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JD-TWINS

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Everything posted by JD-TWINS

  1. JD-TWINS
    Larnach is 4th on depth chart in LF. He’s on the Team to DH v. RH pitching (75% of opponent starters) Outman/Clemens/Martin will ALL play LF ahead of Larnach. At MLB level, he’s a better match-up than other LH hitters on the Team v. RH pitching! Nobody bitched about Nelson Cruz being kept as DH w/o any practical defensive spot. Larnach isn’t as valuable at the plate, certainly, but he can play Corner OF if needed. Outman will be DFA’d by May 15th, at latest, if he doesn’t hit .240 minimum! Enter Roden or Emma or both? The continual whining about “Roden not getting a chance after great success at AAA…..” is nuts! If he was that great, he would have been playing while in Toronto. He was 25 last summer and didn’t join Twins until August 1st. He got an opportunity in MN at MLB level and underperformed in a small sample size & then got hurt. Not the Team’s fault - he’s not been mistreated nor hindered!! The TRADE with Toronto was for ROJAS!!! Roden was a nice flier, throw-in and valued just like Outman …….maybe one of them will catch fire?
  2. JD-TWINS
    Didn’t read all the comments - went through the article quickly, twice. How is Luke Keaschall not mentioned at all when discussing/describing the potential upside for ‘26 and “key pieces of the future core”???? At this point, his style of play along with his capabilities, could be what the organization tries to get everyone else to try to mimic!
  3. JD-TWINS
    Completely agree - can Lewis do something “positive” on the field? Can Wallner not suck? Have some interesting potential pieces in St. Paul - may see a couple help out by mid-season? Buxton, success through July almost certainly frees him to a team of his choice, IF he would consider that for himself ….. he seems mentally locked in to MN though. Pablo going down was the gut punch on my optimism - good things can still happen (Bradley/Abel) …….. maybe Festa gets healthy and contributes at some point? Maybe Caratini ‘s bat wakes up? 🤞🤞🤞
  4. JD-TWINS
    Crystal Ball? ……. they’ll be different faces for sure.
  5. JD-TWINS
    Larnach, v. RIGHT HANDED PITCHING, is easily the 3rd best hitter in the line-up. Hate on him, talk about his defense, talk about how he didn’t hit well enough in ‘25 (because 20+% of his AB’s were v. LH pitching) ……… he can hit 2, 3, or 6, or 7 and fit well with other guys. How much does one value Bell - Caratini - Wallner v. Larnach is what it comes down to ultimately.
  6. JD-TWINS
    I get you said “maybe” but Wallner in the 4 hole v. LH pitching is like ……. giving up! Anything ever, above 6th for him, is an issue ……. unless he actually gets K’s down to 30% and hits .240.
  7. JD-TWINS
    I don’t disagree on Keaschall/Buxton - even Martin leading off. Wallner doesn’t get me excited either. Martin hitting right handed pitching would be nice but I doubt he’ll get everyday AB’s v. RH pitching with Team’s multiple LH hitting options. The kicker though is the “maintain a .400 OBP” for Martin or ANYONE in our line-up. If he has a .350 OBP I’ll be surprised & ecstatic!! Again, if any guys in our line-up get to .350 OBP for the year - great!
  8. JD-TWINS
    …….and last 17+ innings (2 months) of ‘25. Not that ridiculous with consideration of the competition.
  9. JD-TWINS
    Agreed! The belaboring of this “ROSTER ISSUE” seems extremely overstated. It’s a simple paperwork task. One guy is DFA’d and the other added. …… my preference, GRAY. Arcia has at least had success at one point, maybe he can find something from his past? ……. Kriedler’s results at MLB level over 4 seasons are really poor. To me, Kriedler represents another version of Kiersey at the plate……. can’t imagine reliving that!
  10. JD-TWINS
    Yep, the problem is about 19 other teams will be scouring as well.
  11. JD-TWINS
    “….upside if they excel & downside if they falter….” pretty much the case across our Roster and every other roster in the game ……… hence the saying, “that’s baseball”.
  12. JD-TWINS
    I think that’s .827 OPS (it just didn’t look right with a .364 BA)
  13. JD-TWINS
    It’s mid-March …… not blunting yet
  14. JD-TWINS
    In case Royce had another catastrophic injury.
  15. JD-TWINS
    6 innings with 4 K’s & 3 Walks is nothing to get jazzed about ……. obviously, the baseball people don’t think he’s near a “best option” as a righty. He’s 37 and 3 full seasons distanced from success. They knew all this when signed on - he just didn’t show enough to push him in front of options like Klein or other young guys, that have the expectation of good health.
  16. JD-TWINS
    So I understand that people want to give younger players a chance ……. Rodriguez, obviously, near the top of the list. What I don’t understand is “freaking out”, for lack of a better term, over letting things play out for guys like Outman (if he shows a reason for this course) or Larnach (legit chance to be 3rd or 4th best hitter on roster) if he’s platooned properly. If these guys don’t perform they can be moved and/or released as Team sees fit, to provide opportunity for others. It’s easy to see a 4 month window for Rodriguez if others fail. Outman finished 3rd in ROY voting in ‘23 & Larnach was once a highly touted prospect. Just because a guy has promise and is touted by media doesn’t mean he should just be handed an opportunity. Emma, shine at AAA and force your way on to the roster!!! The “better use of resources” comments make ZERO sense to me. Larnach, relative to other non-minimum guys, is nearly free at $4.5M. The TEAM needing to release or trade him “to be able to afford or justify” spending $4.5M on a reliever is ridiculous & 110% on the Cheap Ownership!! Once the TEAM decided not to spend the fans act like the money spent is their’s and not the Professional Sports Franchise. There is no plausible explanation for an organization to spend $105M in 2026, particularly when the organization spent $155M in 2023. Rodriguez struck out over 30+% of his AB’s and he hit .254 last year. Then there are the injuries, year after year. That does not scream “hugely talented” to me.
  17. JD-TWINS
    Strife - every day here at TD! Ober threw 4 innings on Tuesday and didn’t break 90MPH …..4 innings - 2walks and 2 hits and 1 run. ……….. Over 8 1/3 this spring he has a 2.08 ERA - he’s NOT facing the ‘27 Yankees in the box this spring, granted. He’s coming off an injury and trying to work on refreshed - reworked mechanics. It’s Spring Training. He (& the rest of the starters) will ramp up over first 3-4 starts of the season……just like every year. With today’s access to information/analytics, every single detail is scrutinized. Obviously, I don’t know if Ober will be able to get guys out at a reasonable rate in ‘26 but with two guys on the IL - Matthews still trying to master his craft - Ryan not exactly pitching “workhorse” innings in Spring - with ABEL/TAJ/SWR as locks in the rotation ……….. Bailey seems to be lower (or at least not worse) on the list of potential worries in the big picture.
  18. JD-TWINS
    If Larnach hits 18HR and hits .260 while DHing 90% of the time (obtainable) v. RH pitching …….. .765 OPS, he’s nearly a lock for the ‘27 roster. If Outman hits .260 and plays decent defense, he too has a great shot at the ‘27 roster. IF, these guys (1 of them) is mildly successful but not viewed to be “part of the future” they’ll have trade value above where it is now, “in a crowded LH hitting OF situation”. Why? …….. because Rodriguez has done little to nothing to suggest he’s better or will be better than either of these guys at the MLB level. If Roden takes off……. Rodriguez is on the outside looking in going forward. He’s not of the talent level of Walker ……. he’s just the best we’ve had in the system for a couple years & people get bored and want the shiny new toy. Larnach & Wallner used to have very similar buzz.
  19. JD-TWINS
    “A crime”? ……. He hit just .254 with a 30+% K rate ………. ALL should be careful what they wish for…….oh, and he’s hurt 50+% of the time over last 3-4 years. I too would love improvement on the Roster but Emma is hardly a lock. He’s been a “coming prospect” for some time and all are anxious - I get that. Seeing if Outman &/or Clemens &/or Larnach &/or Wallner can get some positive results early, in a probable lost year, prior to “moving on” just makes sense. If these guys (Outman particularly) were not reasonable at the plate this Spring then one should act more swiftly. I could care less “who” is successful, just want someone to be successful ……. am not going to be upset if Outman can muster OK defense and some XBH and hit .265 BA. If Rodriguez can’t give the organization a solid reason to displace that type of guy, whoever it may be, tough.
  20. JD-TWINS
    “..much of the unit’s success hinges on Hendricks” ……… come on man! He’s maybe got a 50/50 chance of sticking on the roster. Never been higher than that since the first phone call/email. 2-3 months of “decent” Hendricks would be a win for the Club. Can’t imagine any expectations higher than that. They are going to need (young) guys that haven’t thrown to 2-6 batters at a time to figure it out & be effective. The list of fringe veterans will be OK for short stints but more than 1/2 of the original 8 getting through September is a real stretch.
  21. JD-TWINS
    2 hits - 1 run - 4 innings ……… “cooked”?
  22. JD-TWINS
    Jenkins - Rodriguez - Gonzalez seem to be 1-3 from a ceiling standpoint (& should be ranked 1-3) but Gonzalez, to me, seems closest to contributing now.
  23. JD-TWINS
    Ober (lack of any consistent velocity) - SWR (lack of velocity with lack of deception) - Matthews (lack of command in the zone) These 3 are a Proof for your statement about fastball being a base to work from …….. with a small margin for error, they can/have been successful in shorter bursts. SWR & Ober have developed “pitch mix” to try & overcome their fastball issues. Matthews is a work progress.
  24. JD-TWINS
    .400 plus batting average against by LH hitters with a 9.1% HR rate is all I need to see to defer to giving ABEL the chance ahead of Matthews.
  25. JD-TWINS
    Not sure what obvious evidence we have that Ryan is ahead of Ober at this point? Am certainly equally concerned about Joe.
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