There are 512 permutations on the three three-game series that affect the AL's seeding. In some working through the tiebreakers, if all games were coin flips, the likelihood of seedings appear to be these:
That was my work on a spreadsheet. One of the formulas comes out as this, however, so I'm not going to bet my life on scoring 100 percent! It was fun giving it a whirl, however.
=IF(BA490=91,"TOR",IF(AX490=90,"Tex",IF(AY490=90,"Hou",IF(AZ490=90,"Tor",IF(AND(BB490=1,AW490=89),"Sea",IF(AND(BB490=1,AY490=89),"Hou",IF(AND(BB490=1,AZ490=89),"Tor",IF(AND(BB490=3,AY490=0),"Tex",IF(AND(BB490=3,AW490=0),"Hou",IF(AND(BB490=2,AY490=89,AZ490=89),"Hou",IF(AND(BB490=2,AW490=89,AZ490=89),"Sea",IF(AND(BB490,AX490=89,AY490=89),"Hou",IF(AND(BB490=2,AW490=89,AX490=89),"Tex",IF(AND(BC490=1,AZ490=88),"Tor",IF(BC490=3,"Sea",IF(AW490=AZ490,"Sea","Hou"))))))))))))))))