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Taildragger8791

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Everything posted by Taildragger8791

  1. Taildragger8791
    60 days is easily in play. High ankle sprains are notoriously slow to heal. He could maybe come back to DH sooner if he's careful on the bases, but catching duties will be a lot to ask. I saw the still image of the play and his foot was turned totally sideways. It's a miracle he didn't break/tear anything.
  2. Taildragger8791
    He's a veteran, he doesn't have to prove anything because he hits the ball really far sometimes. He'll be right back to his 38.5% strikeout rate from last year. Wait, I think I'm even worse at this.
  3. Taildragger8791
    I think that would be a legitimate way to reinforce or anchor a rotation, seeing as how developing starting pitching is such a crapshoot and it's rarely available in free agency. You just need to be able to afford to keep/extend the more expensive older players you'd be getting in return. Almost nobody is trading 22 year old front-end starters under cost control for less than a mint. Hitting is more reliably developed and easier to acquire in free agency, so I'd be more hesitant to blow the prospect equity on a bat. You'll run out of prospects in a hurry going 3-for-1 in trades just to fill out your lineup.
  4. Taildragger8791
    This miss on Tyler Jay looks worse than your run-of-the-mill bust because the whole thought process that went into it was flawed. They went after college relievers trying to exploit some non-existent market inefficiency. It was such a bad idea it only took a year to see that it wasn't going to pay off. They'd have been better off throwing darts than executing that terrible plan.
  5. Taildragger8791
    This is my assumption as well. I just wonder if there's a threshold at which they do option him and make him earn the promotion, or does he get the veteran scholarship treatment despite how he ended last season?
  6. Taildragger8791
    I'll be curious to see what the Twins consider 'ready' for Sano. If a few weeks from now he's hitting 10/50 with 5 homers, 5 walks, and 25 strikeouts...is that promotion-worthy? Do they option him and tell him to work on the plate control?
  7. Taildragger8791
    Sure. I'm just curious how the Twins' spread of great, good, bad, and awful starts compares relative to the league. I realize these are arbitrarily-defined categories, but hopefully it would indicate the upside-ability of the rotation, as well as the likelihood of each performance you could expect. I'm just spit-balling ideas on how to see into the numbers a little deeper than a mean average.
  8. Taildragger8791
    I'd be curious to see a comparison more along the lines of median performances rather than mean averages. The Twins (going on gut feel here) seem like they've had some lights out performances and some absolute horror show performances, the latter of which have a bigger impact on the mean averages you listed. If those get cleaned up a little it could make a big difference in the rankings. Maybe a plot of Earned Runs by the starter from each game would be a good way to visualize the spread of performances? One could compare the bell curves for each team and see where they tend to live and how boom/bust they are vs. steady down the middle.
  9. Taildragger8791
    Yeah, it's usually not a good sign when a minor league pitcher who's already getting to go max-effort in a relief role still doesn't dominate. There's nowhere to go up from there unless something else improves. After the injuries and wear/tear, does he still throw as hard as he did 2-3 years ago? Is his strikeout rate artificially elevated because he lives out of the zone too much, or does he actually have consistent swing-and-miss stuff?
  10. Taildragger8791
    I feel bad for Dozier on a human level, but as far as being a professional baseball player I’m not surprised he's struggling. He had a charmed run but was always so dead focused on pull power that it was bound to bite him I’m the rear. As it often did between his hot streaks. As for Schoop, I don’t think he’d be prohibitively expensive and I don’t think you ever worry about blocking “prospects” that you don’t know when or if they’ll arrive. This team also doesn’t have the pitching to accept unnecessary wildcards in any given lineup slots next year. Sign the known quantity and trade him later if you must.
  11. Taildragger8791
    Defense has been solid, and I’d expect the bat to pick up for Marwin. But yeah, luckily for Sano he’s off to a slow start.
  12. Taildragger8791
    Really impressive especially considering Cruz was on the bench. Sano is going to have to really earn his playing time when he comes back, and an extra-motivated Sano is hopefully a very good thing.
  13. Taildragger8791
    First at-bat was ugly, with a first pitch pop out to the catcher on a slider in the zone with a runner on first and no outs. His second at-bat was good, stayed away from balls off the plate and stung a line drive 400 ft to center for an out. He did foul another slider in the zone though, so he probably needs to learn to spit on that pitch in hitter's counts. I didn't see the final at-bat but the play-by-play report looks decent.
  14. Taildragger8791
    Not to mention, in Latin countries a little bit of bat flipping and fun on a big play isn't considered an insult to the game and every fan's grandpappy like it is in America.
  15. Taildragger8791
    If Astudillo keeps getting thrown at he may start challenging that statistic too.
  16. Taildragger8791
    With Phil Cuzzi’a strikezone today I don’t know how you can evaluate the catcher framing with any seriousness. Both sides were fooled multiple times by unexpected ball/strike calls.
  17. Taildragger8791
    I think the Twins were game-planning to be aggressive against Kluber and avoid getting into pitcher's counts early yesterday. Everyone was swinging the first 4-5 innings. As Kluber reacted to that they started getting more patient. The offense will have some on/off to it with the K-prone hitting, especially when Sano returns. But a lot of that is just the direction baseball is going these days.
  18. Taildragger8791
    So you're not down with OPP?
  19. Taildragger8791
    We lost to Oakland, not the Yankees in 2006. Our bullpen was really good but so was theirs. The difference is the Twins had to run out Boof Bonser and the ghost of Brad Radke as 2/3 of their starters. Boof actually held up ok, but it didn't matter because the pitching was backed by a lineup featuring Jason Tyner at DH, Punto hitting 2nd, the remnants of Phil Nevin and Rondell White, and the great Lew Freaking Ford coming off the bench. They only scored 7 runs the entire series. There was no depth on that team and it got exposed. Also, the Yankees had several future Hall of Fame players on most of their playoff rosters. I think their success was due to more than just intimidation.
  20. Taildragger8791
    You still have to be on par with your opponent for luck swing your fortunes in a series. There's a reason the Twins were thoroughly spanked in the playoffs throughout the 2000's. There was a disparity in competitive levels that luck can't make up for. You can only go so far with 'good' top-of-the-order hitting and a few good pitchers. To have a real chance you either need game-changing talent or a lot of depth, because you'll run into both. I think the 2019 Twins will be a lot more fun to watch this year and should be in the running to win an awful division. 95-win upside makes sense when you they can pad their W column against the Tigers, Royals, and White Sox. Especially if Cleveland falters. But for playoff wins they'd need several players make a big jump and succeed against quality opponents, not just show out against the tank-a-thon teams.
  21. Taildragger8791
    Funny, but I wouldn't even compare those two. Wiggins has amazing natural athleticism that is perfectly tuned for basketball, but he doesn't actually have NBA-level basketball talent at essential things like shooting or dribbling. The only thing being wasted there is Glen's money and KAT's prime.
  22. Taildragger8791
    I don't think I've heard anyone concerned at all about the fate of the Twins' performance due to Sano missing time. That speaks a lot to how everyone already sort of knew he hasn't been a contributor to winning the last couple of years. I'm more concerned that now he's going to be rusty and ineffectual for a month or two upon return, while soaking up middle-of-the-order at-bats. A rusty Sano is usually a very ugly thing to watch. Sounds to me like the conversation is a lot more about frustration that: It's always something with Sano, whether it's his fault or not. Every year. The details around how the injury occurred are murky. We just want to know what a healthy and engaged full-year Sano looks like. Can he flip the narrative and perform as a solid middle-of-the-order bat that stays on the field and plays passable D? If he performs great all year then this concern mostly goes away. If he flounders until August and then turns it on for 6 weeks then we've punted at least another year on that evaluation and we still don't know what we have in a critical piece of the roster.
  23. Taildragger8791
    Yeah I could see this being a larger setback than stated simply because he now has to be able to adequately field a position in order to play. It's conceivable that early May rolls around and he's struggling to look MLB game-ready, thus extending his Rochester stay. I don't want to see a rusty Sano striking out at 50% and booting balls in Minnesota when we have serviceable replacements on-hand.
  24. Taildragger8791
    Even if the Twins trusted Sano's doctors to take care of it, why take the risk of letting it be handled by someone outside the organization? And why compound that risk by waiting until spring training to look at the healing progress? There's way too much on the line to take a wait-and-see approach to player injuries. Every week a player misses has a ripple effect throughout the rest of the season.
  25. Taildragger8791
    I’m pretty rusty on my college economics class...but isn’t $25 million in 2030 dollars going to be more like $18-$20 million in today’s dollars? That and the fact that sports salaries outpace inflation, and those later years won’t even be that expensive as long as he’s still producing something. It seems like adding years in exchange for such a low AAV would eventually be a detriment to the player than it buys the certainty he wants.
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