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Jocko87

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Everything posted by Jocko87

  1. Jocko87
    I think you meant third year of starting. If you think I’m basing anything on three starts I’ll gladly excuse myself from this conversation.
  2. Jocko87
    They gave him every opportunity to start and they lost a year and a half to TJ. Free agents know its a business too.
  3. Jocko87
    Perfect trait for the bullpen?
  4. Jocko87
    ouch. 111.6 off the bat.
  5. Jocko87
    I wouldn't be surprised if he just retired. He's only 33 but a very baseball old 33. He also went to Arizona basically so he could stay on his ranch. I lived not far from his area of NC for a few years and heard a few stories about how low key country he is. Considering he already has done the World Series thing a few times why would he go back on the road full time when he can just stay at his ranch? If he was still chasing rings it might be different. I bet he says, it was a good run, see ya. And we rarely hear from him again.
  6. Jocko87
    Answered my own question, .400 elite and .275 horrible. 2022 league average was .309, do they new rules account for a .016 difference? That said, Matt Chapman is at .514 and Manny Machado is sitting at .269. Long way to go and while it has a predictive element it can't account for adjustments made.
  7. Jocko87
    And the beauty of building a roster with depth is that the two or three hot bats move around and keep the bottom from falling out. Gallo isn't on that list presumably due to lack of ABs but he's basically won three games with big swings. I asked in the game thread yesterday what percentage of the last 10 years would we have been delighted with that starting lineup? It was pretty darn solid 1-9 and it was our B squad. Health is my main concern as well, and I'm even a bit more optimistic. With good health they can put a lineup with no easy outs 1-9 and really pressure a pitcher. As Brock says, they will hit. With good health, they become a very long day for a starter. Its also a bit early in the season to compare to MLB average. Lots of outliers in the data. Whats the historical average?
  8. Jocko87
    Now I understand that elite mustache much better. Welcome!
  9. Jocko87
    It's a great way to get them acclimated to the show as well.
  10. Jocko87
    Agreed but he can’t say the Twins haven’t given him every chance to start. Now in his last year here the Twins have the leverage.
  11. Jocko87
    He has looked really good at first tonight.
  12. Jocko87
    Was a force at home so the extra throw would complicate but should still be made.
  13. Jocko87
    What percentage of the last 10 years would we have been delighted with this starting lineup?
  14. Jocko87
    I don't know that he was unhappy in the bullpen, the contract was heavily biased towards starting and he would certainly want to try to maximize that. No one will be able to say the the Twins didn't give him every chance to be a starter but after an excellent short season, a long TJ recovery and now fatigue its time to have the conversation. He has to perform, especially when there is very stiff competition. He can be a weapon out of the bullpen and Ober can get in the rotation. There is no such thing as too much pitching but there can be too much of the wrong type grouped at the wrong time. It puzzles me how the Marlins and the Reds can stink on ice but be like Oprah passing out pitching to everyone. I would be on the lookout for a trade from our starting pitcher reserves somewhere this year. Mahle more likely than Maeda but also Ober, Varland and SWR as the return would be much higher. Hell, throw a couple young starters, Kepler and Gordon at the Pirates for Bryan Reynolds and low prospects. Varland for a Burnes rental? A guy can dream.
  15. Jocko87
    This is true, but those guys in the 2 and 4 hole have to hit too. He's always hit when healthy at a very high level. If this procedure doesn't work we may be screwed and he may go the way of so many promising prospects before him. Meanwhile, we aren't waiting for a Ben Revere type to bloom. He will probably stay at AAA for awhile and not come up until he's raking again. I'm fine with that as it helps with the roster crunch issue as well. A month from now if he's OPS .900+ and driving the ball to left center we will forget we had this discussion. If not, maybe he's a tantalizing trade piece mid year.
  16. Jocko87
    37 games at AAA with an 1.145 OPS is prime Kiriloff. This is a different class as well. He earned every bit of patience he is getting and winning the bet gets you the L/H 3 hole hitter between Correa and Buxton for the next 4+ years. I'll wait.
  17. Jocko87
    Crazy that this is considered a long term deal but for the Twins it is. They should still be wary of the 7 year variety but this is right in the sweet spot of risk/reward that they should do every time. Had there been someone similar in the org previously we would likely have seen something like this before.
  18. Jocko87
    Highly unlikely that we see Paddack this year. Its his second Tommy John and with the Twins track record for caution plus the below quote from Paddack after signing the extension would all indicate hes not back this year. The depth helps here also, if there are so many injuries that he slots right in the season is probably lost already. Full health to start 2024 camp. “It’s a blessing,” Paddack said. “You put yourself in my situation, it takes a lot of pressure off of me. There’s a lot of weight lifted off of my shoulders. I don’t have to be that hero that has to come back in August or September that potentially could be risking my career [by] coming back early from an injury like this.”
  19. Jocko87
    Even players that only cost money have hidden costs. Now that money can't be used to sign someone else that might fall in your lap. As for Arreaz, its the relative value that matters most. In the Twins org he has much less value than the Marlins
  20. Jocko87
    Probably partially, as others mentioned Joe seems to be in it for the baseball rather than the business, and although he will still need to run a good business seeing the value of this move is probably much more obvious then to Jim as a busy billionaire doing other things. The FO has been trying to do these type things but they were stuck in the dollar store. The change is palpable and while still working hard for good value they are now at least in the Dior outlet store.
  21. Jocko87
    I was just wondering the same thing. There has been a noticeable difference over the past year that could be partly attributed to the Correa/Boras effect but this move seems like all owner. Makes me think Joe has been pretty involved behind the scenes and willing to do what it takes to maximize this window.
  22. Jocko87
    Very nice, and timely!
  23. Jocko87
    I firmly believe that down the road we will get more of the Mets story and it will make the front office look like geniuses. I would love to have a beer with Falvey and ask him when they figured out what the Mets were actually doing. Short version, Cohen is a hedge fund/asset guy who likes nothing more than a distressed asset that he can get value on. He understands you never negotiate with a distressed asset against the open market. The $315m could have been $400m and it never would have mattered. They were always going to renegotiate in the due diligence process based on the ankle. The poison pills we saw in their offers prove it to me. Plenty of luck involved to be sure but they already deserve a heck of a lot of credit for staying tuned and working it through the holidays. Nobody would have blamed them if they tuned out and took a long Christmas. It makes me think they knew something. There is also plenty that can't be said about the negotiations for quite a while. Lets just say I'll be watching the Mets and Boras clients closely going forward.
  24. Jocko87
    This was also Falvey's pattern in Cleveland for the most part.
  25. Jocko87
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