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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    Not sure what media you’re following but Abel - Bradley - Zebby are all getting their own innings regardless of whether Ober is on the Staff or not - right? They are in a mix of 4-5-6 on list of starters, worst case……..probably higher. Prielipp is only half a season removed from Matt Cantinerro territory, relative to health. He’s not MLB ready for starter innings & his pitching performance through ‘25 didn’t/doesn’t warrant displacing anyone. If Ober pitches with good health - then sucks - I’m all for making moves. Trying to trade him with reduced velocity and coming off a 5.10 ERA season doesn’t seem like a “seller’s” position. He pitched through injuries most of ‘25 - but he showed up! Ryan - Lopez - Matthews - Festa were all down at varying times through the season……. Ober was shutdown late.
  2. JD-TWINS
    He’s 30 THIS year. He pitched 146 innings last year (27 starts) and was hurt for at least 50% of those innings. He had a terrible 5.10 ERA in ‘25 but his career ERA is 4.08. His ERA and BA against were solid from the Windup but poor from the Stretch ……..seems like the physical ailment and bad habit issues revolved around pitching from the stretch. I would think this would help him & others define the issues. Not giving him arbitration $$ (considering his health issues & determination to keep pitching for the team’s sake) is a bizarre thought, IMO. Lopez - Ryan - Festa - Matthews all missed segments of ‘25 while Ober pitched til he couldn’t. Ryan, a solid pitcher (nothing to do with Ober), has never had a full healthy season so anointing him, “just fine” is maybe a bit of wishful thinking?
  3. JD-TWINS
    “at the end the the day” was my trendy attempt at levity……..
  4. JD-TWINS
    Well, at the end of the day, is trendy speak that big of a deal? 😉
  5. JD-TWINS
    I don’t know enough about College players nor High School stars to have any feel on “who should be drafted” Houston was drafted and that’s when I got mildly familiar with his skill set. My “forever” comment is meant to be in reference to what can be done from today forward. My point is maybe he raises a bar at SS, defensively, until a better all-around guy can be procured via draft or free agency? Not really sure I follow your logic or thought process on affordability (seems you’re saying Team is drafting guys that they’ll be able to afford as free agents, “lesser talents”, 8 years or so in the future?) as they signed a SS specifically, that made $30-$35M/year. Obviously, I’m missing something.
  6. JD-TWINS
    I get it - you’re not happy with Houston, after 100 AB’s in MiLB. Culpepper is supposed to fit your description - Lewis fits the “bat” expectation - Lee, on paper from College, fit the “bat” expectation. All 3 #1’s at SS. With all of their results rolled together (too early for Culpepper) I have no issue with a contact guy, if he’s above average defensively, playing SS. He’s not necessarily the “forever” shortstop but Arcia is washed and Kriedler doesn’t seem to be as good with glove nor potential with bat, after a longer history…….those are the differences, IMO.
  7. JD-TWINS
    I don’t need you or anyone else to help me temper my expectations. I’m fully aware of the repeated mediocre results from Team’s #1 draft picks, particularly at SS. Noah Miller was traded because he had nearly zero hit tool. Houston is 21 ….. he isn’t near borderline defensively as a floor …... and I think that neither 54 successful AB’s in A Ball nor 46 AB’s in High A have much to do with what he’ll do in ‘26&’27.
  8. JD-TWINS
    HOUSTON: Might need to have a lost leader at SS for upside defense by middle of ‘27 - he may never hit “well enough” and his defense seems to be commonly regarded as already good enough to very good. There’s no perfect players in the TWIN’s organization and few anywhere else. .370 at A Ball (54 AB’s) .152 at High A (46 AB’s) Assuming he’s probably in between these two, near some midpoint, at High A by sometime in June ………. if he gets to AA by mid-July and sticks, I’ll be happy with his ascension.
  9. JD-TWINS
    Based solely on brief comments here on the rotation guys ……… Ryan, Ober, SWR, Bradley, & Abel are the rotation pieces if camp broke today - right?
  10. JD-TWINS
    So, different slant here: 1) Caratini doesn’t slot at DH much but rather at 1B where he can be moved behind the plate, mid-game if necessary due to injury. He’ll need days off just like Jeffers to stay fresh behind the plate - already enough options at DH, IMO. 2) Larnach is a better hitter (shown clearly in ‘24) if he’s a platoon LH bat v. RH pitching. I see him at DH for 80-100 games. (20% plus of AB’s in ‘25 v. LH pitching & that sunk his stat line - he’s solid as a platoon guy) 3) Bell didn’t play 1B in Washington last year because they had GG first baseman Lowell playing every day, ahead of him, through July. Bell played more 1B after Deadline and hit much better as well after August 1. ……. Clemens is not Vic Power, defensively, at 1B! 4) Team, is better off v. RH pitching with Clemens in LF or Roden in LF or Outman in LF, with Bell at 1B, and Larnach at DH…….IMO.
  11. JD-TWINS
    Glad he’s working on getting stronger and quicker!! Switch hitter with 20 plus HR power (16 in 487 AB’s in ‘25)…….. could he be a younger version of Santana at 1B in ‘27? If he could get his OBP to .335 and hit .245-.250 it may be a win? At 6’2”, with SS pedigree, seems like a decent defensive move. Lewis - Houston - Culpepper - Lee around the infield next year? Defense would seem to take a serious uptick. Keaschall - Buxton - Jenkins in OF (Emma & Martin) w/Caratini and some other acquisition at C. One of Wallner OR Larnach (if either shine in ‘26) along with Gonzalez at DH. Plenty of MONEY left over to use on pitching staff
  12. JD-TWINS
    Hope Culpepper can get 2-3 months in the Show this year …….. really need more athleticism at SS!
  13. JD-TWINS
    Keaschall 🤞
  14. JD-TWINS
    I hope he meets everyone’s expectations/hopes! My concern is & has been lack of health. W/o having seen him play and relying on what’s written here, the descriptors sound too much like Matt Wallner (w/better defense). Passivity in the zone - high walk rate - problems at the top of the zone - strikes out 32% of the time…………if he can hit .250 with some good defense and XBH punch, I’ll like him. Can’t hit .225 and strikeout 35% of the time just because you walk 13 of 100 PA’s…. that’s a hole in the line-up.
  15. JD-TWINS
    Sounds like a path Matt Wallner could/should follow.
  16. JD-TWINS
    Stewart didn’t pitch from ‘20-‘22. In ‘23 he threw 27 2/3 - in ‘24 he threw 15 2/3 - in ‘25 he threw 37 2/3 and didn’t make it past early August with injury for Dodgers after 4 appearances, going 0-1, with a 4.91 ERA. That’s Brock Stewart - flashes of great around prolonged stints of zero availability. I believe you are defending the Team’s right to like something in Outman, enough to make a trade. If they would have been reduced to having/relying on Stewart for the Closer role, disappointment would have been only a few innings away!
  17. JD-TWINS
    Clear thinking! Can DFA Outman whenever the feeling strikes so certainly no reason not to let him try to re-invent himself this year IF his Spring Training turns out respectable. He may be gone May 20th or maybe March 25th, depending upon his play. It’s like fans here want him to suck so they can justify complaining!?!?…….. In July TWINS took a flier on him and let Stewart go (who pitched 3 1/3 mediocre innings for Dodgers & then was, shockingly, out for the balance of the season, hurt) to see if Outman may pay some dividend. I do not understand the angst shown - nobody is “blocked” ………without some sense of significant $$ outlays to players, nobody blocks anyone. If Rodriguez or Gonzalez play their way in to the Roster, great. If Outman or Roden play their way in to the Roster, great.
  18. JD-TWINS
    Roden “……quickly became a notable position player after last year’s deadline……” not sure I follow this comment. He played maybe 10 games and didn’t hit well. Good Spring through 8-9 games he’s played …., hope he & Outman push each other to generate at least one effective guy!
  19. JD-TWINS
    40 RBI with 41 XBH in ‘25……hard to imagine that’s possible. Jenkins - Rodriguez - Gonzalez & Buxton for 2-3 more years is the future of the Twin’s outfield. It would be fantastic for Wallner to somehow earn a piece of the Twin’s success going forward! Saying the franchise future depends at all upon Wallner seems to be a real stretch……”guys like him” seems to be nearly everyone else. He would bring no real immediate value in trade so giving him another season to hopefully prove himself to be of substantiative value is the right move. Hope he finds some level of positive consistency at the plate.
  20. JD-TWINS
    How about the fact that you continually profess that the Club “give the youngsters a chance”? …….can’t have it both ways, at least not when Teams can only have 13 spots for position players. Wallner has tremendous power but 41 XBH producing same number of RBI is like being a negative unicorn……nearly impossible to achieve this feat. He had a solid ‘24 after he was sent down for 10 weeks after 20 games in April. Can’t take parts of the summer to “sort things” as he did in ‘23 & ‘24. In ‘25 he didn’t help the Team win on offense or defense. He was hurt twice as well. …….. the games aren’t a HR hitting contest, strikeouts be damned. He has no clutch gene and seemingly little if any ability to make adjustments. All the negativity stated, he deserves & the Team deserves to give him one more season to lift his performance. He’s relatively young with a level of experience and a unique power level. I hope he finds some CONSISTENCY in his offensive approach & wish him well.
  21. JD-TWINS
    Need to go back and read the first sentence in my original comment………. seems you missed that part.
  22. JD-TWINS
    Come on - he had 41 XBH in ‘25 with similar amount of RBI - he strikes out in nearly every clutch spot……., the games aren’t a HR hitting contest ……. generating runs and stopping runs are of value and he does neither very well, with any CONSISTENCY. If Rodriguez develops “as planned” as well as Jenkins …….. most see these two as “givens”……..where does that leave Wallner. His stats in ‘24 were pretty good - he also got sent to AAA for 10 weeks prior to the end of April …….. I like his power - hope he turns it around! His play in ‘25, along with injuries, showed me little.
  23. JD-TWINS
    If “Baseball People” really think Wallner has 40 HR potential - he’s from Forrest Lake - he makes the minimum - doesn’t seem to make sense to trade……. regardless of who is in the Minor League system. I do not love Wallner - great flashes of potential to date but little signs of being consistently productive. Sent down for long stints in ‘23 & ‘24 to work on his offensive approach and then hurt 40% or so of ‘25. He may still have an option and this could be helpful with the qty. of left handed OF candidates Team currently has on 40 man. Honestly, I don’t see teams giving up “a lot” for Matt. IF Twins could get immediate 26 man value they can’t ignore the possibility that maybe they should move on for both sides. benefit?
  24. JD-TWINS
    Equally demoralizing would be to move guys up and watch them struggle and get bad habits trying to get to some sense of mediocre at the MLB level because they aren’t ready. It’s like benching the 6th grader that plays right field to move up the 4th grader because 6th grader has plateaued and everyone knows it and they are bored watching him. Great way to break the younger player if not ready. Getting an opportunity and being overmatched is not a path to success. BASEBALL people are evaluating these guys not people/fans at their computers. Outman has some sliver of upside and can be moved in early May just as easily as now. Kriedler hasn’t shown any offensive potential - I do not understand him ahead of Gray if defense is even close.
  25. JD-TWINS
    Sure thing! Really hope he’s ready in ‘27 ……… Culpepper & Lee to complete the middle infield trio. Keaschall to 1B.
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