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Richie the Rally Goat

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Everything posted by Richie the Rally Goat

  1. Huge coaching shakeup in the off season. What is the impact in spring training so far? How are the players accepting and adapting to the new techniques and points of view? How is this perceived as rippling through hte minor leagues?
  2. this is a really good post! Any thoughts to working this up in a longer form? Maybe a blog post? I’d like to see this fleshed out and bit of debate in the forum
  3. agreed. Falvey and Levine also love to trade away expiring contracts. Look for Castro to get the 2/3 share until mid July then get traded away
  4. agreed, there are significant IF questions. there are also significant outfield questions. My hunch is Granite comes off the 40 to make room for Gonzalez. Counting on Cave to repeat .800 OPS (or even .730) while sporting 30% k rate and 6% bb rate with only one season of showing any power seems foolish. Buxton has been hurt every major league season. Rosario had his breakout, and has been known to leave his head in the clubhouse during games. Kepler seems on the verge of breaking out and has been the model of consistency. So 1 out of 4 is really reliable and one seems pretty close. Kepler is doomed to be injured for large stretches of 2019. That’s just how it works for Twins fans. My guess is Cave, and Big Toe get stashed in AAA to start the season. Astudillo starts the season on the bench but gets sent down when a 8th reliever is needed, and if Polanco or Schoop get injured significantly, Big Toe comes up. Austin gets DFA’d and they’ll try to sneak him through waivers during the crush at the end of ST.
  5. How can a guy with "the kiss of death to relievers" also be a lock to the bullpen? With Pineda, Perez and Odorizzi in the rotation, having multiple relievers be effective for 2 innings plus is going to be critical to the bullpen, especially if the intention is to keep it a 12 man staff. Mejia seems likely to fit that bill. Weapon and long relief don't really jive, but is that Romero? Who else? Giving up a ton of dingers doesn't bode well in the longer appearance or the shorter appearance role... Magill has to be on the outside looking in right now
  6. If the innings per start is down to 5.2 then relief innings per game is 3.1 - the roster size stays the same, so doesn't the average relief appearance need to increase? If pace of play such a concern, shouldn't the roster shrink? that would force longer relief appearances.
  7. I’m there March 11-19. 3 days at the ballpark and the rest with the fam chasing my 5 yo and 19 mo around Disney and beaches around Tampa/Ft Myers. I had to cave on Disney to get 3 days at the ballpark.
  8. Isnt Reed the poster child for not signing the second tier relievers? He was a 2 year deal for reasonable money. Like you said, nothing is certain, but if you fail to develop pitchers for a decade, you gotta do something, right?
  9. https://www.mlb.com/news/willians-astudillo-to-display-skill-set-in-19/c-304048078 Does Astudillo have a chance to make the team out of spring training? His contact ability creates interesting lineup options.
  10. Kepler is one ACL-tear away from Jason Kubel. Fine role player, but took him 10 years to earn 31 mil I hadn’t thought about the upcoming CBA on why a player would want a guarantee locked up. Good point!
  11. grew 100% over 15 years relative to the total MLB revenue stream. We know the size of one slice of the pie, but not the size of the whole pie. We can’t possibly understand the constraints without more information
  12. agreed: we need to define “core”. Last I saw Buxton and Sano don’t pitch. If there was belief in Buxton, Sano, Rosario, Kepler, Polanco and Berrios, wouldn’t there be more supplement to them than Perez and Parker? There’s a big gap in narrative too. The FO has thrown Sano and Buxton under the bus already. We’re not going ‘all in’ until the core makes the next step, doesn’t exude a ton of confidence to me...
  13. it does make me wonder if Falvine are hoping for bounce back seasons from Sano and Buxton to trade the away. Is the plan all along to wait for 2021?
  14. It’s always great to get the humanity behind the machine. Good luck to Jacob on the field, behind the camera, and with his bride to be.
  15. If the Twins in 2019 come up 3 wins short of winning the division and miss the wild card, but Buxton and Sano flop are you ready to give the FO a pass? Is it OK, because the FO didn't know what they had in Buxton and Sano? It takes more than an entire 40 man roster to win. You can't wait for two or three players to click.
  16. All kidding aside, this is very minor and great for the game. Jim Abbott could play, he was only on that list when he was injured, but was for his entire career "disabled". "Injured list" is absolutely the right way to go.
  17. Welcome Stu, I was disappointed earlier this winter, but now thrilled to continue to read your work.
  18. you’re more likely to have runners on batting 7th in the Yankees lineup than 5th in the Twins, no? Yankees had 5 players around 500 plate appearances with a .330 OBP. Twins had 1. Had to go down to 300 plate appearances for the Twins to hit 5... that’s 800 additional Yankee plate appearances with a respectable .330 OBP in 2018. I guess I’d be more careful with Austin in NY he’d be more likely to come to the plate with runners on.
  19. they have similar iso as well, but there’s one important stat that is very different. Sano’s Walk rate is significantly higher career 11.9% to Austin’s 7.4%.
  20. And now all of the ceremonial pitchers are all retired MLB pitchers since walks count as a run
  21. This - I'm not against specific rules that would encourage competition and parity throughout the MLB, but I am against vague concepts being passed off as rules for the commissioner to arbitrarily hand down edicts. Rules need to be clear, concise, and adjudicated without argument.
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