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Major League Ready

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Everything posted by Major League Ready

  1. Major League Ready
    If the premise is they are never going to pay free agent prices, what difference does it make when they bring them up? They are still going to pay roughly the same amount for their 6 full years of control. What players have they extended that became free agents in their 30s? The best way to keep premium talent is to extend them early like Atlanta is done. The lower revenue teams that have been successful are the teams that have traded experienced players like Polanco when they have suitable replacements. Most of the 90+ win (lower revenue) teams have produced significantly more WAR from players that were acquired as prospects or very early in their MLB career before they became established than they have from players they drafted. Players that were acquired as prospects represent about double the WAR as that of the combined WAR of free agents and established players acquired in trade.
  2. Major League Ready
    None of us has any idea what the options were or what long-term influences impacted the broadcast rights. You have no idea what could or could not be worked out. To assume they favor a deal with less viewership options is absurd. I am growing equally tired of people without any actual knowledge assuming they have all the answers and everyone else must be incompetent.
  3. Major League Ready
    Castro was good against RHP last year but his wRC+ against LHP was only 82 and 91 for his career. Having Jeffers DH against LHP is the better option. Vazquez is still below average but his wRC+ is 15 points higher against LHP. Might as well try to get him behind the plate with a LHer on the mound. Buck can DH against RHP. His splits are pretty close.
  4. Major League Ready
    Confident might be a bit strong but it does seem like he is in a much better place physically.
  5. Major League Ready
    The Twins were in an entirely different position. They no longer had a contract. It should not be assumed they automatically got the same percentage as those teams that were still under contract.
  6. Major League Ready
    I am looking at this a little differently. There are only 8 position players. So, from a roster construction point of view, you have 4 utility players on the roster. Obviously, someone has to DH. If you had a dedicated DH (like Cruz) there would only be room for 3 utility players on the roster. There will be quite a few days where Jeffers could end up being the DH and then you have 4 utility players available.
  7. Major League Ready
    Without looking it up, I would assume there are a good percentage of the TV contracts with 10+ years until expiration. This could take quite a while to get all of the teams to a new model if the RSN model remains viable. I keep thinking that MLB, the NBA/NFL, and MLS should establish a cooperative effort that would welcome in participants as their TV deals expire. They would keep revenue derived from their individual broadcasts while sharing the operating costs. This would provide scale and shared resources to reduce operating costs. The time is now.
  8. Major League Ready
    If they only carry 2 catchers, they have 4 non-catcher utility / bench players, right? Of course, this assumes there is not a dedicated DH. I was focusing on the idea that Correa, Lewis, Julien, Buxton, Kepler, and the catchers have a fixed position. They are not sliding into another spot like Kirilloff or Wallner might. It just shines a light on the importance of the guys mentioned earlier who are getting time in a number of positions. You have more than anyone here promoted the value of that flexibility. It's actually quite encouraging that the Twins have quite a few guys with good offensive potential and the ability to play a number of positions. We have seen the value of this role in Willi Castro.
  9. Major League Ready
    That's every position except LF and I think Wallner is going to get every chance to secure that position. The 4 non-catcher bench players will have to back-up or match-up in 8 positions which of course is generally the case.. That makes flexibility a prerequisite.
  10. Major League Ready
    Seems like you are making the assumption he is a franchise player and therefore should be up because he is 23 years old. Problem is his performance is not consistent with the assumption he is a franchise player. Wyatt Langford was drafted a year later and he has advanced just as far as Lee in half the time and his performance in AA and AAA has been far better than Lee. Langford's OPS was 330 points higher than Lee. That's what ready looks like. Even Anthony Prato's OPS was 260 points higher than Lee. Seems like a lot of people just want to ignore what Lee has actually done and proclaim him ready.
  11. Major League Ready
    I could see the key to all of these players carving out a role, at least initially, being an ability to play multiple positions. These guys are all players to watch the 1st couple months. It would be just great if a couple of these young guys go nuts and force their way onto the team.
  12. Major League Ready
    There has only been one small market team in the past 20 years to win a WS. Two if you count the Chicago White Sox as low revenue. They won it 19 years ago. The Royals. only had one free agent that contributed much and that was Edison Volquez who was on a 2/20M contract. 38% of their WAR was from drafted players and 32% from players that were acquired as prospects. They got good by being bad for a VERY long time and by trading their best player for two players who had made the ML level but had yet to produce a 1.5 WAR season. (Cain & Escobar) The three most successful low revenue teams since the turn of the century (Oak, TB, Clev) have averaged 12% of their WAR from free agents and you will find that all of those free agents were modestly priced / short-term. They produced 25% of their WAR from drafted players. What may surprise you is that 45% of their WAR came from trading established players for prospects or players that made the ML level but had had yet to produce a 1.5 WAR season. BTW ... These three teams have been substantially more successful than any of the other teams in the bottom half of revenue.
  13. Major League Ready
    He had the same wRC+ as Xander Bogaerts last year and 1 point less than Pete Alonso. He has some ceiling left to reach but I would not characterize him as being in a make or break situation.
  14. Major League Ready
    Thanks for making the effort to summarize this information in a way that puts this in context. Of course, we all know this conceptually, but the summary really puts it in perspective.
  15. Major League Ready
    Title needs to be changes to a few moves the twins would like to make but will never happen.
  16. Major League Ready
    He might get some starter innings the next year to year and a half, but it will be quite disappointing if some combination of Festa / Raya / Canterino / Culpepper and Prielipp don't force him to the BP. Of course, should his stuff improve in a way that elevates his ceiling to level of these other prospects, great! That would be the opposite of disappointing. If he could get the same type of uptick that Jax got going to the pen we might have a new version of Glen Perkins.
  17. Major League Ready
    It would seem very hard to predict because a lot of his playing time will be dictated by injury. He is a Swiss Army Knife.
  18. Major League Ready
    There is absolutely no doubt that spending twice as much as other teams is a big advantage, especially in the playoffs where the ability to add a Ohtani and Yamamoto should be big. IDT anyone here would really dispute this position. However, are the Dodgers more willing (free spending) or do they have twice as much money to spend??? Even with the deferred money to Ohtani, the Dodgers 2024 payroll will be around 50% of 2022 revenue plus a conservative estimate of the increase for 2023 plus a bump in revenue from adding Ohtani and Yamamoto. These percentages compared to average revenue teams are a little deceiving. We also need to take into account, that a team at the top of the revenue heap is not spending double on operating costs. For example, if the Twins or Dbacks spend $80M on grounds Player Benefits, Signing Bonuses, Grounds Maintenance, Travel, non-player personnel, etc and the Dodgers spend $140M, the Dodgers will be spending roughly 20% whereas the Dbacks/Twins would be spending 28%. This obviously is theoretical given we don’t have financials but the theory that the Dodgers spend a lower percentage of revenue on payroll seems quite sound. As much as fans would like to portray this as a willingness to spend, the advantage they a creating is not a product of willingness to spend, if they are spending a similar percentage of available funds. It's a product of a revenue advantage.
  19. Major League Ready
    I had not seen this so thanks for sharing this with all of us. It's nice to get a little bit of insight. We have a great problem in that we have an infield full off of very good players with a top prospect that will be ready soon. Is this kind of situation ever crystal clear? It's certainly possible they love Lee but think he is best suited for 3B while also feeling Lewis could adapt to another position. Who knows? Not us!
  20. Major League Ready
    I bet someone in analytics has built an algorithm that can predict the # of runs created by the example you gave,
  21. Major League Ready
    I was on the fence in terms of signing Santana but I have always admired the quality of his ABs. He will set a good example for our young players. I have decided to take pleasure every time he is up in that I am not watching Gallo because that was painful at times.
  22. Major League Ready
    He had an .866 OPS against LHP in 2019. Not that I am predicting that to happen and I share your skepticism but it's possible he could pull off .850. Sorta / maybe. 😉
  23. Major League Ready
    The decision to spend $10M Vazquez was not made this year. That decision was made based on circumstances when another catcher looked like a very important need and I think we all liked the move at the time. We can't say they should have dumped his salary now because that was not possible. No team was taking him at $10M. Farmer is a little spendy at $6.25m but the production of the combination of Julien and Farmer would cost a lot more than $7M and you get the additional flexibility of Farmer as a bonus. He seems like a very high character guy and that probably played into it as well. The biggest concern in terms of investment is Correa. We simply must get a lot more out of him. Vazquez / Farmer / Santana / DeScalfani, and Margot have a combined cost of $8M less than Correa.
  24. Major League Ready
    You are absolutely right and I don't know why anyone would argue that the ability to spend 2X or 3X the payroll of another team is not a significant advantage. However, the revenue disparity is not going away anytime soon (or ever). Therefore, the question we should be asking is what strategies / practices have been most effective at overcoming this disadvantage.
  25. Major League Ready
    The post I responded stated ... "Clevinger was being investigated due allegations of domestic abuse a year or two ago. Regardless of the claim's veracity, that's not someone the Twins are interested in bringing into the clubhouse, and I don't blame them." It's not what everyone is saying but the post I responded to states this quite clearly. How does "regardless of the claim's veracity" not ignore the possibility he was falsely accused? Let's replace veracity with a synonym like Truthfulness or accuracy. Regardless of the truthfulness of the statement does not ignore if he was falsely accused?
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