more risk than drafting pitchers in the 1st round? Isn't that the argument? Because I would rather trade for someone's AAA pitcher who they've developed for 3 years with IF or OF depth, than I draft only pitchers in Round 1
  16. alarp33
    I thought we were speaking in more generalities, how you can acquire pitchers. I didn't realize it was you had to acquire one now for this season or next
  17. alarp33
    Says who? You couldn't have traded Dozier for De Leon (6 years of control) in January?
  18. alarp33
    Huh? I think you're talking in circles so much I don't even know what your original point was. Why would the Twins say BS? They've already agreed to a deal with Enlow, guaranteed
  19. alarp33
    I'm not going to quote your whole post, but your flaw is in assuming the Twins had Enlow ranked much higher than Leach. It is possible they ranked them simlar - also if all teams knew Leach would sign for $1 million, and all teams knew Enlow would only sign for $3 million, there are a lot more teams ABLE to draft and pay Leach $1 million between 37 and 76 than there are teams able to draft and pay Enlow $3 million between 37 + 76
  20. alarp33
    Certainly possible, lots of players drop in the draft, doesn't mean they won't turn out to be All Stars. I'd say the Yankees are happy Judge dropped to 32 (I'm guessing position / height was probably a big factor there)
  21. alarp33
    Age, and positional doubt would be my guess
  22. alarp33
    You very clearly do not understand, or you would not possibly think spending $14 million makes you more profitable than spending $14 million. As for the front office, I believe you said the only goal is to make profits. They would have continued to have a barebones front office, not turn Terry Ryan's GM salary into a President salary and a GM salary, and dozens of other new hires if the sole goal was to turn a profit
  23. alarp33
    Honestly what is it you do not understand about how the MLB draft works? The Twins have $14 million to spend on their picks in rounds 1-10. They will spend $14 million, whether the 1st pick receives $20 or $10 million, they will spend a total of $14 million
  24. alarp33
    Good point, another reason you may draft Enlow lower than Leach, even if you ranked him higher. Of course the other would be Leach for $1 million may be a lot more attractive to other teams than Enlow at $3 million, even if teams ranked Enlow slightly higher
  25. alarp33
    I'm not following your logic in the least. This is a pretty simple concept. Lets see if you can follow this when I spell it out more specifically. Pick Number 37 allotment $1.8 million Pick Number 76 allotment $755k Total $2.55 million Example: Enlow is going to need $3 million to sign on the dotted line. Pick 37: Leach Signs for $1 million (hypothetical, no idea what he is getting) Pick 76: Enlow: Signs for $3 million (savings from Lewis, Rooker and Leach. Total spent on 2: $4 million or Pick 37: Enlow: Signs for $3 million (savings from Lewis, Rooker) Pick 76: Leach: Signs for $1 million (savings from Lewis, roooker) Total spent: $4 million. Again, tell me why it would make a difference whether Enlow was picked 76 or 37, or Leach was pick 37 or 76
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