Taildragger8791
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Everything posted by Taildragger8791
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The BBs are still pretty high, and the overall WHIP is just okay but not that good for a AA prospect. I'm fine with pushing him since the story on him is always that he has "stuff", so maybe a little challenge will help him put it together. I'm not a fan of just popping off random games from within a sample size like that though. It's one thing if there's some other factor involved like it's the first couple games after a promotion/injury, a guy was playing hurt, weather, etc. Otherwise, those games happened. Consistency is a skill too.
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I suppose the only issue with that is now you have that catcher hitting at the top of the order the rest of the game unless you really go whole hog and pull a double switch. I don't see how it would be illegal, but if that strategy caught on I'm sure you'd see a new rule against it pretty quickly.
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I'm not hearing any credible assertions that Sano is bad at 3rd at this point, I think most people recognize that he's been surprisingly good at most aspects of the position. What I'm hearing is that some don't believe he'll age gracefully and could eat himself off the hot corner within a few years unless he refocuses his diet and training regime to stay there. His athletcism will wane quicker than a normal 20-something year old, resulting declining defensive value and increasing injury risk. It's just what happens to big guys like that. Thankfully he has the bat to play anywhere and he'd likely still handle 1B for a long time, assuming he can pick it. I'm sure the Twins realize this already.
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I didn't say he had. I said he's flashed a powerful bat and the potential to be advanced quickly. Nothing remarkable, yet no real red flags yet either. He's basically meeting expectations. That isn't enough to make a strong assessment one or or the other, which is fine because he's only two months into his career. I don't think we'll know what he is until he's had a little more time to make adjustments and then get tested against upper minors talent.
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For his first taste of professional baseball and wooden bats, yeah. He's flashed legit power and the ability to draw walks. The strikeout rate is high but not unreasonably so (yet). I'd like to see more doubles and consistency but he literally just left metal bats and college dorms behind 2 months ago. The sample size is so small too. Take out his first few games at A ball, call it an adjustment period. Since then he's hitting .265/.365/.518 (.883 OPS) with only a .314 BABIP. He's proven to make adjustments quickly. No, I'm not saving a spot for him in MLB yet or declaring him a can't-miss prospect. But he's definitley showing an ability to progress up the system quickly.
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Lewin Diaz has a long ways to go before pencilling him in at 1B for the Twins. He's still all projection and hasn't really shown he'll fulfill that yet. The batting average and strikeout rate are okay, but he isn't taking walks or hitting for much power. He's not "flashing" yet like you'd expect for a future power hitter. I'm not concerned, but I'm not reserving any spots ahead of him in the pipeline either.
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Article: Royce Lewis Promoted To The Kernels
Taildragger8791 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Ah, that makes a lot more sense. I'm really glad MLB worked out that system so draftees get in and get started so much sooner. Seeing guys lose almost a year of development while hashing out money was a pretty painful process.- 45 replies
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- royce lewis
- joe mauer
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Article: Royce Lewis Promoted To The Kernels
Taildragger8791 replied to Seth Stohs's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
I don't think a few months in age makes that much of an impact for a kid that just turned 18 two months ago. I'd weight overall experience far more and they all had basically the same amount when entering pro ball. Having an entire professional offseason to develop, train, and mature prior to going to single A is a significant preparation advantage over a few months of age difference.- 45 replies
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- royce lewis
- joe mauer
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Article: MIN 9, DET 4: WE COMIN’!
Taildragger8791 replied to Tom Froemming's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Can you explain how horizontal angle would come from that? I'm not seeing it. Also, the slicing nature seems like it would add to the catch difficulty but not be reflected by the probability metrics. That ball started out to Buxton's right then crossed way back over him. Definitely not just a 3 star catch in my book.- 23 replies
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- eddie rosario
- max kepler
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I was hoping to see Jake Reed out there in the last couple days. It looked like they were finally building him up towards a promotion this season when finally he pitched on one day's rest, even going more than one inning at a time. Did he not feel rebound well from that?
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It's a little more believable when he's the second twins player this year with a streak that bad. Buxton's start to the year was equally as ugly.
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Roy with the audible "UGGGHHH" seeing that hanging curve halfway to home plate.
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I'm pretty sure he was rooting around in the catcher's pockets and giving the home plate ump a hotfoot while waiting on the pitch.
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I thought he was going to try and steal home for sure. He could have gotten a 40 foot leadoff.
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Opportunity for redemption here for Dozier. And no option to bunt this time. Hopefully he doesn't complete the sh*t cycle going 0/4 with 2 runners on base.
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Not sure it was an intentional sacrifice, looked like he was bunting for a hit since it went up the 3rd baseline. I think Dozier just got gunshy after blowing 2 straight at-bats with runners on 2nd & 3rd. Didn't want to blow the next at-bat with runners on 1st & 2nd.
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Bottom four of the lineup is doing their job getting on base, going 6 for 9 with 2 walks and a strikeout. All the top of the lineup has done is draw walks and fly out. This is a strong example of why having on-base guys at 1B and DH instead of run producers is killing rallies.
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Against a wild pitcher I don't mind drawing the walk, but yeah he definitely had a couple foul-offs there that could have been driven somewhere.
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And with what BBREF calls "late and close" he's .173/.271/.346 in 59 PA. And in what BBREF classifies as high leverage situations he's .190/.311/.365. in 74 PA. The really crazy difference is looking at his leadoff numbers. Leading off the game he's slashing .295/.330/.516 and when you expand it to just leading off an inning he's hitting .277/.339/.535. That lends credence to what others have claimed which is that Dozier strongly prefers to lead off because it plays into his chosen hitting approach. Much more likely to get a meaty fastball with empty bases and no outs.
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1) Why can't anybody on this team hit a cutoff man? 2) Dozier isn't quieting any criticism regarding his hitting with RISP tonight.
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Hitting with RISP doesn't depend on the hitters in front of him, as far rate stats go. That's all on Dozier.
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Since they added the 2nd wildcard, what has the success rate been for the 2nd team?
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OBP is important but for 1B/DH you should look to get more than an on-base machine, especially when those players are regularly hitting in the 3-5 spots. You need a few guys that can drive in runners and not just draw walks and slap singles. Grossman barely has 100 RBI for his career. Mauer and Grossman combined will barely break 15 HR and 100 RBI this season. Who's going to compensate for that? Nobody else on this team projects to be a slugger.
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Wasn't it Napoli?
