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alarp33

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Everything posted by alarp33

  1. Can you provide me with a list of regular center fielders who don't have plus Speed and range? I'll wait I'm not taking it as a knock on Buxton, I'm taking it as a lazy comparison used to provide a narrative that he shouldn't be the starting CFer.
  2. Yes, it is common for Center fielders to be fast and have good range. There is something they call Outfielders without Speed + Range.. Its Left or Right fielders. A 22 year old has a slightly unrefined approach? That must certainly be unique to Buxton and Gomez. One of which had a .383 obp in the minors, by the way. But yes, very unrefined.. ie: he didn't hit the day he made the major leagues PS: I'm curious why Andrew McCutcheon is never used as a comparison for Buxton. Is it because he doesn't play for the Twins, or because it doesn't fit the narrative as well? http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1780212-comparing-top-hitting-prospect-byron-buxton-to-andrew-mccutchen
  3. You basically just described 90% of Center Field prospects. You didn't mention, Buxton has consistently been ranked as the best prospect in all of baseball, while Gomez was never even close to that category of prospect. PS: If Gomez never played for the Twins, would never ever compare Buxton to him. The minor league track record of each is not even in the same ballpark.
  4. Minors Career; Gomez: .278/.340/.395 Buxton: .301/.383/.489 Similarities between the 2; Center Fielders, Twins (former/current). End list
  5. No, they aren't. Though Kepler won't make the team, he'll play every day in AAA and be in MN if a starting OF hits the DL, or Rosario struggles big time.
  6. 1) Syndergaard had a sore elbow last Spring, which explains the May promotion instead of mid to late April (not sure why that makes a difference) 2) Perhaps you are finding less examples of service time manipulation with pitchers because there happens to just be less top pitching prospects than position players? Keith Law's top 50 prospects for 2016 has 17 pitchers, 33 position players. I would imagine that's the split most years, since there are nearly twice as many starting position players as starting pitchers on a team I really don't see any correlation at all between service time mattering for position players, and not mattering for pitchers. If anything, teams should be more willing to hold back pitchers, because they can impact less games those 1st 2 weeks than a position player can.
  7. While I hope you are right, Molitor fell into the Gardy trap of keeping 13 pitchers pretty quickly last year. Not to mention, I for one was pretty disappointed with how they handled Arcia last year, who may have been able to provide a bench bat. I know he was awful at AAA, but the point remains, he was an Opening Day starter, went on the DL early.. then got stuck at AAA because he didn't hit on his 5 day rehab stint. Did that get into his head, causing a snowball effect of bad at bats in AAA... or was he truly just lost all season?
  8. To be fair, you started this off by saying "no baseball team has ever held down a top pitching prospect for 12 days at the start of the season" and reasoned "perhaps were overvaluing the extra year of control" Those comments are far different than its less likely than position players, or just less obvious (pretty likely, since pitchers have other factors working against them like pitch counts, throwing every 5 days, etc.)
  9. Lots of top pitching prospects debut in May, I'm not sure how you can say no team has ever held down a top pitching prospect to get the extra year of control. It may not be as blatant as it was with Bryant, since pitchers only play every 5 days anyways. David Price for example was used in the bullpen in September, but didn't come up the following year until mid May, I'm pretty sure they got the extra year handling it that way.
  10. Yeah you're right, I looked at that wrong earlier. Point remains, Berrios should not be on the opening day roster.
  11. I wasn't trying to offer commentary on Nolasco, strictly was saying its absurd to say if you have a high BABIP against you must suck
  12. With 2 off days, Monday the 18th would be the 1st time the Twins need a 5th start, I believe.
  13. Chris Sale, Jose Quintana, Tyson Ross, Lance Lynn, and Carlos Martinez were all top 10 in the league in highest BABIP against... They must suck, right?
  14. Ummmm, yes. 30% of all balls hit into play end up with a batter on base. Actually maybe more if you include errors (which also lead to a man on base) http://www.sportingcharts.com/mlb/stats/team-batting-average-of-balls-in-play-babip/2015/
  15. Yup, I get what you meant now... I think I misunderstood the 1st post. Entire = entire mlb draft.. I thought entire = Entire Twins Draft Class was thought of as very poor.
  16. Okkk, maybe I misunderstood the original post. I thought he was saying industry experts were saying the TWINS entire draft class was thought of as very weak, post 2012 draft. Now that you say that, I get he was referencing the 2012 draft in general, not the Twins
  17. Not sure I understand? I know I didn't list all 40 some players drafted. My point was no one in the "industry" called the ENTIRE draft class one of the worst in recent memory. Drafting 2nd and getting the top player kinda takes care of any of that talk...
  18. I literally cannot find one place that said the Twins 2012 draft was "one of the weakest in recent memory". They drafted the consensus best player in the draft, most liked Berrios, who was just a bit of an unknown... and they went heavy on college relievers, but good ones.
  19. He was in the "Just Missed" part of the Top 100 list. Below is what he wrote... Certainly it shouldn't be taken as gospel (I think many thought Sale would be a reliever, and that worked out ok I think), but I think Jay is a better prospect, and am glad the Twins chose him over Fulmer He has a very violent delivery and tends to work too much out of the zone to be a big league starter, so I project him as a reliever, as did many scouts who saw him dealing for the Vanderbilt Commodores before the draft.
  20. We've got people evaluating Ryan Sweeney + Buxton on their 1st 12 (Sweeney) and 11 (Buxton) at bats of spring. The season can't start soon enough.
  21. Probably Santana if they use him as a defensive replacement for Sano, I just hope more at bats (by far) go to Arcia.
  22. Right, his 1st full season in the Majors. I would say 15th in the AL in WAR for starting pitchers is not average... and why is locking him into a 4 year deal his decline phase? He's going to be 28 all season. I'm not necessarily even in the camp where you need to extend him, but I think you are highly underrating his ability to be a good pitcher for 5+ years.
  23. I know Keith Law for one thinks Carson Fulmer is a reliever in the long run. Not so sure Michael Fulmer falls in the same boat, I bet he's in that Tigers rotation by mid season. As for rotations, I'll still take Chicago's or Detroits, you can have the Twins
  24. The Twins had a 3 man bench for a large portion of last year. Why would you think they would go to a 5 man this year?
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