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Dman

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Everything posted by Dman

  1. Dman
    I think the Wallner comparison is Apt. Though he might have even worse in zone contact. As @jmlease1put it so kindly they are doing everything they can to help him improve. Hopefully he finds a better way to handle those breaking balls without striking out.
  2. Dman
    FYI Houstons and Pena's OPS don't match the other numbers listed. I don't think either player has been at the .900 OPS level since the first few weeks of the season. So I assume their OPS's are closer to .800 or .850 not .900.
  3. Dman
    Ferrer looks legit with the bat to me. I kind of kept waiting for him to go cold as he was miserable at the plate last year., but he has consistently been one of the top bats for the Kernal's. It's a pretty balanced line for Ferrer which leads me to believe he can keep his solid production going. Walking 15%, K's 22% his BABIP is a bit high at .350, but he has a .300 batting average to go along with a healthy slugging percentage. I don't know much about his defense in the outfield, but if he can hit for average and power I think they'll find a place. Might be tick early to move him up, but with Mercede's needing to move up maybe they can make that switch sooner than later. After giving up on Ross I am back on the Ross train. At AA he had more walks than K's an insane .737 slugging and a 235 WRC+ I don't think I have seen a WRC+ at 200 before. Granted his BABIP was at .450 so he wasn't going to keep that insane production up, but if he kept the slugging close to .700 he was still going to be in good shape when the hits didn't fall. He hasn't been as good at AAA but I don't think he has been playing as much and facing some of those tough breakers in AAA can take time to adjust. We'll see where it goes, but the future looks bight right now. I really like what McCombs has done so far this year. I think he has great contact skills, but with a 1.6% walk rate and near 28% K rate it feels like there is trouble ahead. Lot's of straight up contact hitters without a balanced approach tend get stuck at some point. We'll see how it goes, but he is off to a nice start.
  4. Dman
    Heck of a performance by Morris. If these young arms can prove they belong at the MLB level the Twins could have the pitching they need under control for quite some time.
  5. Dman
    Thanks for putting this together!! I always like to get an early look at what might down the pipeline. Appreciate the writeups. Hoping some of those young arms look good this first year in the States.
  6. Dman
    I was surprised they called Klein up given his penchant for giving up home runs, but a great debut for him with a scoring line of 0 0 0 0 0 0. What does it take to believe you will make the majors after going undrafted? I think the odds are less than 1% to make it if you go undrafted. Has to be an amazing day for that young man to pitch for the team you grew up cheering for and in the stadium you watched your favorite Twins players play. He looks a lot like Varland. Can the Twins catch lightening in a bottle like that again?
  7. Dman
    I might be the only one, but I think Paredes has a future in the Twins bullpen. He is good enough that they keep walking him out there as a mini starter and he gets blown up sometimes. If they would just keep in the pen I think his numbers could be elite. Like I said he gets blown up on occasion, personally that happens more from over use, but more often than not he gets the job done. I hope he proves it in AAA and gets his chance. I think he has earned it. Crazy to see the Muscles score 24 runs. This was a team early in the season I was afraid might get no hit multiple times. Looks like the hitters are finding their stride. Lot's of nice young bats under 20 down on the Fort. I hope some of them turn into top 10 prospects.
  8. Dman
    There is little reason for Jeffers to take an extension unless a perceived massive overpay. He likely gets only one shot at a big payday and I think the market will treat him very well.
  9. Dman
    Let's see what Quick can do for a month at high A and see if he moves to AA right quick. Once there he would be just a step away from helping the MLB club.
  10. Dman
    I don't know if you have watched Olivar catch but he is not much of a catcher. Teams ran at will on him and he was no where close to throwing them out. He is not overly agile back there either. I just don't see him as a catcher at the MLB level
  11. Dman
    I tend to agree on Wallner. I think he knows he isn't performing well and is pressing. I think he is thinking to much instead of just reacting. I do think they will give him a couple more weeks to figure it out, but a reset at AAA to get the Mojo back sure seems like a good idea to me. He is hurting the team too much right now.
  12. Dman
    Agreed. He is still young. It is just so frustrating to see a pitcher with his stuff be so ineffective and nothing has changed the last two years that I can see. You'd think they work on stuff to help him find the edges of the zone, but he can't and down the middle the ball goes and the damage is done. He's got time this year to figure it out but with other arms that might need 40 man spots like Oliveros, Culpepper and Langenburg he doesn't have a ton of time. He needs to figure it out soon.
  13. Dman
    With the warmer weather Tait is crushing the ball. At 19 his OPS is better than Diaw and Houston who are three years older than he is. Have to admit I was worried about the lack of contact and K's early in the year, but he is stinging the ball now with more than half of his hits going for extra bases. If he can keep this up he might get promoted to AA before Diaw, Pena keeps swinging a hot bat. He has been a .400 hitter from the start of the season. Very consistent so far. With more walks than strikeouts. Another few weeks of this and they'll need to move him up. Mercedes continues to crush baseballs and just needs to stay consistent and he should move up as well. He has looked much better at the plate this year. Still just 21 so not real young for this level but not old either. I had to go back to Baseball America to figure out where the Twins got Dominguez from. He has been tearing the cover off the ball since the Twins moved him up to A ball when they moved Genth up. They got him from Mexico for 10,000 according to BA and he has hit the ground running with the best OPS on the team in a very small 5 game sample size. This guy might be something. For those of us who like little guys like Eeles here is your new hitter to dream on. The Twins have some very interesting young hitters at a ball. Young, Beltre, and Dominguez are all 19. Pena is 20 and Mercedes is 21. Nice to see those young bats grow and hopefully move up soon.
  14. Dman
    I agree the Twins will wait. I am not concerned about E-Rod's defense, but the K rate still looks like trouble to me. They will want to give Wallner more time to figure things out as he can be a streaky hitter. Martin and Larnach have been doing fine in their roles. I just don't see the Twins making a change like this unless there is an injury to someone. i don't think they will feel pressed to make a change until giving the main players a couple of months to get more data to make those decisions. April and its cold unpredictable weather is not a good month to make big decisions in IMO.
  15. Dman
    Yeah he had a .500 OPS last year with a fairly normalized BABIP around .300. Absolutely brutal full year numbers. It just shows how much the K's were killing him. At least he has a .745 OPS this year helped by 4 HR's and two doubles, but a 50% K rate ouch. There is work to do there as MLB pitching is much, much tougher than what he is facing right now. He's not exactly young either as he'll be 23 in May. Maybe LeBron could do better than that, maybe not. My concern on Lebron is his ability to hit anything that isn't a fastball and that is all he will be thrown if he can't hit that stuff.
  16. Dman
    A lot of boards won't get updated until the beginning of May. He is going to drop as it doesn't appear the swing and miss has improved. Still keep in mind Honeycutt had similar problems in 2024 and still was pick number 20. Lebron is tooled up and will look like a more decent risk later on. He looks to be back half of the first round unless teams just don't think the swing and miss is fixable. If that is the case he might fall into the second round kind of like Amick.
  17. Dman
    I like Flora and he seems at least for the moment to be top 4 or 5 on most boards. I don't know that I see a Skenes like path there, but he has top of the rotation stuff. You can never have too many potential top of the rotation arms in the system, but I just don't see Flora as the Twins pick at three. I think the Twins will go with a bat at three. You look at the farm system and current team and this team is in need of impact bats more than arms. Given that Cholowski, Emerson and Lackey appear to be top 3 I'd say the pick will be one of those players. Cholowski still appears to be the favorite to go number 1, but I wouldn't be surprised if Chicago cut a deal with Lackey. My reasoning would be that they just took a good defensive shortstop in Carlson last year and Catchers with Lackeys skills seem be a once a decade type of player. It is incredibly hard to find a catcher with potential elite defense and offense especially one who could play a solid third base or left field if needed. If they could get a player like that and save money I think they do that. It looks like Chicago will be in the running for another high pick next year and given how many shortstops there are at the top of boards it will be easier for them to take another crack next year. The odds of finding a catcher like Lackey might take another ten years. The Twins should be happy with any of the top three bats and if they can save a little money they could still get an ace level high school arm later in the draft. If they skip on the bat early going with Flora they will be hard pressed to find an elite bat in the second round. That is why so many teams go hitter first in the first round IMO. The Twins have found valuable arms later in the draft but I can't think of anyone outside the second round that has made it on the Twins with the bat. I like Flora and he might be worthy of the third overall pick, but I just don't see him jumping in over the top three bats.
  18. Dman
    Yeah he was looking great to start the season. Those hard throwers just seem to end up needing TJ. We'll see how things work out. Hopefully rest does the trick. He's got the stuff to be successful. Just needs to get healthy.
  19. Dman
    Nice to see Oliveros on his way back. Feels like the entire system is short on start on starting arms except maybe A ball. Hoping more arms come off that seven IL.
  20. Dman
    I watched him play in left a few games ago and he looked really shaky back there. Granted one ball was hit to the wall and as a player you try not to hit the wall and get injured, but he he almost missed a routine pop fly as well. I don't see a great future for him in the outfield. Maybe they want to give him more reps out there to get better?? Still I don't think he will be a plus or even neutral defender out there given what I have seen so far. I think first\DH is his long term home. I guess it can't hurt to keep trying him there, but I would give him more reps at first.
  21. Dman
    Yeah I mean when you go 2 for 5 (.400) with a home run and a double and you lower your batting average to .468 you are in elite company.
  22. Dman
    Ellwanger with that bendy curve I think, is what was baffling hitters. He also did a nice job getting them to hit balls into the dirt. The stuff looks good. I mean not many pitchers have a .79 WHIP with more walks than hits given up. He has only given up 3 hits in 11.2 innings. That is incredibly stingy. I haven't seen a bat as hot as Ross in a long time. I mean he is hitting everything hard. On top of it just a 12% K rate and a nice 14% walk rate. He has it all working right now. If he has figured something out he is a legit shortstop candidate along with Culpepper and company, Still a small sample, but he is looking great to start the season. I am hoping the 19 year old Beltre to continues to find contact. It would be nice for the Twins to finally have a young International signing ready to move up quickly.
  23. Dman
    Nice to see Buxton get his groove back. The warmer weather agrees with him. Am I crazy or does it look like we might have three top of the rotation starters in Ryan, Bradley and Abel? If they can continue to pitch this well I don't see why we wouldn't match up well with pretty much any team in the league. Not sure if they can stay this hot with the bats, but if you get Buxton and Keaschall going along with Jeffers, Bell and Martin with some other guys mixed in this lineup looks like it might be OK. Only thing that feels a ways off is the pen. I mean they have been fine so far but they still do appear to be the weak link. It's a long season and a lot has to go right, but they are starting to make me believe.
  24. Dman
    Point well taken, but I think the angst is more about the fact that pretty much every lefty you mentioned doesn't hit left handed pitching that well and right handers generally do a better job of that. Not sure that's the case for the other teams players. You could argue that since lefties generally will see more right handed pitching it makes sense to carry more of them I guess, but we see that most teams do value roster balance in their lineups so I don't think people clamoring for that are off base. While I appreciate you adding Clemens to the list as someone who has played outfield I don't see him as a legit outfielder. It should be noted that Mendez is still playing in the outfield and he is on the 40 man so he should count as well IMO. Personally I think the Twins have too many outfielders on their 40 man, but that's just me.
  25. Dman
    I never in my wildest dreams imagined this offense was capable of what they have done the last week. This defies all expectations. Baseball has crazy streaks so I guess enjoy the ride. Getting this team to score runs the last few years seemed like pulling teeth. These blowouts are just so much fun as everyone seems to be doing well and the wins are piling up. Keep it going guys. You have us watching.
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