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Chembry

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Everything posted by Chembry

  1. Chembry
    What do you think we could have received for Jeffers, a 2 month rental coming off 8 weeks on the IL? Jeffers, was tied to the Yankees, what would you expect from the Yankees in return for Jeffers?
  2. Chembry
    The qualifying offer has to be made within 5 days after the world series concludes and players have until Mid-November to accept (roughly 10 days after the QO is made). The current CBA doesn't expire until December 1st, so the QO still applies to this crop of free agents. Whether or not the QO is a part of the next CBA doesn't apply. The QO is a no brainer. That is the only way it makes sense to keep Jeffers. However, Gleeman has insinuated that the Twins are viewing the QO more like a 50/50 chance. Yes, Jeffers was at peak value near the trade deadline, but he had also missed 8 weeks due to the hamate injury. We don't know what was offered for Jeffers, but several outlets confirmed there was interest in Jeffers. However, the value you would have received from a 2 month rental that just spent 8 weeks on the IL probably would have disappointed most. In that case, the value of the comp pick we would get if Jeffers turns down the QO is probably similar to the return we would have received. The question is, will Jeffers take the guaranteed 1 year payday of the QO given the uncertainty of the next CBA? Who knows, but worst case scenario is we have Jeffers on a 1 year short term committment. He will have to make that decision prior to the current CBA expiring.
  3. Chembry
    He also couldn't have been transferred to the 60-day IL, because the 60-day doesn't exist in MiLB and only exists as it pertains to the MLB roster. If they were to transfer him to the 60-day IL, he would have to be promoted to MLB and be paid a MLB salary. On top of that, the IL goes away after the season so he would be taking a roster spot then as well.
  4. Chembry
    I didn’t see it reported anywhere here, but Fedko was released by the Twins. He is signing a minor league deal with the Pirates.
  5. Chembry
    Keeping Jeffers only makes sense if they were going to extend a QO. Gleeman has reported that the QO is still up in the air for Jeffers and also stated that Jeffers would likely decline. It will be an interesting choice given Jeffers will have to make a decision in November and the lockout starting December 1st. It's likely that free agency will be significantly shortened. I do wonder if Jeffers would accept a QO and take a guaranteed $23M contract vs the unknown. Worst case scenario, we have Jeffers one more year or get a comp pick. He will likely get 4/$80M anyway.
  6. Chembry
    Tom Pohlad has committed to raising the payroll in 2027. How much remains to be seen, but he has admitted that cutting payroll for the 2024 season was mistake. https://www.mlb.com/news/twins-chairman-tom-pohlad-says-twins-will-increase-payroll-in-2027
  7. Chembry
    Likely a Buxton IL stint...at least that is my guess. I will be at the game tomorrow. Will be a good time!
  8. Chembry
    Shelton said last night that Buxton was scheduled for a day off today anyway. With the day off tomorrow, it allows them to put off the decision a few days, but that doesn't mean they are unprepared. I am sure they have been preparing for this decision. It seems as if it was inevitable. Buxton looks like he has been grimacing on every swing he has taken. Granted he seemed to be running well in Monday's game, but has looked uncomfortable/in pain at the plate. Plus, it would be better for Jenkins or ERod to make their debut in front of the home crowd on Friday.
  9. Chembry
    Baseball America released their August in season update today. Marek Houston is now on their top 100 list at #90. Culpepper started at #74 in January and now up to #26 in this most recent update. The 5 Twins prospects are: Walker Jenkins (#10) Vaugh Lackey (#23) Kaelen Culpepper (#26) Emmanuel Rodriguez (#45) Marek Houston (#90) Prielipp was on the list but graduated in their July update. Not Twins related anymore, but Dasan Hill was up to #86 in the May update, but dropped off the list by July.
  10. Chembry
    Take this back...Jon Heyman just reported that the Padres are in on Larnach.
  11. Chembry
    Doubt Larnach gets traded now. Astros are getting Varsho.
  12. Chembry
    Fielding Bible had a different take on his defensive metrics. +13 DRS in 2025, +11 in 2024. Historically, he strikes out at a 23-26% rate, which is still below league average but not nearly the rate he has shown this year. His BB rate is also way up this year. My take on Neto is he is proven MLB shortstop with above average MLB production since his debut in 2023. He has put up 14.5 WAR in 3.5 seasons. Plus he is still only 25.
  13. Chembry
    He is +13 last year and +11 in 2024 in DRS by fielding bible. Baseball Savant has a different story in -8 OAA this year, -8 OAA last year, and -5 in OAA in 2024. The two metrics are calculated differently and honestly, I don't know which is better. Pretty sure I have heard Gleeman say he prefers fielding bible over baseball savant, but I could be misremembering
  14. Chembry
    Bob Nightengale said on Foul Territory that the Twins are trying to get Zach Neto...
  15. Chembry
    It appears as if you are correct. Cooper Ingle has been declared as "selected but inactive due to MLB callup".
  16. Chembry
    Cooper Ingle made his MLB debut on June 26th and is on the MLB Futures roster. He was the only one that I was aware of that has made his MLB debut and on the futures roster. Good for Culpepper though! I am excited to see him make his debut, hopefully sooner rather than later. He got hit pretty hard on the hand last night. Fingers crossed it doesn't result in an IL stint.
  17. Chembry
    It's pretty ridiculous that Alejandro Kirk made the final two catchers hitting .183 with a .547 OPS and only 17g played. And it wasn't even close for 3rd place...Kirk had 350,000 votes over Dingler (who deserves to go).
  18. Chembry
    No the Twins have kept him on the 15-day IL
  19. Chembry
    Marek Houston has been promoted to AA.
  20. Chembry
    Wrong Thread...
  21. Chembry
    I am going on Wednesday as well. Hopefully I am not the curse...We are 0-5 in in games that I have attended this year.
  22. Chembry
    Noah Miller hit .223/.309 OBP/.340.648 OPS at Cedar Rapids in 120g. Miller's career A+ numbers are .236/.321/.336/.657 OPS in 221g
  23. Chembry
    As many others, I think the Twins should trade Jeffers. Do we really think we can get Lombard, Elmer Rodriguez, or LaGrange for 2 months of Jeffers? I understand Jeffers will probably the best catcher available at the deadline, but I just don't think that's realistic... Lombard's prospect status is in the realm of Jenkins, not quite as high as Jenkins but similar. Would anyone trade Jenkins for a 2 month rental? I am sure the answer is no. We are really looking prospects in that #10 range in most systems. I am all for aiming high, but realistically if we can get 2 prospects, one in the 6-10 range in most systems, it would be a pretty good return.
  24. Chembry
    I posted a similar stat line (since the beginning of May) in the video post. Keaschall quietly had a good month of May.
  25. Chembry
    Keaschall quietly had a good May and start to June. Here is his stat line since May 1st: .281/.385/.359/.744/13.9% K-rate/11.4% BB rate/ 114 WRC+ He isn't hitting for much power (6 2Bs and 1 3B) and we really aren't expecting him to, but he has been getting on base lately. Personally, I would like to see more 2Bs, but as long as he gets on base he can create runs with his speed and base stealing ability. His .385 OBP in that timeframe puts him a 21st in MLB of all qualified hitters.
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